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Rathfriland vs Newington Youth — Championship

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Northern Ireland · Championship · Regular Season - 19
Rathfriland
Rathfriland
13º · 1.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 35d 19h
vs
–
–
Newington Youth
Newington Youth
3º · 2.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 42d 20h
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Rathfriland and Newington Youth meet in the Championship 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Rathfriland have recorded 4 wins from 14 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.79 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 21% of games. Newington Youth have won 50% of their 18 matches, with 1.89 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 22%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.50 for Rathfriland and 1.50 for Newington Youth. The models give Rathfriland a 34% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Newington Youth win at 40%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 61%.

Season Statistics

Rathfriland
—
Newington Youth
13º
Position
3º
1.00
PPG
2.00
31%
Win %
62%
1.08
Goals / game
2.23
1.92
Conceded / game
1.69
50%
BTTS %
56%
21%
Clean sheet %
22%
57%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Rathfriland
Home (7)
—
Newington Youth
Away (7)
1.00
PPG
1.86
29%
Win %
57%
1.00
Goals / game
1.43
1.71
Conceded / game
1.86
50%
BTTS %
55%
25%
Clean sheet %
18%
50%
Over 2.5 %
55%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

RathfrilandHomeAwayNewington YouthHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored64%63%67%78%86%73%
Over 1.5 Scored29%25%33%56%71%45%
Over 2.5 Scored7%0%17%28%57%9%
Failed To Score36%38%33%22%14%27%

Goals Conceded

RathfrilandHomeAwayNewington YouthHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded79%75%83%78%71%82%
Over 1.5 Conceded57%63%50%39%43%36%
Over 2.5 Conceded29%13%50%17%29%9%
Clean Sheets21%25%17%22%29%18%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

RathfrilandNewington Youth
Over 0.593%100%
Over 1.571%83%
Over 2.557%67%
Over 3.543%44%
Over 4.57%22%
BTTS50%56%
BTTS & Win14%28%
BTTS & Draw7%17%
BTTS & Over 2.550%50%
BTTS No & Over 2.57%17%

1st Half / 2nd Half

RathfrilandNewington Youth
Win 1st Half31%50%
Draw 1st Half8%22%
Loss 1st Half62%28%
Scored 1st Half31%61%
Conceded 1st Half69%50%
Win 2nd Half31%39%
Draw 2nd Half31%22%
Loss 2nd Half38%39%
Scored 2nd Half54%50%
Conceded 2nd Half54%44%
Over 0.5 HT92%83%
Over 1.5 HT54%61%

Recent Venue Form

Rathfriland (H)
DStrabane Athletic2–2
DArds0–0
WArmagh City2–1
LWarrenpoint Town0–2
WQueen's University1–0
LInstitute0–2
Newington Youth (A)
WNewry City AFC2–0
WMoyola Park3–2
LInstitute0–7
LGlenavon FC0–1
WWarrenpoint Town1–0
WStrabane Athletic2–1

Head to Head · 1 matches

0
Rathfriland
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
Newington Youth
100%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
100%
Over 3.5
1/1
0%
BTTS
0/1
22/08/26
Newington Youth
4–0
Rathfriland
Championship
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Limavady United382495+3581
2Annagh United3822610+1672
2Glenavon FC13832+1827
3H&W Welders3819910+3966
4Newington Youth3818614+1560
5Queen's University38151211+557
6Loughgall38141410+1256
7Institute3817813+1359
7Newry City AFC14554-220
8Ards3815716+552
9Warrenpoint Town3811819-841
10Ballinamallard United3891118-1638
11Dundela3851320-3428
12Armagh City384727-8219
12Moyola Park13436-1015
13Rathfriland13418-1113
15Strabane Athletic14257-1111

Team Insights

Rathfriland
  • ●Rathfriland have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
  • ●Rathfriland have won their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Rathfriland failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Rathfriland have lost 4 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Rathfriland failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Rathfriland have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Rathfriland have conceded 64% of their goals in the first half.
Newington Youth
  • ●Newington Youth have won their last 2 matches.
  • ●Newington Youth have won their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Newington Youth failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Newington Youth failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Newington Youth have won 4 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Newington Youth have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●66% of Newington Youth's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●Newington Youth have scored 66% of their goals in the first half.
  • ●Newington Youth have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
RathfrilandRathfriland
DHStrabane Athletic15º2–2
DHArds0–0
WADundela14º1–0
WADundela11º1–0
WADundela11º1–0
WHArmagh City16º2–1
WHArmagh City12º2–1
WHArmagh City12º2–1
WAH&W Welders11º3–1
WAH&W Welders3º3–1
Newington YouthNewington Youth
WANewry City AFC7º2–0
LHBallymena United1–3
WAMoyola Park12º3–2
LHArds9º0–2
LHArds8º0–2
LHArds8º0–2
LAInstitute4º0–7
LAInstitute7º0–7
LAInstitute7º0–7
WHBallinamallard United5º4–0

Season Schedule

Rathfriland
DHStrabane Athletic2–2
WADundela1–0
WHArmagh City2–1
WAH&W Welders3–1
LHWarrenpoint Town0–2
WHQueen's University1–0
–ABallinamallard United06/11
–HH&W Welders13/11
–AArmagh City21/11
Newington Youth
WANewry City AFC2–0
WAMoyola Park3–2
LHArds0–2
LAInstitute0–7
WHBallinamallard United4–0
LAGlenavon FC0–1
–AArmagh City07/11
–HWarrenpoint Town13/11
–AArds21/11

Top Scorers

Rathfriland
Newington Youth
A. Kelly1 ⚽
D. Stuart1 ⚽
J. Tully1 ⚽
R. Donnelly1 ⚽
1 ⚽