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Institute vs Ards — Championship

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Northern Ireland · Championship · Regular Season - 18
Institute
Institute
6º · 1.67 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 38d 1h
vs
–
–
Ards
Ards
10º · 1.23 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 34d 5h
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Institute and Ards meet in the Championship 2026 season on 27 November 2026. Institute have recorded 6 wins from 15 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.60 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 47% of games. Ards have won 25% of their 16 matches, with 0.94 goals scored and 1.19 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 25%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.40 for Institute and 1.24 for Ards. The models give Institute a 46% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Ards win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 54%.

Season Statistics

Institute
—
Ards
6º
Position
10º
1.67
PPG
1.23
50%
Win %
31%
1.83
Goals / game
1.15
1.42
Conceded / game
1.23
40%
BTTS %
44%
47%
Clean sheet %
25%
60%
Over 2.5 %
38%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Institute
Home (6)
—
Ards
Away (7)
1.33
PPG
1.71
33%
Win %
43%
1.83
Goals / game
1.57
0.83
Conceded / game
0.86
29%
BTTS %
50%
57%
Clean sheet %
30%
57%
Over 2.5 %
30%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

InstituteHomeAwayArdsHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored73%57%88%56%50%60%
Over 1.5 Scored33%29%38%25%17%30%
Over 2.5 Scored13%14%13%13%0%20%
Failed To Score27%43%13%44%50%40%

Goals Conceded

InstituteHomeAwayArdsHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded53%43%63%75%83%70%
Over 1.5 Conceded53%43%63%38%67%20%
Over 2.5 Conceded40%29%50%6%17%0%
Clean Sheets47%57%38%25%17%30%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

InstituteArds
Over 0.587%88%
Over 1.580%69%
Over 2.560%38%
Over 3.540%19%
Over 4.527%0%
BTTS40%44%
BTTS & Win7%13%
BTTS & Draw0%19%
BTTS & Over 2.540%31%
BTTS No & Over 2.520%6%

1st Half / 2nd Half

InstituteArds
Win 1st Half40%33%
Draw 1st Half27%47%
Loss 1st Half33%20%
Scored 1st Half47%47%
Conceded 1st Half47%33%
Win 2nd Half20%13%
Draw 2nd Half40%40%
Loss 2nd Half40%47%
Scored 2nd Half47%27%
Conceded 2nd Half53%67%
Over 0.5 HT80%67%
Over 1.5 HT47%33%

Recent Venue Form

Institute (H)
LLoughgall0–3
DH&W Welders0–0
WNewington Youth7–0
WWarrenpoint Town2–0
LNewry City AFC1–3
DLoughgall0–0
Ards (A)
DArmagh City1–1
DRathfriland0–0
WNewington Youth2–0
DBallinamallard United1–1
DMoyola Park0–0
LAnnagh United1–2

Head to Head · 23 matches

12
Institute
52%
7
Draws
30%
4
Ards
17%
70%
Over 1.5
16/23
48%
Over 2.5
11/23
30%
Over 3.5
7/23
48%
BTTS
11/23
16/10/26
Ards
0–2
Institute
18/04/26
Institute
3–1
Ards
24/01/26
Ards
0–0
Institute
25/10/25
Ards
0–3
Institute
16/08/25
Institute
2–2
Ards
18/03/25
Institute
2–3
Ards
16/11/24
Institute
2–4
Ards
28/09/24
Ards
0–0
Institute
03/02/24
Institute
1–0
Ards
27/01/24
Ards
2–2
Institute
22/12/23
Institute
3–2
Ards
13/10/23
Ards
2–3
Institute
28/01/23
Institute
1–1
Ards
03/12/22
Ards
1–1
Institute
15/10/22
Institute
2–0
Ards
19/04/22
Ards
0–1
Institute
18/02/22
Ards
1–1
Institute
27/11/21
Institute
0–3
Ards
18/09/21
Institute
2–1
Ards
20/04/19
Institute
0–1
Ards
Championship
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Limavady United382495+3581
2Annagh United3822610+1672
3H&W Welders3819910+3966
3Glenavon FC12732+1624
4Newington Youth3818614+1560
5Queen's University38151211+557
6Loughgall38141410+1256
7Institute3817813+1359
7Newry City AFC13544-219
8Ards3815716+552
9Warrenpoint Town3811819-841
10Ballinamallard United3891118-1638
11Dundela3851320-3428
12Armagh City384727-8219
12Moyola Park12426-1014
13Rathfriland12408-1112
15Strabane Athletic13247-1110

Team Insights

Institute
  • ●Institute have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
  • ●Institute have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
  • ●Institute have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
  • ●Institute have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
  • ●Institute have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Institute have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Institute have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Institute have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●71% of Institute's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●60% of Institute's points have been earned away.
  • ●Institute have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
Ards
  • ●Ards have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Ards failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Ards have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Ards failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Ards have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Ards have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●73% of Ards's goals have been scored away.
  • ●75% of Ards's points have been earned away.
InstituteInstitute
LHLoughgall0–3
WAArds10º2–0
WAArds8º2–0
WAArds8º2–0
DHH&W Welders11º0–0
DHH&W Welders3º0–0
DHH&W Welders3º0–0
WHNewington Youth2º7–0
WHNewington Youth4º7–0
WHNewington Youth4º7–0
ArdsArds
DAArmagh City16º1–1
DAArmagh City12º1–1
DAArmagh City12º1–1
DARathfriland0–0
LHInstitute6º0–2
LHInstitute7º0–2
LHInstitute7º0–2
WANewington Youth2º2–0
WANewington Youth4º2–0
WANewington Youth4º2–0

Season Schedule

Institute
WAArds2–0
DHH&W Welders0–0
WHNewington Youth7–0
LAAnnagh United0–5
WHWarrenpoint Town2–0
WAArmagh City5–3
–HMoyola Park31/10
–AGlenavon FC07/11
–HArmagh City13/11
Ards
DAArmagh City1–1
LHInstitute0–2
WANewington Youth2–0
DABallinamallard United1–1
LHStrabane Athletic0–1
DAMoyola Park0–0
–HNewry City AFC31/10
–AH&W Welders07/11
–HMoyola Park13/11

Top Scorers

Institute
1 ⚽
Ards

Cards Given

Institute
2 🟨
Ards