Exeter City vs Crawley Town — League Two
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Exeter City and Crawley Town meet in the League Two 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Exeter City have recorded 7 wins from 21 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 0.95 goals scored and 0.81 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 24%; and clean sheets in 43% of games. Crawley Town have won 22% of their 18 matches, with 1.17 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.46 for Exeter City and 0.94 for Crawley Town. The models give Exeter City a 54% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Crawley Town win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
Exeter City—
Crawley Town8º
Position
24º
1.46
PPG
0.55
38%
Win %
9%
0.77
Goals / game
1.09
0.54
Conceded / game
1.91
33%
BTTS %
56%
43%
Clean sheet %
17%
24%
Over 2.5 %
50%
4.4
Avg corners
4.0
11.1
Avg shots
13.3
3.7
Avg shots on target
4.6
1.9
Avg yellow cards
2.6
12.1
Avg fouls
11.9
44.1%
Avg possession
51.1%
Home vs Away
Exeter City
Home (7)
—
Crawley Town
Away (5)
2.14
PPG
0.80
57%
Win %
20%
1.14
Goals / game
1.20
0.29
Conceded / game
1.80
40%
BTTS %
60%
60%
Clean sheet %
20%
20%
Over 2.5 %
50%
4.4
Avg corners
4.0
11.1
Avg shots
13.3
3.7
Avg shots on target
4.6
1.9
Avg yellow cards
2.6
44.1%
Avg possession
51.1%
Goals Scored
| Exeter City | Home | Away | Crawley Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 62% | 80% | 45% | 72% | 63% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 50% | 18% | 33% | 38% | 30% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 13% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 20% | 55% | 28% | 38% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Exeter City | Home | Away | Crawley Town | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 57% | 40% | 73% | 83% | 88% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 24% | 10% | 36% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 28% | 25% | 30% |
| Clean Sheets | 43% | 60% | 27% | 17% | 13% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Exeter City | Crawley Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 57% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 24% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 10% | 39% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 17% |
| BTTS | 33% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 5% | 6% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 24% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Exeter City | Crawley Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 28% |
| Draw 1st Half | 52% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 19% | 39% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 24% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 22% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 48% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 48% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 14% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Exeter City (H)W
Fleetwood Town2–1
Fleetwood Town2–1W
Crewe2–0
Crewe2–0D
Oxford United2–2
Oxford United2–2W
Rotherham1–0
Rotherham1–0D
Tranmere0–0
Tranmere0–0W
Tottenham Hotspur U212–0
Tottenham Hotspur U212–0Crawley Town (A)L
Salford City1–2
Salford City1–2L
Milton Keynes Dons1–4
Milton Keynes Dons1–4L
Grimsby0–2
Grimsby0–2L
Accrington ST2–3
Accrington ST2–3D
Northampton1–1
Northampton1–1W
Rochdale2–1
Rochdale2–1Number of Corners
9.4
Corners / Match
16 games
League Avg
10.0
137 games
9.8
Corners / Match
14 games
| Match Corners | Exeter City | Crawley Town | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 94% | 79% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 81% | 79% | 76% |
| Over 8 | 75% | 57% | 65% |
| Over 9 | 63% | 36% | 58% |
| Over 10 | 31% | 29% | 41% |
| Over 11 | 19% | 21% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 21% | 21% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 14% | 16% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Exeter City | Crawley Town |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.4 | 4.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.1 | 5.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 81% | 79% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 64% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 38% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 69% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 69% | 79% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 63% | 50% |
Head to Head · 17 matches
7
Exeter City
41%
5
Draws
29%
5
Crawley Town
29%
88%
Over 1.5
15/17
65%
Over 2.5
11/17
41%
Over 3.5
7/17
76%
BTTS
13/17
21/04/25Exeter City
Crawley Town
3–1Exeter City29/12/24Crawley Town
Exeter City
4–4Crawley Town08/08/23Crawley Town
Exeter City
2–1Crawley Town15/03/22Crawley Town
Exeter City
2–1Crawley Town19/10/21Exeter City
Crawley Town
1–3Exeter City27/02/21Exeter City
Crawley Town
2–0Exeter City20/10/20Crawley Town
Exeter City
2–1Crawley Town29/02/20Crawley Town
Exeter City
1–1Crawley Town23/11/19Exeter City
Crawley Town
0–1Exeter City19/04/19Crawley Town
Exeter City
1–3Crawley Town23/10/18Exeter City
Crawley Town
1–1Exeter City21/04/18Crawley Town
Exeter City
2–2Crawley Town21/11/17Exeter City
Crawley Town
3–1Exeter City28/02/17Exeter City
Crawley Town
1–2Exeter City16/08/16Crawley Town
Exeter City
0–1Crawley Town28/03/16Exeter City
Crawley Town
0–2Exeter City14/11/15Crawley Town
Exeter City
2–2Crawley Town| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 25 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +8 | 22 |
| 3 |  Cheltenham | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 21 |
| 4 | Crewe | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 21 |
| 5 |  York | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 6 |  Walsall | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | +9 | 19 |
| 7 |  Chesterfield | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +6 | 19 |
| 8 | Exeter City | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 19 |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | +6 | 18 |
| 10 |  Shrewsbury | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 18 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 17 |
| 12 |  Gillingham | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 13 | Tranmere | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 14 |  Swindon Town | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 16 |
| 15 |  Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -4 | 16 |
| 16 |  Newport County | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| 17 | Rochdale | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 15 |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 14 |
| 19 | Northampton | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 20 |  Oldham | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 12 |
| 21 |  Colchester | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -5 | 12 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -6 | 12 |
| 23 |  Port Vale | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 6 |
Team Insights
Exeter City- ●Exeter City have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Exeter City have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Exeter City have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Exeter City have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Exeter City have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●80% of Exeter City's goals have been scored at home.
- ●79% of Exeter City's points have been earned at home.
Crawley Town- ●Crawley Town have failed to win in their last 9 matches.
- ●Crawley Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Crawley Town have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Crawley Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Crawley Town have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Crawley Town have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Crawley Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Crawley Town have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Crawley Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Crawley Town have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Crawley Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Crawley Town's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Exeter CityWHFleetwood Town2–1
Fleetwood Town2–1WHCrewe2–0
Crewe2–0DAColchester0–0
Colchester0–0WAShrewsbury1–0
Shrewsbury1–0WHRotherham1–0
Rotherham1–0LABristol Rovers0–1
Bristol Rovers0–1–ASalford City31/10
Salford City31/10–HCheltenham14/11
Cheltenham14/11–AOldham21/11
Oldham21/11Crawley TownDHTranmere1–1
Tranmere1–1LHShrewsbury2–3
Shrewsbury2–3LASalford City1–2
Salford City1–2DHChesterfield2–2
Chesterfield2–2LAGrimsby0–2
Grimsby0–2LHCheltenham1–3
Cheltenham1–3–AOldham31/10
Oldham31/10–ARotherham14/11
Rotherham14/11–HFleetwood Town21/11
Fleetwood Town21/11Top Scorers
Exeter CityCharlie Cummins3 ⚽
L. Woodhouse3 ⚽
Anthony Scully3 ⚽
J. Gordon2 ⚽
J. Fitzwater2 ⚽
Louie Cayless2 ⚽
Crawley TownDylan Morgan4 ⚽
D. Pereira2 ⚽
Gianmarco biase di2 ⚽
Stephen·Duke-Mckenna2 ⚽
G. Di Biase1 ⚽
Danilo Orsi1 ⚽
Cards Given
Exeter CityJack Fitzwater3 🟨
Taylor Perry3 🟨
E. Sutherland3 🟨
C. Cummins2 🟨
Edward James2 🟨
Charlie Cummins2 🟨
Crawley TownJ. Arthurs4 🟨
Priestley Farquharson3 🟨
C. Barker3 🟨
C. Kazim-Richards2 🟨
Dylan Morgan2 🟨
Charlie Barker2 🟨