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Ards vs Newry City AFC — Championship

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Northern Ireland · Championship · Regular Season - 14
Ards
Ards
10º · 1.23 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 7d 1h
vs
–
–
Newry City AFC
Newry City AFC
7º · 1.46 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 7d 20h
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Ards and Newry City AFC meet in the Championship 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Ards have recorded 4 wins from 16 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 0.94 goals scored and 1.19 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Newry City AFC have won 40% of their 15 matches, with 1.40 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 13%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.21 for Ards and 1.53 for Newry City AFC. The models give Ards a 34% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Newry City AFC win at 40%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 55%.

Season Statistics

Ards
—
Newry City AFC
10º
Position
7º
1.23
PPG
1.46
31%
Win %
38%
1.15
Goals / game
1.54
1.23
Conceded / game
1.69
44%
BTTS %
67%
25%
Clean sheet %
13%
38%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Ards
Home (6)
—
Newry City AFC
Away (6)
0.67
PPG
1.83
17%
Win %
50%
0.67
Goals / game
1.67
1.67
Conceded / game
1.17
33%
BTTS %
71%
17%
Clean sheet %
14%
50%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

ArdsHomeAwayNewry CityHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored56%50%60%80%75%86%
Over 1.5 Scored25%17%30%40%38%43%
Over 2.5 Scored13%0%20%20%25%14%
Failed To Score44%50%40%20%25%14%

Goals Conceded

ArdsHomeAwayNewry CityHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded75%83%70%87%88%86%
Over 1.5 Conceded38%67%20%53%63%43%
Over 2.5 Conceded6%17%0%20%25%14%
Clean Sheets25%17%30%13%13%14%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

ArdsNewry City
Over 0.588%100%
Over 1.569%87%
Over 2.538%67%
Over 3.519%40%
Over 4.50%13%
BTTS44%67%
BTTS & Win13%27%
BTTS & Draw19%27%
BTTS & Over 2.531%53%
BTTS No & Over 2.56%13%

1st Half / 2nd Half

ArdsNewry City
Win 1st Half33%40%
Draw 1st Half47%40%
Loss 1st Half20%20%
Scored 1st Half47%60%
Conceded 1st Half33%47%
Win 2nd Half13%27%
Draw 2nd Half40%33%
Loss 2nd Half47%40%
Scored 2nd Half27%40%
Conceded 2nd Half67%53%
Over 0.5 HT67%80%
Over 1.5 HT33%40%

Recent Venue Form

Ards (H)
LInstitute0–2
LStrabane Athletic0–1
WRathfriland1–0
LQueen's University0–3
LLoughgall1–2
DDundela2–2
Newry City (A)
LCarrick Rangers0–3
DQueen's University1–1
LLoughgall1–2
DStrabane Athletic2–2
WInstitute3–1
WRathfriland2–1

Head to Head · 12 matches

3
Ards
25%
1
Draws
8%
8
Newry City
67%
92%
Over 1.5
11/12
67%
Over 2.5
8/12
42%
Over 3.5
5/12
42%
BTTS
5/12
04/03/25
Newry City AFC
2–0
Ards
14/12/24
Ards
0–1
Newry City AFC
04/10/24
Newry City AFC
1–4
Ards
12/03/22
Newry City AFC
4–0
Ards
29/10/21
Ards
1–1
Newry City AFC
27/08/21
Newry City AFC
2–1
Ards
12/10/19
Newry City AFC
5–1
Ards
10/08/19
Ards
0–3
Newry City AFC
05/04/19
Newry City AFC
3–0
Ards
23/02/19
Ards
3–1
Newry City AFC
17/11/18
Newry City AFC
2–0
Ards
24/08/18
Ards
4–0
Newry City AFC
Championship
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Limavady United382495+3581
2Annagh United3822610+1672
3H&W Welders3819910+3966
3Glenavon FC12732+1624
4Newington Youth3818614+1560
5Queen's University38151211+557
6Loughgall38141410+1256
7Institute3817813+1359
7Newry City AFC13544-219
8Ards3815716+552
9Warrenpoint Town3811819-841
10Ballinamallard United3891118-1638
11Dundela3851320-3428
12Armagh City384727-8219
12Moyola Park12426-1014
13Rathfriland12408-1112
15Strabane Athletic13247-1110

Team Insights

Ards
  • ●Ards have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Ards failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Ards have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Ards failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Ards have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●Ards have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
  • ●73% of Ards's goals have been scored away.
  • ●75% of Ards's points have been earned away.
Newry City
  • ●Newry City AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 matches.
  • ●Newry City AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
  • ●Newry City AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Newry City AFC have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
  • ●Newry City AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Newry City AFC failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Newry City AFC have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●Newry City AFC have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
  • ●68% of Newry City AFC's goals conceded were conceded at home.
  • ●Newry City AFC have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
ArdsArds
DAArmagh City16º1–1
DAArmagh City12º1–1
DAArmagh City12º1–1
DARathfriland0–0
LHInstitute6º0–2
LHInstitute7º0–2
LHInstitute7º0–2
WANewington Youth2º2–0
WANewington Youth4º2–0
WANewington Youth4º2–0
Newry City AFCNewry City AFC
LHNewington Youth2º0–2
LHNewington Youth4º0–2
LHNewington Youth4º0–2
LACarrick Rangers0–3
DAQueen's University5º1–1
DAQueen's University5º1–1
DAQueen's University6º1–1
WHDundela14º3–1
WHDundela11º3–1
WHDundela11º3–1

Season Schedule

Ards
DAArmagh City1–1
LHInstitute0–2
WANewington Youth2–0
DABallinamallard United1–1
LHStrabane Athletic0–1
DAMoyola Park0–0
–HNewry City AFC31/10
–AH&W Welders07/11
–HMoyola Park13/11
Newry City
LHNewington Youth0–2
DAQueen's University1–1
WHDundela3–1
LALoughgall1–2
WHH&W Welders3–2
DHAnnagh United1–1
–AArds31/10
–AMoyola Park06/11
–HStrabane Athletic13/11

Top Scorers

Ards
Newry City
3 ⚽
R. Swan1 ⚽

Cards Given

Ards
Newry City
1 🟨