Swindon Town vs Grimsby — League Two
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Swindon Town and Grimsby meet in the League Two 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Swindon Town have recorded 7 wins from 22 matches this season (32% win rate), averaging 1.27 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 59%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Grimsby have won 35% of their 23 matches, with 1.52 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 52%, Over 2.5 at 52%, and clean sheets at 39%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.58 for Swindon Town and 1.36 for Grimsby. The models give Swindon Town a 42% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Grimsby win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Swindon Town—
Grimsby14º
Position
11º
1.23
PPG
1.31
31%
Win %
31%
1.00
Goals / game
1.46
1.23
Conceded / game
1.23
55%
BTTS %
52%
14%
Clean sheet %
39%
59%
Over 2.5 %
52%
4.2
Avg corners
7.1
10.6
Avg shots
15.1
3.1
Avg shots on target
5.1
1.5
Avg yellow cards
1.7
10.4
Avg fouls
11.5
44.8%
Avg possession
53.5%
Home vs Away
Swindon Town
Home (6)
—
Grimsby
Away (7)
1.83
PPG
1.00
50%
Win %
14%
1.67
Goals / game
1.57
1.00
Conceded / game
1.43
67%
BTTS %
58%
8%
Clean sheet %
33%
58%
Over 2.5 %
58%
4.2
Avg corners
7.1
10.6
Avg shots
15.1
3.1
Avg shots on target
5.1
1.5
Avg yellow cards
1.7
44.8%
Avg possession
53.5%
Goals Scored
| Swindon Town | Home | Away | Grimsby | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 59% | 75% | 40% | 74% | 82% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 42% | 30% | 48% | 55% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 23% | 25% | 20% | 17% | 18% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 41% | 25% | 60% | 26% | 18% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Swindon Town | Home | Away | Grimsby | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 92% | 80% | 61% | 55% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 32% | 25% | 40% | 43% | 45% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 23% | 8% | 40% | 4% | 9% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 8% | 20% | 39% | 45% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Swindon Town | Grimsby | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 74% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 | 41% | 35% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 13% |
| BTTS | 55% | 52% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 45% | 48% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 4% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Swindon Town | Grimsby | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 32% | 35% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 35% |
| Loss 1st Half | 32% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 55% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 52% |
| Win 2nd Half | 18% | 26% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 57% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 55% | 17% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 27% | 52% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 68% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 77% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 39% |
Recent Venue Form
Swindon Town (H)D
Walsall1–1
Walsall1–1L
Crewe0–1
Crewe0–1D
Accrington ST1–1
Accrington ST1–1L
Newport County0–2
Newport County0–2L
Crystal Palace U211–2
Crystal Palace U211–2W
Colchester3–1
Colchester3–1Grimsby (A)W
Gillingham4–1
Gillingham4–1D
Rochdale2–2
Rochdale2–2L
Port Vale0–1
Port Vale0–1LNewport County1–2
Newport County1–2L
Notts County1–2
Notts County1–2D
Cheltenham2–2
Cheltenham2–2Number of Corners
11.2
Corners / Match
15 games
League Avg
10.0
137 games
12.2
Corners / Match
15 games
| Match Corners | Swindon Town | Grimsby | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 93% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 80% | 93% | 76% |
| Over 8 | 60% | 93% | 65% |
| Over 9 | 53% | 93% | 58% |
| Over 10 | 47% | 60% | 41% |
| Over 11 | 47% | 60% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 40% | 40% | 21% |
| Over 13 | 33% | 40% | 16% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Swindon Town | Grimsby |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.2 | 7.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 7.0 | 5.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 73% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 60% | 80% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 47% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 80% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 80% | 73% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 67% | 60% |
Head to Head · 14 matches
7
Swindon Town
50%
2
Draws
14%
5
Grimsby
36%
93%
Over 1.5
13/14
79%
Over 2.5
11/14
50%
Over 3.5
7/14
57%
BTTS
8/14
25/04/26Swindon Town
Grimsby
4–0Swindon Town22/11/25Grimsby
Swindon Town
2–2Grimsby18/04/25Swindon Town
Grimsby
0–4Swindon Town21/12/24Grimsby
Swindon Town
3–1Grimsby20/04/24Swindon Town
Grimsby
2–0Swindon Town30/09/23Grimsby
Swindon Town
2–1Grimsby14/01/23Grimsby
Swindon Town
5–0Grimsby24/09/22Swindon Town
Grimsby
1–2Swindon Town22/02/20Grimsby
Swindon Town
3–1Grimsby07/12/19Swindon Town
Grimsby
0–3Swindon Town23/02/19Grimsby
Swindon Town
1–1Grimsby15/12/18Swindon Town
Grimsby
2–1Swindon Town21/04/18Grimsby
Swindon Town
0–1Grimsby21/11/17Swindon Town
Grimsby
3–2Swindon Town| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 25 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +8 | 22 |
| 3 | Cheltenham | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 21 |
| 4 | Crewe | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 21 |
| 5 |  York | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 6 | Walsall | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | +9 | 19 |
| 7 |  Chesterfield | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +6 | 19 |
| 8 |  Exeter City | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 19 |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | +6 | 18 |
| 10 |  Shrewsbury | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 18 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 17 |
| 12 | Gillingham | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 13 |  Tranmere | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 14 | Swindon Town | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 16 |
| 15 |  Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -4 | 16 |
| 16 | Newport County | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| 17 | Rochdale | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 15 |
| 18 |  Fleetwood Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 14 |
| 19 |  Northampton | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 20 |  Oldham | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 12 |
| 21 | Colchester | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -5 | 12 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -6 | 12 |
| 23 | Port Vale | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 6 |
Team Insights
Swindon Town- ●Swindon Town have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Swindon Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Swindon Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Swindon Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●77% of Swindon Town's goals have been scored at home.
Grimsby- ●Grimsby failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Grimsby failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Grimsby have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Grimsby failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Grimsby have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Grimsby have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Swindon TownDABristol Rovers0–0
Bristol Rovers0–0WABarnet3–1
Barnet3–1DHWalsall1–1
Walsall1–1LHCrewe0–1
Crewe0–1LARochdale0–1
Rochdale0–1DHAccrington ST1–1
Accrington ST1–1–HRotherham31/10
Rotherham31/10–HGrimsby14/11
Grimsby14/11–ANewport County21/11
Newport County21/11GrimsbyWAGillingham4–1
Gillingham4–1DARochdale2–2
Rochdale2–2LHNorthampton0–2
Northampton0–2LAPort Vale0–1
Port Vale0–1LHShrewsbury1–2
Shrewsbury1–2LANewport County1–2
Newport County1–2–HYork31/10
York31/10–ASwindon Town14/11
Swindon Town14/11–HRotherham21/11
Rotherham21/11Top Scorers
Swindon TownAaron Drinan7 ⚽
A. Drinan6 ⚽
P. Glatzel3 ⚽
Joseph Hungbo1 ⚽
F. Holman1 ⚽
Ben Middlemas1 ⚽
GrimsbyA. Cook6 ⚽
Kieran Green4 ⚽
J. Amaluzor3 ⚽
C. Vernam2 ⚽
Géza Dávid Turi2 ⚽
H. Rodgers2 ⚽
Cards Given
Swindon TownKaelan Majekodunmi4 🟨
J. Debayo3 🟨
Dan Butler3 🟨
James Debayo2 🟨
James Ball2 🟨
Ollie Clarke2 🟨
GrimsbyMaldini Kacurri4 🟨
Charles Vernam3 🟨
Kieran Green3 🟨
Jamie Walker2 🟨
Finn Cartwright2 🟨
C. McJannet2 🟨