Rochdale vs York — League Two
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Rochdale and York meet in the League Two 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Rochdale have recorded 4 wins from 21 matches this season (19% win rate), averaging 1.29 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 52% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 19% of games. York have won 30% of their 20 matches, with 1.55 goals scored and 1.65 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 75%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 15%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.63 for Rochdale and 1.39 for York. The models give Rochdale a 41% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an York win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Rochdale—
York17º
Position
5º
1.15
PPG
1.67
31%
Win %
42%
1.15
Goals / game
1.75
1.69
Conceded / game
1.08
52%
BTTS %
75%
19%
Clean sheet %
15%
67%
Over 2.5 %
55%
4.3
Avg corners
5.8
9.9
Avg shots
14.9
3.2
Avg shots on target
4.3
1.3
Avg yellow cards
1.4
10.2
Avg fouls
10.0
53.9%
Avg possession
60.8%
Home vs Away
Rochdale
Home (7)
—
York
Away (5)
1.43
PPG
0.60
43%
Win %
0%
1.43
Goals / game
1.00
1.86
Conceded / game
1.60
64%
BTTS %
83%
27%
Clean sheet %
0%
82%
Over 2.5 %
33%
4.3
Avg corners
5.8
9.9
Avg shots
14.9
3.2
Avg shots on target
4.3
1.3
Avg yellow cards
1.4
53.9%
Avg possession
60.8%
Goals Scored
| Rochdale | Home | Away | York | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 91% | 40% | 90% | 93% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 48% | 64% | 30% | 45% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 27% | 0% | 15% | 21% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 9% | 60% | 10% | 7% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Rochdale | Home | Away | York | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 81% | 73% | 90% | 85% | 79% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 67% | 73% | 60% | 45% | 43% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 38% | 45% | 30% | 20% | 14% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 19% | 27% | 10% | 15% | 21% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Rochdale | York | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 48% | 35% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 20% |
| BTTS | 52% | 75% |
| BTTS & Win | 5% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 29% | 35% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 48% | 45% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 19% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Rochdale | York | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 19% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 45% |
| Loss 1st Half | 48% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 71% | 60% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 43% | 35% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 65% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 71% | 65% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 48% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
Rochdale (H)L
Accrington ST0–5
Accrington ST0–5D
Grimsby2–2
Grimsby2–2W
Swindon Town1–0
Swindon Town1–0D
Liverpool U213–3
Liverpool U213–3W
Oldham2–0
Oldham2–0L
Gillingham1–4
Gillingham1–4York (A)D
Newport County1–1
Newport County1–1L
Chesterfield0–2
Chesterfield0–2D
Crewe1–1
Crewe1–1L
Cheltenham2–3
Cheltenham2–3D
Rotherham1–1
Rotherham1–1L
Pickering Town2–4
Pickering Town2–4Number of Corners
9.4
Corners / Match
16 games
League Avg
10.0
137 games
9.9
Corners / Match
14 games
| Match Corners | Rochdale | York | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 86% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 69% | 79% | 76% |
| Over 8 | 44% | 64% | 65% |
| Over 9 | 44% | 50% | 58% |
| Over 10 | 38% | 43% | 41% |
| Over 11 | 25% | 36% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 13% | 21% | 21% |
| Over 13 | 13% | 14% | 16% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Rochdale | York |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.3 | 5.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.1 | 4.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 81% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 56% | 86% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 44% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 88% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 69% | 64% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 63% | 50% |
Head to Head · 11 matches
1
Rochdale
9%
5
Draws
45%
5
York
45%
55%
Over 1.5
6/11
45%
Over 2.5
5/11
36%
Over 3.5
4/11
45%
BTTS
5/11
25/04/26York
Rochdale
1–1York11/11/25Rochdale
York
4–1Rochdale11/10/25York
Rochdale
1–2York25/03/25York
Rochdale
0–4York20/08/24Rochdale
York
1–0Rochdale16/12/23York
Rochdale
0–0York28/08/23Rochdale
York
1–3Rochdale05/04/14York
Rochdale
0–0York30/11/13Rochdale
York
0–0Rochdale12/03/13Rochdale
York
0–0Rochdale01/12/12York
Rochdale
2–3York| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 25 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +8 | 22 |
| 3 | Cheltenham | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 21 |
| 4 | Crewe | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 21 |
| 5 | York | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 6 |  Walsall | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | +9 | 19 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +6 | 19 |
| 8 |  Exeter City | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 19 |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | +6 | 18 |
| 10 |  Shrewsbury | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 18 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 17 |
| 12 | Gillingham | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 13 |  Tranmere | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 14 | Swindon Town | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 16 |
| 15 |  Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -4 | 16 |
| 16 | Newport County | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| 17 | Rochdale | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 15 |
| 18 |  Fleetwood Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 14 |
| 19 |  Northampton | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 20 | Oldham | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 12 |
| 21 |  Colchester | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -5 | 12 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -6 | 12 |
| 23 |  Port Vale | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 6 |
Team Insights
Rochdale- ●Rochdale have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Rochdale have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Rochdale have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Rochdale have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Rochdale failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●67% of Rochdale's goals have been scored at home.
York- ●York have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●York have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●York have been undefeated in their last 7 home matches.
- ●York have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●York failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●York have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●York have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●York failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●76% of York's goals have been scored at home.
- ●85% of York's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
RochdaleLHAccrington ST0–5
Accrington ST0–5DHGrimsby2–2
Grimsby2–2LACrewe2–3
Crewe2–3DATranmere1–1
Tranmere1–1WHSwindon Town1–0
Swindon Town1–0WAFleetwood Town2–1
Fleetwood Town2–1–APort Vale31/10
Port Vale31/10–HYork14/11
York14/11–ANorthampton21/11
Northampton21/11YorkWHPort Vale2–0
Port Vale2–0DHAccrington ST1–1
Accrington ST1–1DANewport County1–1
Newport County1–1DHNorthampton1–1
Northampton1–1WHGillingham3–0
Gillingham3–0LAChesterfield0–2
Chesterfield0–2–AGrimsby31/10
Grimsby31/10–ARochdale14/11
Rochdale14/11–HWalsall21/11
Walsall21/11Top Scorers
RochdaleI. Henderson5 ⚽
Dajaune Brown4 ⚽
Cian Hayes2 ⚽
Aden Flint2 ⚽
E. Ebanks-Landell2 ⚽
Ian Henderson2 ⚽
YorkOllie Pearce6 ⚽
A. Newby4 ⚽
Alex Newby3 ⚽
G. Olley2 ⚽
H. Boyes2 ⚽
T. Hewson2 ⚽
Cards Given
RochdaleOlutobi Adebayo-Rowling3 🟨
Edward Francis3 🟨
B. Bilongo3 🟨
L. Hannant2 🟨
Babajide Ezekiel Adeeko2 🟨
D. Moss2 🟨
YorkO. Banks2 🟨
Ollie Pearce2 🟨
Joey Grey2 🟨
M. Williams2 🟨
Ollie Banks2 🟨
Frankie Maguire1 🟨