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Ballinamallard United vs Rathfriland — Championship

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Northern Ireland · Championship · Regular Season - 15
Ballinamallard United
Ballinamallard United
4º · 1.62 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 14d 1h
vs
–
–
Rathfriland
Rathfriland
13º · 1.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 17d 1h
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Ballinamallard United and Rathfriland meet in the Championship 2026 season on 6 November 2026. Ballinamallard United have recorded 6 wins from 17 matches this season (35% win rate), averaging 1.29 goals scored and 1.24 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 59% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Rathfriland have won 31% of their 13 matches, with 0.92 goals scored and 1.77 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 46%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 23%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.57 for Ballinamallard United and 1.41 for Rathfriland. The models give Ballinamallard United a 43% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Rathfriland win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 60%.

Season Statistics

Ballinamallard United
—
Rathfriland
4º
Position
13º
1.62
PPG
1.00
46%
Win %
33%
1.54
Goals / game
1.00
1.38
Conceded / game
1.92
59%
BTTS %
46%
24%
Clean sheet %
23%
47%
Over 2.5 %
54%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Ballinamallard United
Home (6)
—
Rathfriland
Away (6)
1.00
PPG
1.00
17%
Win %
33%
1.17
Goals / game
1.17
1.50
Conceded / game
2.17
88%
BTTS %
50%
0%
Clean sheet %
17%
50%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

Ballinamallard UnitedHomeAwayRathfrilandHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored71%88%56%62%57%67%
Over 1.5 Scored29%25%33%23%14%33%
Over 2.5 Scored12%0%22%8%0%17%
Failed To Score29%13%44%38%43%33%

Goals Conceded

Ballinamallard UnitedHomeAwayRathfrilandHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded76%100%56%77%71%83%
Over 1.5 Conceded29%38%22%54%57%50%
Over 2.5 Conceded12%13%11%31%14%50%
Clean Sheets24%0%44%23%29%17%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Ballinamallard UnitedRathfriland
Over 0.588%92%
Over 1.571%69%
Over 2.547%54%
Over 3.529%38%
Over 4.56%8%
BTTS59%46%
BTTS & Win24%15%
BTTS & Draw24%0%
BTTS & Over 2.541%46%
BTTS No & Over 2.56%8%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Ballinamallard UnitedRathfriland
Win 1st Half12%25%
Draw 1st Half71%8%
Loss 1st Half18%67%
Scored 1st Half41%25%
Conceded 1st Half47%75%
Win 2nd Half47%33%
Draw 2nd Half24%33%
Loss 2nd Half29%33%
Scored 2nd Half53%50%
Conceded 2nd Half47%50%
Over 0.5 HT59%92%
Over 1.5 HT41%58%

Recent Venue Form

Ballinamallard United (H)
DQueen's University1–1
DWarrenpoint Town2–2
DArds1–1
DGlenavon FC1–1
LAnnagh United1–3
WDundela2–1
Rathfriland (A)
WDundela1–0
WH&W Welders3–1
LArds0–1
LGlenavon FC1–3
LNewington Youth0–4
LAnnagh United2–4
Championship
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Limavady United382495+3581
2Annagh United3822610+1672
3H&W Welders3819910+3966
3Glenavon FC12732+1624
4Newington Youth3818614+1560
5Queen's University38151211+557
6Loughgall38141410+1256
7Institute3817813+1359
7Newry City AFC13544-219
8Ards3815716+552
9Warrenpoint Town3811819-841
10Ballinamallard United3891118-1638
11Dundela3851320-3428
12Armagh City384727-8219
12Moyola Park12426-1014
13Rathfriland12408-1112
15Strabane Athletic13247-1110

Team Insights

Ballinamallard United
  • ●Ballinamallard United have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
  • ●Ballinamallard United have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
  • ●Ballinamallard United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
  • ●Ballinamallard United have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Ballinamallard United have won their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Ballinamallard United have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Ballinamallard United failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Ballinamallard United failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Ballinamallard United have won 5 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Ballinamallard United have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●65% of Ballinamallard United's goals have been scored away.
  • ●71% of Ballinamallard United's points have been earned away.
Rathfriland
  • ●Rathfriland have won their last 3 matches.
  • ●Rathfriland have won their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Rathfriland failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Rathfriland have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Rathfriland failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Rathfriland have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Rathfriland have conceded 70% of their goals in the first half.
Ballinamallard UnitedBallinamallard United
WAStrabane Athletic15º1–0
DHQueen's University1–1
DHWarrenpoint Town8º2–2
DHWarrenpoint Town9º2–2
DHWarrenpoint Town9º2–2
WAQueen's University5º1–0
WAQueen's University5º1–0
WAQueen's University6º1–0
DHArds10º1–1
DHArds8º1–1
RathfrilandRathfriland
DHArds0–0
WADundela14º1–0
WADundela11º1–0
WADundela11º1–0
WHArmagh City16º2–1
WHArmagh City12º2–1
WHArmagh City12º2–1
WAH&W Welders11º3–1
WAH&W Welders3º3–1
WAH&W Welders3º3–1

Season Schedule

Ballinamallard United
WAStrabane Athletic1–0
DHWarrenpoint Town2–2
WAQueen's University1–0
DHArds1–1
LANewington Youth0–4
WAH&W Welders3–1
–HArmagh City31/10
–HRathfriland06/11
–AAnnagh United13/11
Rathfriland
WADundela1–0
WHArmagh City2–1
WAH&W Welders3–1
LHWarrenpoint Town0–2
WHQueen's University1–0
LAArds0–1
–HStrabane Athletic30/10
–ABallinamallard United06/11
–HH&W Welders13/11

Top Scorers

Ballinamallard United
2 ⚽
R. Mayse1 ⚽
Rathfriland