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H&W Welders vs Ards — Championship

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Northern Ireland · Championship · Regular Season - 15
H&W Welders
H&W Welders
11º · 1.23 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 14d 1h
vs
–
–
Ards
Ards
10º · 1.23 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 14d 1h
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H&W Welders and Ards meet in the Championship 2026 season on 7 November 2026. H&W Welders have recorded 8 wins from 22 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 59% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 73%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Ards have won 25% of their 16 matches, with 0.94 goals scored and 1.19 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 25%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.34 for H&W Welders and 1.43 for Ards. The models give H&W Welders a 39% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Ards win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 56%.

Season Statistics

H&W Welders
—
Ards
11º
Position
10º
1.23
PPG
1.23
38%
Win %
31%
1.46
Goals / game
1.15
1.69
Conceded / game
1.23
59%
BTTS %
44%
27%
Clean sheet %
25%
73%
Over 2.5 %
38%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

H&W Welders
Home (6)
—
Ards
Away (7)
1.50
PPG
1.71
50%
Win %
43%
1.50
Goals / game
1.57
1.33
Conceded / game
0.86
50%
BTTS %
50%
33%
Clean sheet %
30%
67%
Over 2.5 %
30%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

H&W WeldersHomeAwayArdsHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored82%83%80%56%50%60%
Over 1.5 Scored36%25%50%25%17%30%
Over 2.5 Scored23%17%30%13%0%20%
Failed To Score18%17%20%44%50%40%

Goals Conceded

H&W WeldersHomeAwayArdsHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded73%67%80%75%83%70%
Over 1.5 Conceded50%58%40%38%67%20%
Over 2.5 Conceded27%25%30%6%17%0%
Clean Sheets27%33%20%25%17%30%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

H&W WeldersArds
Over 0.595%88%
Over 1.591%69%
Over 2.573%38%
Over 3.536%19%
Over 4.59%0%
BTTS59%44%
BTTS & Win14%13%
BTTS & Draw9%19%
BTTS & Over 2.550%31%
BTTS No & Over 2.523%6%

1st Half / 2nd Half

H&W WeldersArds
Win 1st Half29%33%
Draw 1st Half29%47%
Loss 1st Half43%20%
Scored 1st Half52%47%
Conceded 1st Half57%33%
Win 2nd Half29%13%
Draw 2nd Half29%40%
Loss 2nd Half43%47%
Scored 2nd Half52%27%
Conceded 2nd Half67%67%
Over 0.5 HT86%67%
Over 1.5 HT38%33%

Recent Venue Form

H&W Welders (H)
LLoughgall1–2
LRathfriland1–3
LBallinamallard United1–3
WDundela2–0
WArmagh City1–0
WWarrenpoint Town3–0
Ards (A)
DArmagh City1–1
DRathfriland0–0
WNewington Youth2–0
DBallinamallard United1–1
DMoyola Park0–0
LAnnagh United1–2

Head to Head · 19 matches

9
H&W Welders
47%
1
Draws
5%
9
Ards
47%
74%
Over 1.5
14/19
63%
Over 2.5
12/19
37%
Over 3.5
7/19
53%
BTTS
10/19
14/02/26
Ards
2–3
H&W Welders
15/11/25
Ards
1–4
H&W Welders
06/09/25
H&W Welders
1–2
Ards
05/04/25
Ards
2–5
H&W Welders
15/03/25
H&W Welders
0–1
Ards
30/11/24
H&W Welders
4–0
Ards
21/09/24
Ards
3–1
H&W Welders
24/02/24
Ards
0–1
H&W Welders
18/11/23
H&W Welders
0–3
Ards
25/08/23
Ards
1–1
H&W Welders
11/02/23
Ards
0–1
H&W Welders
12/11/22
H&W Welders
2–5
Ards
13/08/22
H&W Welders
0–2
Ards
26/03/22
H&W Welders
4–0
Ards
11/12/21
H&W Welders
2–1
Ards
14/08/21
Ards
1–0
H&W Welders
07/03/20
H&W Welders
1–2
Ards
28/01/20
Ards
1–2
H&W Welders
06/08/19
Ards
1–0
H&W Welders
Championship
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Limavady United382495+3581
2Annagh United3822610+1672
3H&W Welders3819910+3966
3Glenavon FC12732+1624
4Newington Youth3818614+1560
5Queen's University38151211+557
6Loughgall38141410+1256
7Institute3817813+1359
7Newry City AFC13544-219
8Ards3815716+552
9Warrenpoint Town3811819-841
10Ballinamallard United3891118-1638
11Dundela3851320-3428
12Armagh City384727-8219
12Moyola Park12426-1014
13Rathfriland12408-1112
15Strabane Athletic13247-1110

Team Insights

H&W Welders
  • ●H&W Welders have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
  • ●H&W Welders have lost their last 3 home matches.
  • ●H&W Welders have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
  • ●H&W Welders have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●H&W Welders have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●H&W Welders failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●H&W Welders have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
Ards
  • ●Ards have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Ards failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Ards have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Ards failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Ards have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Ards have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●73% of Ards's goals have been scored away.
  • ●75% of Ards's points have been earned away.
H&W WeldersH&W Welders
LHLoughgall9º1–2
LHLoughgall6º1–2
LHLoughgall5º1–2
WAArmagh City3–1
LAGlenavon FC3º0–4
DAInstitute6º0–0
DAInstitute7º0–0
DAInstitute7º0–0
LHRathfriland13º1–3
LANewry City AFC7º2–3
ArdsArds
DAArmagh City16º1–1
DAArmagh City12º1–1
DAArmagh City12º1–1
DARathfriland0–0
LHInstitute6º0–2
LHInstitute7º0–2
LHInstitute7º0–2
WANewington Youth2º2–0
WANewington Youth4º2–0
WANewington Youth4º2–0

Season Schedule

H&W Welders
LHLoughgall1–2
LAGlenavon FC0–4
DAInstitute0–0
LHRathfriland1–3
LANewry City AFC2–3
LHBallinamallard United1–3
–ANewington Youth30/10
–HArds07/11
–ARathfriland13/11
Ards
DAArmagh City1–1
LHInstitute0–2
WANewington Youth2–0
DABallinamallard United1–1
LHStrabane Athletic0–1
DAMoyola Park0–0
–HNewry City AFC31/10
–AH&W Welders07/11
–HMoyola Park13/11

Top Scorers

H&W Welders
4 ⚽
D. Mhondiwa1 ⚽
S. Forbes1 ⚽
Ards