Rochdale vs Barnet — League Two
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Rochdale and Barnet meet in the League Two 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Rochdale have recorded 4 wins from 22 matches this season (18% win rate), averaging 1.32 goals scored and 2.18 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 68%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Barnet have won 43% of their 23 matches, with 1.87 goals scored and 1.26 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 87%, Over 2.5 at 70%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.54 for Rochdale and 1.75 for Barnet. The models give Rochdale a 30% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Barnet win at 46%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Rochdale—
Barnet20º
Position
2º
1.07
PPG
2.00
29%
Win %
54%
1.21
Goals / game
2.15
1.86
Conceded / game
1.38
55%
BTTS %
87%
18%
Clean sheet %
13%
68%
Over 2.5 %
70%
4.4
Avg corners
6.3
10.2
Avg shots
15.3
3.2
Avg shots on target
4.8
1.3
Avg yellow cards
1.8
10.5
Avg fouls
13.3
52.7%
Avg possession
53.5%
Home vs Away
Rochdale
Home (7)
—
Barnet
Away (6)
1.43
PPG
2.00
43%
Win %
50%
1.43
Goals / game
2.17
1.86
Conceded / game
1.33
64%
BTTS %
80%
27%
Clean sheet %
20%
82%
Over 2.5 %
60%
4.4
Avg corners
6.3
10.2
Avg shots
15.3
3.2
Avg shots on target
4.8
1.3
Avg yellow cards
1.8
52.7%
Avg possession
53.5%
Goals Scored
| Rochdale | Home | Away | Barnet | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 92% | 45% | 91% | 92% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 48% | 58% | 36% | 57% | 62% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 25% | 0% | 30% | 31% | 30% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 8% | 55% | 9% | 8% | 10% |
Goals Conceded
| Rochdale | Home | Away | Barnet | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 75% | 91% | 87% | 92% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 70% | 75% | 64% | 30% | 38% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 43% | 50% | 36% | 9% | 8% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 25% | 9% | 13% | 8% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Rochdale | Barnet | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 87% | 87% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 | 52% | 48% |
| Over 4.5 | 39% | 9% |
| BTTS | 57% | 87% |
| BTTS & Win | 4% | 39% |
| BTTS & Draw | 26% | 35% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 52% | 70% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Rochdale | Barnet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 48% |
| Loss 1st Half | 48% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 39% | 61% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 70% | 61% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 39% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 26% | 39% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 43% | 22% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 74% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 74% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 87% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 48% | 48% |
Recent Venue Form
Rochdale (H)L
Doncaster1–4
Doncaster1–4L
Accrington ST0–5
Accrington ST0–5D
Grimsby2–2
Grimsby2–2W
Swindon Town1–0
Swindon Town1–0D
Liverpool U213–3
Liverpool U213–3W
Oldham2–0
Oldham2–0Barnet (A)D
Crewe1–1
Crewe1–1W
Tranmere2–1
Tranmere2–1W
Bristol Rovers3–1
Bristol Rovers3–1D
AFC Wimbledon0–0
AFC Wimbledon0–0D
Chesterfield3–3
Chesterfield3–3D
Exeter City1–1
Exeter City1–1Number of Corners
9.4
Corners / Match
18 games
League Avg
9.8
152 games
11.3
Corners / Match
15 games
| Match Corners | Rochdale | Barnet | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 78% | 93% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 72% | 87% | 75% |
| Over 8 | 44% | 73% | 63% |
| Over 9 | 44% | 67% | 55% |
| Over 10 | 39% | 53% | 38% |
| Over 11 | 22% | 47% | 32% |
| Over 12 | 11% | 33% | 20% |
| Over 13 | 11% | 33% | 15% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Rochdale | Barnet |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.4 | 6.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.0 | 5.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 83% | 87% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 61% | 80% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 44% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 89% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 72% | 73% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 61% | 47% |
Head to Head · 6 matches
2
Rochdale
33%
1
Draws
17%
3
Barnet
50%
83%
Over 1.5
5/6
50%
Over 2.5
3/6
33%
Over 3.5
2/6
33%
BTTS
2/6
22/02/25Barnet
Rochdale
0–4Barnet26/10/24Rochdale
Barnet
2–1Rochdale05/03/24Rochdale
Barnet
2–0Rochdale16/09/23Barnet
Rochdale
4–2Barnet23/02/13Rochdale
Barnet
0–0Rochdale01/09/12Barnet
Rochdale
2–0Barnet| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +10 | 31 |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | +9 | 22 |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 21 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +6 | 20 |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +6 | 19 |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +3 | 19 |
| 11 | Tranmere | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +2 | 19 |
| 12 | Exeter City | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 19 |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 17 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -6 | 16 |
| 18 | Oldham | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 15 |
| 20 | Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -7 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 9 |
Team Insights
Rochdale- ●Rochdale have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Rochdale failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Rochdale have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Rochdale have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Rochdale have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Rochdale have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Rochdale have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Rochdale failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
Barnet- ●Barnet have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Barnet failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●Barnet have scored in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●Barnet failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Barnet have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Barnet have been undefeated in their last 6 away matches.
- ●Barnet failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Barnet have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Barnet failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Barnet have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Barnet failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Barnet have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Barnet have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Barnet have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
RochdaleLAPort Vale2–4
Port Vale2–4LHAccrington ST0–5
Accrington ST0–5DHGrimsby2–2
Grimsby2–2LACrewe2–3
Crewe2–3DATranmere1–1
Tranmere1–1WHSwindon Town1–0
Swindon Town1–0–HYork14/11
York14/11–ANorthampton21/11
Northampton21/11–HBarnet28/11
Barnet28/11BarnetDACrewe1–1
Crewe1–1WHYork3–1
York3–1DHOldham1–1
Oldham1–1LHSwindon Town1–3
Swindon Town1–3WATranmere2–1
Tranmere2–1WABristol Rovers3–1
Bristol Rovers3–1–AWalsall14/11
Walsall14/11–HPort Vale21/11
Port Vale21/11–ACrawley Town24/11
Crawley Town24/11Top Scorers
RochdaleI. Henderson5 ⚽
Ian Henderson4 ⚽
Dajaune Brown4 ⚽
Charlie Tasker2 ⚽
Aden Flint2 ⚽
Cian Hayes2 ⚽
BarnetKabongo Tshimanga8 ⚽
K. Tshimanga5 ⚽
T. Knowles4 ⚽
C. Lakin4 ⚽
Charlie Lakin3 ⚽
Zac Williams3 ⚽
Cards Given
RochdaleEdward Francis3 🟨
Olutobi Adebayo-Rowling3 🟨
B. Bilongo3 🟨
Cian Hayes2 🟨
D. Moss2 🟨
Babajide Ezekiel Adeeko2 🟨
BarnetIdris Kanu5 🟨
Oisin Gallagher3 🟨
Nnamdi Ofoborh3 🟨
Isiah Noel Williams2 🟨
Dean Brennan2 🟨
B. Comley2 🟨