Cheltenham vs Bristol Rovers — League Two
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Cheltenham and Bristol Rovers meet in the League Two 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Cheltenham have recorded 7 wins from 18 matches this season (39% win rate), averaging 1.67 goals scored and 1.72 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 72% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 72%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Bristol Rovers have won 33% of their 21 matches, with 1.38 goals scored and 1.62 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 52%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.82 for Cheltenham and 1.25 for Bristol Rovers. The models give Cheltenham a 49% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Bristol Rovers win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Cheltenham—
Bristol Rovers3º
Position
15º
1.62
PPG
1.23
46%
Win %
38%
1.69
Goals / game
1.23
1.69
Conceded / game
1.54
72%
BTTS %
52%
11%
Clean sheet %
29%
72%
Over 2.5 %
57%
4.1
Avg corners
5.4
9.4
Avg shots
16.2
3.4
Avg shots on target
4.8
2.0
Avg yellow cards
2.4
11.9
Avg fouls
12.9
46.2%
Avg possession
48.0%
Home vs Away
Cheltenham
Home (7)
—
Bristol Rovers
Away (6)
2.29
PPG
0.50
71%
Win %
17%
2.00
Goals / game
0.83
1.43
Conceded / game
2.00
73%
BTTS %
50%
9%
Clean sheet %
20%
73%
Over 2.5 %
70%
4.1
Avg corners
5.4
9.4
Avg shots
16.2
3.4
Avg shots on target
4.8
2.0
Avg yellow cards
2.4
46.2%
Avg possession
48.0%
Goals Scored
| Cheltenham | Home | Away | Bristol Rovers | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 82% | 86% | 76% | 82% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 56% | 64% | 43% | 38% | 27% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 18% | 29% | 14% | 9% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 18% | 14% | 24% | 18% | 30% |
Goals Conceded
| Cheltenham | Home | Away | Bristol Rovers | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 91% | 86% | 71% | 64% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 67% | 73% | 57% | 57% | 45% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 9% | 14% | 29% | 18% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 9% | 14% | 29% | 36% | 20% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Cheltenham | Bristol Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 94% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 | 72% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 19% |
| BTTS | 72% | 52% |
| BTTS & Win | 28% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 28% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 67% | 48% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Cheltenham | Bristol Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 28% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 61% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 28% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 61% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 78% | 48% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 39% | 48% |
Recent Venue Form
Cheltenham (H)W
Newport County1–0
Newport County1–0W
Fleetwood Town4–2
Fleetwood Town4–2D
Tottenham Hotspur U212–2
Tottenham Hotspur U212–2L
Salford City0–2
Salford City0–2W
Chesterfield2–1
Chesterfield2–1D
Exeter City2–2
Exeter City2–2Bristol Rovers (A)L
Shrewsbury0–1
Shrewsbury0–1L
Wycombe1–4
Wycombe1–4L
Crewe1–3
Crewe1–3L
Gillingham0–3
Gillingham0–3L
Grimsby0–2
Grimsby0–2W
Crawley Town2–0
Crawley Town2–0Number of Corners
9.7
Corners / Match
15 games
League Avg
10.0
137 games
9.1
Corners / Match
14 games
| Match Corners | Cheltenham | Bristol Rovers | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 87% | 79% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 73% | 71% | 76% |
| Over 8 | 60% | 57% | 65% |
| Over 9 | 53% | 43% | 58% |
| Over 10 | 40% | 29% | 41% |
| Over 11 | 27% | 21% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 20% | 14% | 21% |
| Over 13 | 7% | 14% | 16% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Cheltenham | Bristol Rovers |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.1 | 5.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.6 | 3.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 73% | 79% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 60% | 64% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 33% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 93% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 73% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 53% | 36% |
Head to Head · 17 matches
4
Cheltenham
24%
3
Draws
18%
10
Bristol Rovers
59%
71%
Over 1.5
12/17
41%
Over 2.5
7/17
29%
Over 3.5
5/17
41%
BTTS
7/17
25/04/26Cheltenham
Bristol Rovers
4–0Cheltenham22/11/25Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
1–0Bristol Rovers07/10/25Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
0–1Bristol Rovers13/04/24Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
1–3Bristol Rovers09/12/23Cheltenham
Bristol Rovers
1–1Cheltenham05/09/23Cheltenham
Bristol Rovers
4–1Cheltenham01/01/23Cheltenham
Bristol Rovers
2–1Cheltenham15/10/22Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
1–4Bristol Rovers31/08/21Cheltenham
Bristol Rovers
2–0Cheltenham10/08/21Cheltenham
Bristol Rovers
0–2Cheltenham13/08/19Cheltenham
Bristol Rovers
3–0Cheltenham11/02/14Cheltenham
Bristol Rovers
1–0Cheltenham26/11/13Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
0–0Bristol Rovers05/02/13Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
1–1Bristol Rovers03/10/12Cheltenham
Bristol Rovers
0–1Cheltenham21/01/12Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
0–2Bristol Rovers01/10/11Cheltenham
Bristol Rovers
1–3Cheltenham| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 25 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +8 | 22 |
| 3 | Cheltenham | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 21 |
| 4 | Crewe | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 21 |
| 5 |  York | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 6 |  Walsall | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | +9 | 19 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +6 | 19 |
| 8 | Exeter City | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 19 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | +6 | 18 |
| 10 | Shrewsbury | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 18 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 17 |
| 12 | Gillingham | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 13 |  Tranmere | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 14 |  Swindon Town | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 16 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -4 | 16 |
| 16 | Newport County | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| 17 |  Rochdale | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 15 |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 14 |
| 19 |  Northampton | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 20 |  Oldham | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 12 |
| 21 |  Colchester | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -5 | 12 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -6 | 12 |
| 23 |  Port Vale | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 6 |
Team Insights
Cheltenham- ●Cheltenham have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Cheltenham have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Cheltenham have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Cheltenham failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Cheltenham failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Cheltenham have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Cheltenham failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Cheltenham have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●64% of Cheltenham's goals have been scored at home.
- ●76% of Cheltenham's points have been earned at home.
- ●Cheltenham have scored 59% of their goals in the first half.
Bristol Rovers- ●Bristol Rovers have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Bristol Rovers have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Bristol Rovers have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Bristol Rovers have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Bristol Rovers failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Bristol Rovers have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●69% of Bristol Rovers's goals have been scored at home.
- ●81% of Bristol Rovers's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
CheltenhamWHNewport County1–0
Newport County1–0WHFleetwood Town4–2
Fleetwood Town4–2LAOldham1–4
Oldham1–4LHSalford City0–2
Salford City0–2LAAccrington ST0–2
Accrington ST0–2WHChesterfield2–1
Chesterfield2–1–ATranmere31/10
Tranmere31/10–AExeter City14/11
Exeter City14/11–HBristol Rovers21/11
Bristol Rovers21/11Bristol RoversDHSwindon Town0–0
Swindon Town0–0LHSalford City1–2
Salford City1–2LAShrewsbury0–1
Shrewsbury0–1LHBarnet1–3
Barnet1–3LACrewe1–3
Crewe1–3WHExeter City1–0
Exeter City1–0–AFleetwood Town31/10
Fleetwood Town31/10–HChesterfield14/11
Chesterfield14/11–ACheltenham21/11
Cheltenham21/11Top Scorers
CheltenhamCharlie McCann6 ⚽
C. McCann5 ⚽
Andreas Weimann4 ⚽
George Miller3 ⚽
Jake Evans3 ⚽
G. Miller2 ⚽
Bristol RoversT. Leigh3 ⚽
Ellis Harrison3 ⚽
B. Kamwa3 ⚽
F. Cavegn3 ⚽
M. Rijks2 ⚽
E. Harrison2 ⚽
Cards Given
CheltenhamCharlie McCann4 🟨
Jonathan Tomkinson4 🟨
Jake Evans4 🟨
Andreas Weimann3 🟨
Ben Stevenson3 🟨
Jordan Shipley3 🟨
Bristol RoversSteve Evans4 🟨
Kofi Balmer4 🟨
Shaqai Forde4 🟨
Keenan Gough3 🟨
Ben Purrington3 🟨
Tommy Leigh3 🟨