Crewe vs Newport County — League Two
← Back

Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
billed annually · cancel anytime
Crewe and Newport County meet in the League Two 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Crewe have recorded 9 wins from 22 matches this season (41% win rate), averaging 1.55 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 68% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Newport County have won 29% of their 24 matches, with 1.46 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 58%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.71 for Crewe and 1.20 for Newport County. The models give Crewe a 51% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Newport County win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Crewe | Home | Away | Newport County | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 100% | 75% | 75% | 89% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 41% | 50% | 33% | 46% | 44% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 23% | 30% | 17% | 17% | 11% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 0% | 25% | 25% | 11% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Crewe | Home | Away | Newport County | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 90% | 58% | 67% | 78% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 36% | 30% | 42% | 38% | 44% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 0% | 17% | 13% | 22% | 7% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 10% | 42% | 33% | 22% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Crewe | Newport County | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 23% | 13% |
| BTTS | 68% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 32% | 29% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 45% | 42% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Crewe | Newport County | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 46% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 21% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 46% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 29% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 32% | 21% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 18% | 42% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 68% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 41% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 41% | 21% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Crewe | Newport County | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 60% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 69% | 60% | 76% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 53% | 65% |
| Over 9 | 44% | 40% | 58% |
| Over 10 | 44% | 20% | 41% |
| Over 11 | 44% | 20% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 44% | 0% | 21% |
| Over 13 | 31% | 0% | 16% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Crewe | Newport County |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.4 | 3.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.1 | 4.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 69% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 56% | 53% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 88% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 69% | 53% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 56% | 33% |
Head to Head · 15 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 25 | |
| 2 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +8 | 22 | |
| 3 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 21 | |
| 4 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 21 | |
| 5 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 | |
| 6 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | +9 | 19 | |
| 7 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +6 | 19 | |
| 8 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 19 | |
| 9 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | +6 | 18 | |
| 10 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 18 | |
| 11 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 17 | |
| 12 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 17 | |
| 13 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 16 | |
| 14 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 16 | |
| 15 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -4 | 16 | |
| 16 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 15 | |
| 17 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 15 | |
| 18 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 14 | |
| 19 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 13 | |
| 20 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 12 | |
| 21 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -5 | 12 | |
| 22 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -6 | 12 | |
| 23 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 12 | |
| 24 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 6 |
Team Insights
- ●Crewe have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Crewe have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Crewe failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Crewe have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Crewe have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Crewe failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Crewe have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Crewe have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Crewe have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●69% of Crewe's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Crewe have conceded 69% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Newport County have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Newport County have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Newport County have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Newport County failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Newport County have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Newport County failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●63% of Newport County's goals have been scored at home.
- ●69% of Newport County's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●80% of Newport County's points have been earned at home.