Luton vs Oxford United — League One
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Kenilworth Road·Luton, Bedfordshire·England·11,500
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Luton and Oxford United meet in the League One 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Luton have recorded 11 wins from 21 matches this season (52% win rate), averaging 2.14 goals scored and 1.24 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 62%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Oxford United have won 56% of their 18 matches, with 1.78 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 61%, and clean sheets at 28%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.64 for Luton and 1.47 for Oxford United. The models give Luton a 44% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Oxford United win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Luton—
Oxford United3º
Position
4º
1.71
PPG
1.92
50%
Win %
50%
1.93
Goals / game
1.67
1.50
Conceded / game
0.92
57%
BTTS %
67%
29%
Clean sheet %
28%
62%
Over 2.5 %
61%
6.4
Avg corners
5.2
14.5
Avg shots
13.9
5.5
Avg shots on target
4.6
1.4
Avg yellow cards
1.6
11.0
Avg fouls
12.5
52.5%
Avg possession
54.8%
Home vs Away
Luton
Home (7)
—
Oxford United
Away (6)
2.00
PPG
1.83
57%
Win %
50%
1.71
Goals / game
1.83
1.00
Conceded / game
1.17
50%
BTTS %
80%
30%
Clean sheet %
10%
50%
Over 2.5 %
70%
6.4
Avg corners
5.2
14.5
Avg shots
13.9
5.5
Avg shots on target
4.6
1.4
Avg yellow cards
1.6
52.5%
Avg possession
54.8%
Goals Scored
| Luton | Home | Away | Oxford United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 80% | 92% | 89% | 88% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 64% | 70% | 58% | 61% | 63% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 27% | 20% | 33% | 22% | 25% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 20% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 10% |
Goals Conceded
| Luton | Home | Away | Oxford United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 70% | 75% | 72% | 50% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 32% | 10% | 50% | 22% | 13% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 0% | 17% | 6% | 0% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 30% | 25% | 28% | 50% | 10% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Luton | Oxford United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 91% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 61% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 23% | 0% |
| BTTS | 59% | 67% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 23% | 28% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 45% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Luton | Oxford United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 45% | 44% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 17% |
| Scored 1st Half | 64% | 61% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 41% | 28% |
| Win 2nd Half | 41% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 45% | 28% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 14% | 22% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 73% | 72% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 41% | 22% |
Recent Venue Form
Luton (H)W
Doncaster3–1
Doncaster3–1W
Leicester2–1
Leicester2–1W
Barnsley2–1
Barnsley2–1W
Ipswich Town U216–0
Ipswich Town U216–0L
Bradford0–1
Bradford0–1D
Leyton Orient1–1
Leyton Orient1–1Oxford United (A)DBarnsley1–1
Barnsley1–1D
Mansfield Town1–1
Mansfield Town1–1W
Notts County2–1
Notts County2–1D
Exeter City2–2
Exeter City2–2WLeicester4–0
Leicester4–0L
Huddersfield1–3
Huddersfield1–3Number of Corners
10.9
Corners / Match
17 games
League Avg
11.4
152 games
11.3
Corners / Match
13 games
| Match Corners | Luton | Oxford United | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 94% | 92% | 94% |
| Over 7 | 94% | 85% | 88% |
| Over 8 | 94% | 85% | 80% |
| Over 9 | 88% | 69% | 67% |
| Over 10 | 47% | 54% | 52% |
| Over 11 | 18% | 46% | 43% |
| Over 12 | 12% | 38% | 36% |
| Over 13 | 12% | 31% | 26% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Luton | Oxford United |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.3 | 5.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.6 | 6.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 88% | 77% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 82% | 62% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 76% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 76% | 85% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 65% | 85% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 35% | 77% |
Head to Head · 9 matches
4
Luton
44%
3
Draws
33%
2
Oxford United
22%
100%
Over 1.5
9/9
78%
Over 2.5
7/9
67%
Over 3.5
6/9
89%
BTTS
8/9
21/01/25Luton
Oxford United
3–2Luton01/10/24Oxford United
Luton
2–2Oxford United04/05/19Oxford United
Luton
3–1Oxford United02/10/18Luton
Oxford United
1–2Luton01/03/17Oxford United
Luton
2–3Oxford United16/04/16Luton
Oxford United
2–3Luton15/08/15Oxford United
Luton
2–2Oxford United07/02/15Luton
Oxford United
1–1Luton27/09/14Oxford United
Luton
2–0Oxford United| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | +16 | 29 |
| 2 |  Stockport County | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +12 | 26 |
| 3 | Luton | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | +6 | 24 |
| 4 | Oxford United | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | +9 | 23 |
| 5 |  Plymouth | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | +2 | 23 |
| 6 |  Reading | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +12 | 22 |
| 7 | Bradford | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 22 |
| 8 |  Cambridge United | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 21 |
| 9 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +8 | 20 |
| 10 | Leicester | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 | Mansfield Town | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 |  Milton Keynes Dons | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Wycombe | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | +5 | 17 |
| 15 |  Burton Albion | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | -3 | 17 |
| 16 |  Stevenage | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 16 |
| 17 | Notts County | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 |  AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | -12 | 13 |
| 19 |  Blackpool | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 12 |
| 20 | Doncaster | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 12 |
| 21 |  Wigan | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -11 | 11 |
| 22 |  Peterborough | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -12 | 10 |
| 23 | Barnsley | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 9 |
| 24 |  Bromley | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | -20 | 9 |
Team Insights
Luton- ●Luton have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Luton have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Luton have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Luton failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Luton have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Luton failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Luton have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Luton failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Luton have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Luton have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●67% of Luton's goals conceded were conceded away.
Oxford United- ●Oxford United have been undefeated in their last 9 matches.
- ●Oxford United have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Oxford United have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Oxford United have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Oxford United have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Oxford United have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Oxford United failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Oxford United have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Oxford United have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
Season Schedule
LutonDAHuddersfield1–1
Huddersfield1–1WAPeterborough2–0
Peterborough2–0WHDoncaster3–1
Doncaster3–1WHLeicester2–1
Leicester2–1WHBarnsley2–1
Barnsley2–1LAMilton Keynes Dons1–2
Milton Keynes Dons1–2–HCambridge United14/11
Cambridge United14/11–ABurton Albion21/11
Burton Albion21/11–HOxford United28/11
Oxford United28/11Oxford UnitedDABarnsley1–1
Barnsley1–1WHStockport County1–0
Stockport County1–0DHBradford0–0
Bradford0–0WHWigan2–1
Wigan2–1DAMansfield Town1–1
Mansfield Town1–1WANotts County2–1
Notts County2–1–HReading04/11
Reading04/11–APeterborough14/11
Peterborough14/11–HWycombe21/11
Wycombe21/11Top Scorers
LutonJordan Clark7 ⚽
N. Wells5 ⚽
Nahki Wells4 ⚽
Devante Cole4 ⚽
Jamie Donley4 ⚽
Callum Marshall3 ⚽
Oxford UnitedG. O'Donkor5 ⚽
Mark Harris5 ⚽
S. Mills2 ⚽
Louie Sibley2 ⚽
Gatlin O Donkor2 ⚽
Siriki Dembele2 ⚽
Cards Given
LutonDan Gore3 🟨
Kasey Palmer2 🟨
Jamie Donley2 🟨
Harrison Ashby2 🟨
G. Kodua2 🟨
L. Walsh2 🟨
Oxford UnitedPeter Kioso3 🟨
M. Harris2 🟨
Cameron Brannagan2 🟨
Gatlin O Donkor2 🟨
C. Brannagan2 🟨
Louie Sibley2 🟨