Ballinamallard United vs Institute — Championship
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Ballinamallard United and Institute meet in the Championship 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Ballinamallard United have recorded 6 wins from 18 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.22 goals scored and 1.22 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Institute have won 38% of their 16 matches, with 1.56 goals scored and 1.63 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 44%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.49 for Ballinamallard United and 1.55 for Institute. The models give Ballinamallard United a 34% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Institute win at 40%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Ballinamallard United—
Institute5º
Position
4º
1.50
PPG
1.62
43%
Win %
46%
1.43
Goals / game
1.77
1.36
Conceded / game
1.38
56%
BTTS %
44%
22%
Clean sheet %
44%
44%
Over 2.5 %
56%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Ballinamallard United
Home (7)
—
Institute
Away (6)
0.86
PPG
2.00
14%
Win %
67%
1.00
Goals / game
1.83
1.43
Conceded / game
2.00
78%
BTTS %
50%
0%
Clean sheet %
38%
44%
Over 2.5 %
63%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Ballinamallard United | Home | Away | Institute | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 78% | 56% | 75% | 63% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 28% | 22% | 33% | 31% | 25% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 0% | 22% | 13% | 13% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 22% | 44% | 25% | 38% | 13% |
Goals Conceded
| Ballinamallard United | Home | Away | Institute | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 100% | 56% | 56% | 50% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 28% | 33% | 22% | 50% | 38% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 11% | 11% | 38% | 25% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 0% | 44% | 44% | 50% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Ballinamallard United | Institute | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 28% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 6% | 25% |
| BTTS | 56% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 6% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 6% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 39% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 19% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Ballinamallard United | Institute | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 11% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 67% | 31% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 39% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 19% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 28% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 28% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 61% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 39% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Ballinamallard United (H)L
Armagh City0–1
Armagh City0–1D
Queen's University1–1
Queen's University1–1D
Warrenpoint Town2–2
Warrenpoint Town2–2D
Ards1–1
Ards1–1D
Glenavon FC1–1
Glenavon FC1–1L
Annagh United1–3
Annagh United1–3Institute (A)WArds2–0
Ards2–0LAnnagh United0–5
Annagh United0–5WArmagh City5–3
Armagh City5–3W
Rathfriland2–0
Rathfriland2–0LQueen's University1–4
Queen's University1–4W
Strabane Athletic1–0
Strabane Athletic1–0Head to Head · 20 matches
5
Ballinamallard United
25%
5
Draws
25%
10
Institute
50%
60%
Over 1.5
12/20
45%
Over 2.5
9/20
5%
Over 3.5
1/20
40%
BTTS
8/20
11/08/26Ballinamallard United
Institute
1–2Ballinamallard United11/04/26Ballinamallard United
Institute
3–0Ballinamallard United31/01/26Institute
Ballinamallard United
0–1Institute13/01/26Institute
Ballinamallard United
0–3Institute06/12/25Institute
Ballinamallard United
2–2Institute16/09/25Ballinamallard United
Institute
0–0Ballinamallard United05/04/25Institute
Ballinamallard United
2–0Institute01/03/25Ballinamallard United
Institute
1–0Ballinamallard United19/10/24Ballinamallard United
Institute
2–1Ballinamallard United14/09/24Institute
Ballinamallard United
1–2Institute10/02/24Institute
Ballinamallard United
0–0Institute24/11/23Ballinamallard United
Institute
1–0Ballinamallard United16/09/23Institute
Ballinamallard United
0–1Institute29/04/23Institute
Ballinamallard United
0–1Institute21/03/23Ballinamallard United
Institute
0–2Ballinamallard United22/10/22Institute
Ballinamallard United
2–1Institute27/08/22Ballinamallard United
Institute
1–1Ballinamallard United26/02/22Ballinamallard United
Institute
2–1Ballinamallard United18/12/21Ballinamallard United
Institute
1–2Ballinamallard United09/10/21Institute
Ballinamallard United
0–0Institute| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Limavady United | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | +35 | 81 |
| 2 | Annagh United | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | +16 | 72 |
| 2 | Glenavon FC | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +18 | 27 |
| 3 |  H&W Welders | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | +39 | 66 |
| 4 |  Newington Youth | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | +15 | 60 |
| 5 | Queen's University | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | +5 | 57 |
| 6 |  Loughgall | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | +12 | 56 |
| 7 | Institute | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | +13 | 59 |
| 7 |  Newry City AFC | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | -2 | 20 |
| 8 | Ards | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | +5 | 52 |
| 9 | Warrenpoint Town | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | -8 | 41 |
| 10 | Ballinamallard United | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 |  Dundela | 38 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -34 | 28 |
| 12 | Armagh City | 38 | 4 | 7 | 27 | -82 | 19 |
| 12 |  Moyola Park | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -10 | 15 |
| 13 | Rathfriland | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -11 | 13 |
| 15 | Strabane Athletic | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -11 | 11 |
Team Insights
Ballinamallard United- ●Ballinamallard United have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Ballinamallard United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Ballinamallard United have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Ballinamallard United have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Ballinamallard United failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Ballinamallard United failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Ballinamallard United have won 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Ballinamallard United have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●65% of Ballinamallard United's goals have been scored away.
- ●71% of Ballinamallard United's points have been earned away.
Institute- ●Institute have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Institute have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Institute have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Institute have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Institute have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Institute have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●67% of Institute's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Ballinamallard UnitedLHArmagh City0–1
Armagh City0–1WAStrabane Athletic1–0
Strabane Athletic1–0DHWarrenpoint Town2–2
Warrenpoint Town2–2WAQueen's University1–0
Queen's University1–0DHArds1–1
Ards1–1LANewington Youth0–4
Newington Youth0–4–HRathfriland06/11
Rathfriland06/11–AAnnagh United13/11
Annagh United13/11–HLoughgall20/11
Loughgall20/11InstituteDHMoyola Park1–1
Moyola Park1–1WAArds2–0
Ards2–0DHH&W Welders0–0
H&W Welders0–0WHNewington Youth7–0
Newington Youth7–0LAAnnagh United0–5
Annagh United0–5WHWarrenpoint Town2–0
Warrenpoint Town2–0–AGlenavon FC07/11
Glenavon FC07/11–HArmagh City13/11
Armagh City13/11–AWarrenpoint Town21/11
Warrenpoint Town21/11Top Scorers
Ballinamallard United2 ⚽
R. Mayse1 ⚽
Institute1 ⚽
Cards Given
Ballinamallard UnitedInstitute2 🟨