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Rathfriland vs Strabane Athletic — Championship

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Northern Ireland · Championship · Regular Season - 14
Rathfriland
Rathfriland
13º · 1.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 10d 1h
vs
–
–
Strabane Athletic
Strabane Athletic
15º · 0.77 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 7d 1h
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Rathfriland and Strabane Athletic meet in the Championship 2026 season on 30 October 2026. Rathfriland have recorded 4 wins from 13 matches this season (31% win rate), averaging 0.92 goals scored and 1.77 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 46% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 54%; and clean sheets in 23% of games. Strabane Athletic have won 12% of their 17 matches, with 0.76 goals scored and 2.12 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 12%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.55 for Rathfriland and 1.33 for Strabane Athletic. The models give Rathfriland a 45% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Strabane Athletic win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 58%.

Season Statistics

Rathfriland
—
Strabane Athletic
13º
Position
15º
1.00
PPG
0.77
33%
Win %
15%
1.00
Goals / game
0.85
1.92
Conceded / game
1.69
46%
BTTS %
47%
23%
Clean sheet %
12%
54%
Over 2.5 %
53%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Rathfriland
Home (6)
—
Strabane Athletic
Away (6)
1.00
PPG
1.17
33%
Win %
33%
0.83
Goals / game
1.00
1.67
Conceded / game
2.17
43%
BTTS %
38%
29%
Clean sheet %
13%
43%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

RathfrilandHomeAwayStrabane AthleticHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored62%57%67%53%56%50%
Over 1.5 Scored23%14%33%18%22%13%
Over 2.5 Scored8%0%17%6%0%13%
Failed To Score38%43%33%47%44%50%

Goals Conceded

RathfrilandHomeAwayStrabane AthleticHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded77%71%83%88%89%88%
Over 1.5 Conceded54%57%50%47%56%38%
Over 2.5 Conceded31%14%50%24%11%38%
Clean Sheets23%29%17%12%11%13%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

RathfrilandStrabane Athletic
Over 0.592%94%
Over 1.569%65%
Over 2.554%53%
Over 3.538%41%
Over 4.58%24%
BTTS46%47%
BTTS & Win15%6%
BTTS & Draw0%24%
BTTS & Over 2.546%35%
BTTS No & Over 2.58%18%

1st Half / 2nd Half

RathfrilandStrabane Athletic
Win 1st Half25%13%
Draw 1st Half8%44%
Loss 1st Half67%44%
Scored 1st Half25%38%
Conceded 1st Half75%63%
Win 2nd Half33%25%
Draw 2nd Half33%25%
Loss 2nd Half33%50%
Scored 2nd Half50%31%
Conceded 2nd Half50%56%
Over 0.5 HT92%69%
Over 1.5 HT58%44%

Recent Venue Form

Rathfriland (H)
DArds0–0
WArmagh City2–1
LWarrenpoint Town0–2
WQueen's University1–0
LInstitute0–2
LNewry City AFC1–2
Strabane Athletic (A)
LWarrenpoint Town0–1
WArds1–0
DDundela1–1
LQueen's University0–6
LGlenavon FC1–4
WMoyola Park3–1

Head to Head · 3 matches

1
Rathfriland
33%
0
Draws
0%
2
Strabane Athletic
67%
100%
Over 1.5
3/3
100%
Over 2.5
3/3
33%
Over 3.5
1/3
67%
BTTS
2/3
28/02/26
Rathfriland
2–5
Strabane Athletic
29/11/25
Strabane Athletic
0–3
Rathfriland
22/11/25
Strabane Athletic
2–1
Rathfriland
Championship
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Limavady United382495+3581
2Annagh United3822610+1672
3H&W Welders3819910+3966
3Glenavon FC12732+1624
4Newington Youth3818614+1560
5Queen's University38151211+557
6Loughgall38141410+1256
7Institute3817813+1359
7Newry City AFC13544-219
8Ards3815716+552
9Warrenpoint Town3811819-841
10Ballinamallard United3891118-1638
11Dundela3851320-3428
12Armagh City384727-8219
12Moyola Park12426-1014
13Rathfriland12408-1112
15Strabane Athletic13247-1110

Team Insights

Rathfriland
  • ●Rathfriland have won their last 3 matches.
  • ●Rathfriland have won their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Rathfriland failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Rathfriland have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Rathfriland failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Rathfriland have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Rathfriland have conceded 70% of their goals in the first half.
Strabane Athletic
  • ●Strabane Athletic have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
  • ●Strabane Athletic have failed to win in their last 7 home matches.
  • ●Strabane Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Strabane Athletic have lost 4 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Strabane Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●70% of Strabane Athletic's points have been earned away.
  • ●Strabane Athletic have scored 64% of their goals in the first half.
  • ●Strabane Athletic have conceded 59% of their goals in the first half.
RathfrilandRathfriland
DHArds0–0
WADundela14º1–0
WADundela11º1–0
WADundela11º1–0
WHArmagh City16º2–1
WHArmagh City12º2–1
WHArmagh City12º2–1
WAH&W Welders11º3–1
WAH&W Welders3º3–1
WAH&W Welders3º3–1
Strabane AthleticStrabane Athletic
LHBallinamallard United4º0–1
LHBallinamallard United10º0–1
LHBallinamallard United10º0–1
LHGlenavon FC0–5
DHLoughgall9º1–1
DHLoughgall6º1–1
DHLoughgall5º1–1
LAWarrenpoint Town8º0–1
LAWarrenpoint Town9º0–1
LAWarrenpoint Town9º0–1

Season Schedule

Rathfriland
WADundela1–0
WHArmagh City2–1
WAH&W Welders3–1
LHWarrenpoint Town0–2
WHQueen's University1–0
LAArds0–1
–HStrabane Athletic30/10
–ABallinamallard United06/11
–HH&W Welders13/11
Strabane Athletic
LHBallinamallard United0–1
DHLoughgall1–1
LAWarrenpoint Town0–1
DHArmagh City0–0
WAArds1–0
DADundela1–1
–ARathfriland30/10
–HAnnagh United06/11
–ANewry City AFC13/11

Top Scorers

Rathfriland
Strabane Athletic
C. McLoughlin1 ⚽
D. Sharkey1 ⚽

Cards Given

Rathfriland
Strabane Athletic
1 🟨