H&W Welders vs Newry City AFC — Championship
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H&W Welders and Newry City AFC meet in the Championship 2026 season on 4 December 2026. H&W Welders have recorded 8 wins from 22 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 59% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 73%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Newry City AFC have won 38% of their 16 matches, with 1.38 goals scored and 1.63 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 69%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.46 for H&W Welders and 1.43 for Newry City AFC. The models give H&W Welders a 40% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Newry City AFC win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
H&W Welders—
Newry City AFC11º
Position
7º
1.23
PPG
1.43
38%
Win %
36%
1.46
Goals / game
1.50
1.69
Conceded / game
1.64
59%
BTTS %
69%
27%
Clean sheet %
13%
73%
Over 2.5 %
63%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
H&W Welders
Home (6)
—
Newry City AFC
Away (7)
1.50
PPG
1.71
50%
Win %
43%
1.50
Goals / game
1.57
1.33
Conceded / game
1.14
50%
BTTS %
75%
33%
Clean sheet %
13%
67%
Over 2.5 %
63%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| H&W Welders | Home | Away | Newry City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 83% | 80% | 81% | 75% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 25% | 50% | 38% | 38% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 23% | 17% | 30% | 19% | 25% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 17% | 20% | 19% | 25% | 13% |
Goals Conceded
| H&W Welders | Home | Away | Newry City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 67% | 80% | 88% | 88% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 58% | 40% | 50% | 63% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 27% | 25% | 30% | 19% | 25% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 33% | 20% | 13% | 13% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| H&W Welders | Newry City | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 91% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 73% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 13% |
| BTTS | 59% | 69% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 31% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 23% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| H&W Welders | Newry City | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 44% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 43% | 19% |
| Scored 1st Half | 52% | 63% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 43% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 52% | 38% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
H&W Welders (H)L
Loughgall1–2
Loughgall1–2L
Rathfriland1–3
Rathfriland1–3L
Ballinamallard United1–3
Ballinamallard United1–3W
Dundela2–0
Dundela2–0W
Armagh City1–0
Armagh City1–0W
Warrenpoint Town3–0
Warrenpoint Town3–0Newry City (A)D
Ards1–1
Ards1–1L
Carrick Rangers0–3
Carrick Rangers0–3D
Queen's University1–1
Queen's University1–1LLoughgall1–2
Loughgall1–2D
Strabane Athletic2–2
Strabane Athletic2–2W
Institute3–1
Institute3–1Head to Head · 17 matches
7
H&W Welders
41%
4
Draws
24%
6
Newry City
35%
88%
Over 1.5
15/17
76%
Over 2.5
13/17
24%
Over 3.5
4/17
65%
BTTS
11/17
25/09/26H&W Welders
Newry City AFC
3–2H&W Welders22/02/25Newry City AFC
H&W Welders
4–1Newry City AFC02/11/24H&W Welders
Newry City AFC
2–2H&W Welders28/09/24Newry City AFC
H&W Welders
2–1Newry City AFC03/10/23Newry City AFC
H&W Welders
1–2Newry City AFC07/01/23H&W Welders
Newry City AFC
1–2H&W Welders19/04/22Newry City AFC
H&W Welders
0–3Newry City AFC14/01/22H&W Welders
Newry City AFC
1–2H&W Welders06/11/21Newry City AFC
H&W Welders
1–2Newry City AFC10/08/21H&W Welders
Newry City AFC
3–2H&W Welders24/01/20H&W Welders
Newry City AFC
0–0H&W Welders15/11/19H&W Welders
Newry City AFC
1–2H&W Welders03/08/19Newry City AFC
H&W Welders
2–0Newry City AFC28/04/18Newry City AFC
H&W Welders
0–3Newry City AFC24/04/18H&W Welders
Newry City AFC
0–3H&W Welders03/11/17H&W Welders
Newry City AFC
1–1H&W Welders16/09/17Newry City AFC
H&W Welders
0–0Newry City AFC| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Limavady United | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | +35 | 81 |
| 2 |  Annagh United | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | +16 | 72 |
| 2 |  Glenavon FC | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +18 | 27 |
| 3 | H&W Welders | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | +39 | 66 |
| 4 |  Newington Youth | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | +15 | 60 |
| 5 | Queen's University | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | +5 | 57 |
| 6 | Loughgall | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | +12 | 56 |
| 7 | Institute | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | +13 | 59 |
| 7 | Newry City AFC | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | -2 | 20 |
| 8 | Ards | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | +5 | 52 |
| 9 | Warrenpoint Town | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | -8 | 41 |
| 10 | Ballinamallard United | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 | Dundela | 38 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -34 | 28 |
| 12 | Armagh City | 38 | 4 | 7 | 27 | -82 | 19 |
| 12 |  Moyola Park | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 15 |
| 13 | Rathfriland | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -11 | 13 |
| 15 | Strabane Athletic | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -11 | 11 |
Team Insights
H&W Welders- ●H&W Welders have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●H&W Welders have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●H&W Welders have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●H&W Welders have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●H&W Welders have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●H&W Welders failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●H&W Welders have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
Newry City- ●Newry City AFC have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Newry City AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●Newry City AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Newry City AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Newry City AFC have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Newry City AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Newry City AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Newry City AFC have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Newry City AFC have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●65% of Newry City AFC's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●60% of Newry City AFC's points have been earned away.
- ●Newry City AFC have scored 62% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
H&W WeldersLHLoughgall1–2
Loughgall1–2LAGlenavon FC0–4
Glenavon FC0–4DAInstitute0–0
Institute0–0LHRathfriland1–3
Rathfriland1–3LANewry City AFC2–3
Newry City AFC2–3LHBallinamallard United1–3
Ballinamallard United1–3–HArds07/11
Ards07/11–ARathfriland13/11
Rathfriland13/11–HAnnagh United22/11
Annagh United22/11Newry CityDAArds1–1
Ards1–1LHNewington Youth0–2
Newington Youth0–2DAQueen's University1–1
Queen's University1–1WHDundela3–1
Dundela3–1LALoughgall1–2
Loughgall1–2WHH&W Welders3–2
H&W Welders3–2–AMoyola Park06/11
Moyola Park06/11–HStrabane Athletic13/11
Strabane Athletic13/11–AGlenavon FC21/11
Glenavon FC21/11Top Scorers
H&W Welders4 ⚽
D. Mhondiwa1 ⚽
S. Forbes1 ⚽
Newry City3 ⚽
R. Swan1 ⚽
Cards Given
H&W WeldersNewry City1 🟨