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Ards vs Newington Youth — Championship

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Northern Ireland · Championship · Regular Season - 17
Ards
Ards
10º · 1.23 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 28d 1h
vs
–
–
Newington Youth
Newington Youth
2º · 2.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 28d 20h
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Ards and Newington Youth meet in the Championship 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Ards have recorded 4 wins from 16 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 0.94 goals scored and 1.19 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Newington Youth have won 50% of their 18 matches, with 1.89 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 22%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.39 for Ards and 1.48 for Newington Youth. The models give Ards a 33% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Newington Youth win at 40%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 58%.

Season Statistics

Ards
—
Newington Youth
10º
Position
2º
1.23
PPG
2.00
31%
Win %
62%
1.15
Goals / game
2.23
1.23
Conceded / game
1.69
44%
BTTS %
56%
25%
Clean sheet %
22%
38%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Ards
Home (6)
—
Newington Youth
Away (7)
0.67
PPG
1.86
17%
Win %
57%
0.67
Goals / game
1.43
1.67
Conceded / game
1.86
33%
BTTS %
55%
17%
Clean sheet %
18%
50%
Over 2.5 %
55%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

ArdsHomeAwayNewington YouthHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored56%50%60%78%86%73%
Over 1.5 Scored25%17%30%56%71%45%
Over 2.5 Scored13%0%20%28%57%9%
Failed To Score44%50%40%22%14%27%

Goals Conceded

ArdsHomeAwayNewington YouthHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded75%83%70%78%71%82%
Over 1.5 Conceded38%67%20%39%43%36%
Over 2.5 Conceded6%17%0%17%29%9%
Clean Sheets25%17%30%22%29%18%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

ArdsNewington Youth
Over 0.588%100%
Over 1.569%83%
Over 2.538%67%
Over 3.519%44%
Over 4.50%22%
BTTS44%56%
BTTS & Win13%28%
BTTS & Draw19%17%
BTTS & Over 2.531%50%
BTTS No & Over 2.56%17%

1st Half / 2nd Half

ArdsNewington Youth
Win 1st Half33%50%
Draw 1st Half47%22%
Loss 1st Half20%28%
Scored 1st Half47%61%
Conceded 1st Half33%50%
Win 2nd Half13%39%
Draw 2nd Half40%22%
Loss 2nd Half47%39%
Scored 2nd Half27%50%
Conceded 2nd Half67%44%
Over 0.5 HT67%83%
Over 1.5 HT33%61%

Recent Venue Form

Ards (H)
LInstitute0–2
LStrabane Athletic0–1
WRathfriland1–0
LQueen's University0–3
LLoughgall1–2
DDundela2–2
Newington Youth (A)
WNewry City AFC2–0
WMoyola Park3–2
LInstitute0–7
LGlenavon FC0–1
WWarrenpoint Town1–0
WStrabane Athletic2–1

Head to Head · 15 matches

6
Ards
40%
4
Draws
27%
5
Newington Youth
33%
93%
Over 1.5
14/15
67%
Over 2.5
10/15
40%
Over 3.5
6/15
73%
BTTS
11/15
09/10/26
Newington Youth
0–2
Ards
03/02/26
Ards
2–1
Newington Youth
17/01/26
Newington Youth
2–0
Ards
04/10/25
Newington Youth
0–3
Ards
22/02/25
Ards
1–1
Newington Youth
02/11/24
Newington Youth
2–2
Ards
17/08/24
Ards
3–2
Newington Youth
13/04/24
Ards
1–1
Newington Youth
27/02/24
Newington Youth
1–0
Ards
02/12/23
Newington Youth
4–1
Ards
05/08/23
Ards
1–3
Newington Youth
14/03/23
Newington Youth
2–2
Ards
10/12/22
Ards
2–1
Newington Youth
08/11/22
Ards
1–2
Newington Youth
28/08/18
Ards
3–2
Newington Youth
Championship
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Limavady United382495+3581
2Annagh United3822610+1672
3H&W Welders3819910+3966
3Glenavon FC12732+1624
4Newington Youth3818614+1560
5Queen's University38151211+557
6Loughgall38141410+1256
7Institute3817813+1359
7Newry City AFC13544-219
8Ards3815716+552
9Warrenpoint Town3811819-841
10Ballinamallard United3891118-1638
11Dundela3851320-3428
12Armagh City384727-8219
12Moyola Park12426-1014
13Rathfriland12408-1112
15Strabane Athletic13247-1110

Team Insights

Ards
  • ●Ards have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Ards failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Ards have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Ards failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Ards have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Ards have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●73% of Ards's goals have been scored away.
  • ●75% of Ards's points have been earned away.
Newington Youth
  • ●Newington Youth have won their last 2 matches.
  • ●Newington Youth have won their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Newington Youth failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Newington Youth failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Newington Youth have won 4 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Newington Youth have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●66% of Newington Youth's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●Newington Youth have scored 66% of their goals in the first half.
  • ●Newington Youth have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
ArdsArds
DAArmagh City16º1–1
DAArmagh City12º1–1
DAArmagh City12º1–1
DARathfriland0–0
LHInstitute6º0–2
LHInstitute7º0–2
LHInstitute7º0–2
WANewington Youth2º2–0
WANewington Youth4º2–0
WANewington Youth4º2–0
Newington YouthNewington Youth
WANewry City AFC7º2–0
LHBallymena United1–3
WAMoyola Park12º3–2
LHArds10º0–2
LHArds8º0–2
LHArds8º0–2
LAInstitute6º0–7
LAInstitute7º0–7
LAInstitute7º0–7
WHBallinamallard United4º4–0

Season Schedule

Ards
DAArmagh City1–1
LHInstitute0–2
WANewington Youth2–0
DABallinamallard United1–1
LHStrabane Athletic0–1
DAMoyola Park0–0
–HNewry City AFC31/10
–AH&W Welders07/11
–HMoyola Park13/11
Newington Youth
WANewry City AFC2–0
WAMoyola Park3–2
LHArds0–2
LAInstitute0–7
WHBallinamallard United4–0
LAGlenavon FC0–1
–HH&W Welders30/10
–AArmagh City07/11
–HWarrenpoint Town13/11

Top Scorers

Ards
Newington Youth
A. Kelly1 ⚽
D. Stuart1 ⚽
J. Tully1 ⚽
R. Donnelly1 ⚽
1 ⚽