Port Vale vs Newport County — League Two
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Port Vale and Newport County meet in the League Two 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Port Vale have recorded 10 wins from 20 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.40 goals scored and 0.95 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 30% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 30%; and clean sheets in 45% of games. Newport County have won 32% of their 25 matches, with 1.56 goals scored and 1.32 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 32%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.67 for Port Vale and 1.03 for Newport County. The models give Port Vale a 51% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Newport County win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Port Vale | Home | Away | Newport County | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 90% | 50% | 77% | 91% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 40% | 10% | 46% | 45% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 30% | 10% | 19% | 18% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 10% | 50% | 23% | 9% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Port Vale | Home | Away | Newport County | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 55% | 20% | 90% | 69% | 82% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 30% | 10% | 50% | 38% | 45% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 0% | 20% | 12% | 18% | 7% |
| Clean Sheets | 45% | 80% | 10% | 31% | 18% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Port Vale | Newport County | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 65% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 30% | 62% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 35% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 15% |
| BTTS | 30% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 12% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 27% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 15% | 46% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Port Vale | Newport County | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 35% |
| Draw 1st Half | 35% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 15% | 23% |
| Scored 1st Half | 55% | 46% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 20% | 31% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 35% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 23% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 42% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 40% | 65% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 45% | 54% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 23% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Port Vale | Newport County | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 80% | 63% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 67% | 63% | 75% |
| Over 8 | 60% | 56% | 63% |
| Over 9 | 60% | 44% | 55% |
| Over 10 | 40% | 19% | 38% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 19% | 32% |
| Over 12 | 20% | 0% | 20% |
| Over 13 | 7% | 0% | 15% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Port Vale | Newport County |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.5 | 3.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.1 | 4.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 93% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 73% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 40% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 80% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 40% | 31% |
Head to Head · 11 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +10 | 31 | |
| 2 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +10 | 26 | |
| 3 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | +9 | 22 | |
| 4 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 22 | |
| 5 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 21 | |
| 6 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +6 | 20 | |
| 7 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 20 | |
| 8 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 20 | |
| 9 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +6 | 19 | |
| 10 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +3 | 19 | |
| 11 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +2 | 19 | |
| 12 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 19 | |
| 13 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 19 | |
| 14 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 18 | |
| 15 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 18 | |
| 16 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 17 | |
| 17 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -6 | 16 | |
| 18 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 15 | |
| 19 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 15 | |
| 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 14 | |
| 21 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -5 | 12 | |
| 22 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -7 | 12 | |
| 23 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 12 | |
| 24 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 9 |
Team Insights
- ●Port Vale have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Port Vale have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Port Vale failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Port Vale have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Port Vale failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Port Vale have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●80% of Port Vale's goals have been scored at home.
- ●79% of Port Vale's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●93% of Port Vale's points have been earned at home.
- ●Port Vale have scored 70% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Newport County have been undefeated in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Newport County have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Newport County failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Newport County have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Newport County failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●70% of Newport County's goals have been scored at home.
- ●65% of Newport County's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●83% of Newport County's points have been earned at home.