MatchPulse

Luton vs Cambridge United — League One

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Luton
Luton
10º · 1.55 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 21d 3h
vs
–
–
Cambridge United
Cambridge United
6º · 1.67 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 21d 1h
Kenilworth Road·Luton, Bedfordshire·England·11,500
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Luton and Cambridge United meet in the League One 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Luton have recorded 9 wins from 19 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 2.11 goals scored and 1.32 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 26% of games. Cambridge United have won 52% of their 21 matches, with 1.62 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 76%, Over 2.5 at 62%, and clean sheets at 19%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.52 for Luton and 1.45 for Cambridge United. The models give Luton a 42% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Cambridge United win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 59%.

Season Statistics

Luton
—
Cambridge United
10º
Position
6º
1.55
PPG
1.67
45%
Win %
42%
1.91
Goals / game
1.67
1.73
Conceded / game
1.42
58%
BTTS %
76%
26%
Clean sheet %
19%
63%
Over 2.5 %
62%
6.9
Avg corners
7.4
14.9
Avg shots
13.2
5.6
Avg shots on target
4.7
1.4
Avg yellow cards
1.9
10.9
Avg fouls
10.5
53.2%
Avg possession
49.7%

Home vs Away

Luton
Home (6)
—
Cambridge United
Away (5)
1.83
PPG
1.80
50%
Win %
40%
1.50
Goals / game
1.60
1.00
Conceded / game
1.20
44%
BTTS %
80%
33%
Clean sheet %
20%
44%
Over 2.5 %
60%
6.9
Avg corners
7.4
14.9
Avg shots
13.2
5.6
Avg shots on target
4.7
1.4
Avg yellow cards
1.9
53.2%
Avg possession
49.7%

Goals Scored

LutonHomeAwayCambridge UnitedHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored84%78%90%86%82%90%
Over 1.5 Scored63%67%60%57%55%60%
Over 2.5 Scored26%11%40%14%9%20%
Failed To Score16%22%10%14%18%10%

Goals Conceded

LutonHomeAwayCambridge UnitedHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded74%67%80%81%82%80%
Over 1.5 Conceded37%11%60%24%36%10%
Over 2.5 Conceded11%0%20%5%9%0%
Clean Sheets26%33%20%19%18%20%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

LutonCambridge United
Over 0.5100%90%
Over 1.589%76%
Over 2.563%62%
Over 3.537%29%
Over 4.526%14%
BTTS58%76%
BTTS & Win21%43%
BTTS & Draw21%24%
BTTS & Over 2.547%62%
BTTS No & Over 2.516%0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

LutonCambridge United
Win 1st Half37%25%
Draw 1st Half32%40%
Loss 1st Half32%35%
Scored 1st Half58%30%
Conceded 1st Half47%50%
Win 2nd Half37%50%
Draw 2nd Half53%40%
Loss 2nd Half11%10%
Scored 2nd Half74%80%
Conceded 2nd Half53%45%
Over 0.5 HT84%65%
Over 1.5 HT47%20%

Recent Venue Form

Luton (H)
WLeicester2–1
WBarnsley2–1
WIpswich Town U216–0
LBradford0–1
DLeyton Orient1–1
WStockport County2–0
Cambridge United (A)
WBarnsley2–1
WGillingham4–1
DOxford United1–1
DBurton Albion2–2
WBradford2–1
DBromley1–1

Number of Corners

11.1
Corners / Match
14 games
League Avg
11.3
133 games
12.1
Corners / Match
15 games
Match CornersLutonCambridge UnitedLeague Avg
Over 693%93%93%
Over 793%80%86%
Over 893%80%78%
Over 986%53%65%
Over 1057%40%53%
Over 1121%40%44%
Over 1214%40%37%
Over 1314%33%27%

Team Corners

Team CornersLutonCambridge United
Corners Earned / Match6.97.4
Corners Against / Match4.34.7
Over 2.5 Corners For93%100%
Over 3.5 Corners For86%93%
Over 4.5 Corners For79%73%
Over 2.5 Corners Against71%73%
Over 3.5 Corners Against57%47%
Over 4.5 Corners Against29%40%

Head to Head · 20 matches

9
Luton
45%
7
Draws
35%
4
Cambridge United
20%
75%
Over 1.5
15/20
50%
Over 2.5
10/20
35%
Over 3.5
7/20
50%
BTTS
10/20
07/10/25
Cambridge United
3–1
Luton
05/02/22
Cambridge United
0–3
Luton
03/03/18
Cambridge United
1–1
Luton
18/11/17
Luton
7–0
Cambridge United
28/01/17
Luton
2–0
Cambridge United
27/08/16
Cambridge United
0–3
Luton
16/01/16
Luton
0–0
Cambridge United
05/09/15
Cambridge United
1–3
Luton
31/01/15
Luton
3–2
Cambridge United
03/01/15
Cambridge United
2–1
Luton
20/09/14
Cambridge United
0–1
Luton
11/03/14
Cambridge United
1–1
Luton
14/01/14
Luton
0–1
Cambridge United
11/01/14
Cambridge United
2–2
Luton
26/08/13
Luton
0–0
Cambridge United
30/03/13
Cambridge United
2–2
Luton
20/10/12
Cambridge United
0–2
Luton
04/09/12
Luton
3–2
Cambridge United
19/11/11
Cambridge United
1–1
Luton
27/09/11
Luton
0–1
Cambridge United
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Huddersfield12741+1325
2Stockport County12723+1223
3Bradford12642+522
4Plymouth13715+222
5Reading12633+1221
6Cambridge United12552+320
7Oxford United10541+819
8Sheffield Wednesday11533+818
9Mansfield Town11533+418
10Luton11524+217
11Burton Albion13454-117
12Stevenage11434+415
13Leicester11434015
14Wycombe12363-415
15Leyton Orient12426+214
16AFC Wimbledon12345-1113
17Doncaster11335-112
18Milton Keynes Dons11263-612
19Notts County11254-311
20Blackpool11326-411
21Peterborough12246-1010
22Bromley11236-169
23Barnsley11227-108
24Wigan11218-97

Team Insights

Luton
  • ●Luton have won their last 2 matches.
  • ●Luton failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
  • ●Luton have won their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Luton failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Luton have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Luton failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
  • ●Luton failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Luton have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●68% of Luton's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●Luton have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Cambridge United
  • ●Cambridge United have scored in each of their last 12 matches.
  • ●Cambridge United have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
  • ●Cambridge United have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
  • ●Cambridge United have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Cambridge United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Cambridge United have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
  • ●Cambridge United failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Cambridge United have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
  • ●Cambridge United failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Cambridge United have scored in 5 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●65% of Cambridge United's goals conceded were conceded at home.
WHLeicester13º2–1
WHBarnsley23º2–1
WAWycombe14º4–1
DAColchester1–1
LHBradford3º0–1
LAStevenage12º1–2
DHLeyton Orient15º1–1
LHPlymouth4º2–3
DHWycombe14º2–2
WABarnsley23º2–1
WHBlackpool20º1–0
DHAFC Wimbledon16º1–1
WAGillingham4–1
DAOxford United7º1–1
WHReading5º2–1
DABurton Albion11º2–2

Season Schedule

Luton
WHLeicester2–1
WHBarnsley2–1
LAMilton Keynes Dons1–2
WAWycombe4–1
LHBradford0–1
LAStevenage1–2
–HDoncaster27/10
–APeterborough31/10
–AHuddersfield03/11
Cambridge United
LHPlymouth2–3
DHWycombe2–2
WABarnsley2–1
WHBlackpool1–0
DHAFC Wimbledon1–1
DAOxford United1–1
–ASheffield Wednesday27/10
–ALeyton Orient31/10
–ALuton14/11

Top Scorers

Luton
N. Wells5 ⚽
Jordan Clark5 ⚽
Nahki Wells4 ⚽
Devante Cole4 ⚽
Mads Juel Andersen3 ⚽
G. Kodua2 ⚽
Cambridge United
Gassan Ahadme4 ⚽
Shayne Lavery3 ⚽
I. Heath3 ⚽
B. Knight3 ⚽
Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu2 ⚽
Ben Knight2 ⚽

Cards Given

Luton
Dan Gore3 🟨
Liam Walsh2 🟨
L. Walsh2 🟨
Harrison Ashby2 🟨
G. Kodua2 🟨
Mads Juel Andersen2 🟨
Cambridge United
Kelland Watts3 🟨
Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu2 🟨
Callum Perry2 🟨
Ben Knight2 🟨
Cathal Séan Heffernan Andrews2 🟨
Raees Bangura-Williams2 🟨