Newington Youth vs H&W Welders — Championship
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Newington Youth and H&W Welders meet in the Championship 2026 season on 30 October 2026. Newington Youth have recorded 9 wins from 18 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.89 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. H&W Welders have won 36% of their 22 matches, with 1.50 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 73%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.21 for Newington Youth and 1.50 for H&W Welders. The models give Newington Youth a 55% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an H&W Welders win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 71% and BTTS at 69%.
Season Statistics
Newington Youth—
H&W Welders2º
Position
11º
2.00
PPG
1.23
62%
Win %
38%
2.23
Goals / game
1.46
1.69
Conceded / game
1.69
56%
BTTS %
59%
22%
Clean sheet %
27%
67%
Over 2.5 %
73%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Newington Youth
Home (6)
—
H&W Welders
Away (7)
2.17
PPG
1.00
67%
Win %
29%
3.17
Goals / game
1.43
1.50
Conceded / game
2.00
57%
BTTS %
70%
29%
Clean sheet %
20%
86%
Over 2.5 %
80%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Newington Youth | Home | Away | H&W Welders | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 86% | 73% | 82% | 83% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 56% | 71% | 45% | 36% | 25% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 28% | 57% | 9% | 23% | 17% | 30% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 14% | 27% | 18% | 17% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Newington Youth | Home | Away | H&W Welders | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 71% | 82% | 73% | 67% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 39% | 43% | 36% | 50% | 58% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 29% | 9% | 27% | 25% | 30% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 29% | 18% | 27% | 33% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Newington Youth | H&W Welders | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 91% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 9% |
| BTTS | 56% | 59% |
| BTTS & Win | 28% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 23% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Newington Youth | H&W Welders | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 22% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 28% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 61% | 52% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 39% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 39% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 52% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 44% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 61% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Newington Youth (H)L
Ballymena United1–3
Ballymena United1–3L
Ards0–2
Ards0–2W
Ballinamallard United4–0
Ballinamallard United4–0D
Dundela5–5
Dundela5–5W
Rathfriland4–0
Rathfriland4–0W
Queen's University2–1
Queen's University2–1H&W Welders (A)W
Armagh City3–1
Armagh City3–1L
Glenavon FC0–4
Glenavon FC0–4D
Institute0–0
Institute0–0L
Newry City AFC2–3
Newry City AFC2–3L
Annagh United1–3
Annagh United1–3W
Moyola Park4–1
Moyola Park4–1Head to Head · 14 matches
4
Newington Youth
29%
1
Draws
7%
9
H&W Welders
64%
86%
Over 1.5
12/14
71%
Over 2.5
10/14
43%
Over 3.5
6/14
64%
BTTS
9/14
18/04/26H&W Welders
Newington Youth
2–4H&W Welders31/01/26Newington Youth
H&W Welders
2–1Newington Youth01/11/25H&W Welders
Newington Youth
2–1H&W Welders23/08/25Newington Youth
H&W Welders
3–2Newington Youth22/03/25H&W Welders
Newington Youth
2–0H&W Welders14/12/24Newington Youth
H&W Welders
1–0Newington Youth12/10/24H&W Welders
Newington Youth
1–4H&W Welders27/01/24Newington Youth
H&W Welders
3–1Newington Youth22/12/23Newington Youth
H&W Welders
2–2Newington Youth12/08/23H&W Welders
Newington Youth
0–2H&W Welders15/04/23Newington Youth
H&W Welders
5–4Newington Youth18/02/23H&W Welders
Newington Youth
0–3H&W Welders16/12/22H&W Welders
Newington Youth
2–1H&W Welders08/10/22Newington Youth
H&W Welders
0–1Newington Youth| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Limavady United | 38 | 24 | 9 | 5 | +35 | 81 |
| 2 | Annagh United | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | +16 | 72 |
| 3 | H&W Welders | 38 | 19 | 9 | 10 | +39 | 66 |
| 3 | Glenavon FC | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +16 | 24 |
| 4 | Newington Youth | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | +15 | 60 |
| 5 | Queen's University | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | +5 | 57 |
| 6 |  Loughgall | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | +12 | 56 |
| 7 | Institute | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | +13 | 59 |
| 7 | Newry City AFC | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | -2 | 19 |
| 8 | Ards | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | +5 | 52 |
| 9 |  Warrenpoint Town | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | -8 | 41 |
| 10 | Ballinamallard United | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | -16 | 38 |
| 11 | Dundela | 38 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -34 | 28 |
| 12 | Armagh City | 38 | 4 | 7 | 27 | -82 | 19 |
| 12 | Moyola Park | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 14 |
| 13 | Rathfriland | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -11 | 12 |
| 15 |  Strabane Athletic | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -11 | 10 |
Team Insights
Newington Youth- ●Newington Youth have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Newington Youth have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Newington Youth failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Newington Youth failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Newington Youth have won 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Newington Youth have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●66% of Newington Youth's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Newington Youth have scored 66% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Newington Youth have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
H&W Welders- ●H&W Welders have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●H&W Welders have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●H&W Welders have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●H&W Welders have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●H&W Welders have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●H&W Welders failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●H&W Welders have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
Season Schedule
Newington YouthWANewry City AFC2–0
Newry City AFC2–0WAMoyola Park3–2
Moyola Park3–2LHArds0–2
Ards0–2LAInstitute0–7
Institute0–7WHBallinamallard United4–0
Ballinamallard United4–0LAGlenavon FC0–1
Glenavon FC0–1–HH&W Welders30/10
H&W Welders30/10–AArmagh City07/11
Armagh City07/11–HWarrenpoint Town13/11
Warrenpoint Town13/11H&W WeldersLHLoughgall1–2
Loughgall1–2LAGlenavon FC0–4
Glenavon FC0–4DAInstitute0–0
Institute0–0LHRathfriland1–3
Rathfriland1–3LANewry City AFC2–3
Newry City AFC2–3LHBallinamallard United1–3
Ballinamallard United1–3–ANewington Youth30/10
Newington Youth30/10–HArds07/11
Ards07/11–ARathfriland13/11
Rathfriland13/11Top Scorers
Newington YouthA. Kelly1 ⚽
D. Stuart1 ⚽
J. Tully1 ⚽
R. Donnelly1 ⚽
1 ⚽
H&W Welders4 ⚽
D. Mhondiwa1 ⚽
S. Forbes1 ⚽