Swindon Town vs Rotherham — League Two
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Swindon Town and Rotherham meet in the League Two 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Swindon Town have recorded 7 wins from 22 matches this season (32% win rate), averaging 1.27 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 59%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Rotherham have won 22% of their 23 matches, with 1.13 goals scored and 1.61 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 39%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.59 for Swindon Town and 0.96 for Rotherham. The models give Swindon Town a 52% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Rotherham win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Swindon Town—
Rotherham14º
Position
22º
1.23
PPG
0.92
31%
Win %
15%
1.00
Goals / game
1.31
1.23
Conceded / game
1.77
55%
BTTS %
61%
14%
Clean sheet %
17%
59%
Over 2.5 %
39%
4.2
Avg corners
3.5
10.6
Avg shots
10.9
3.1
Avg shots on target
3.3
1.5
Avg yellow cards
2.1
10.4
Avg fouls
13.1
44.8%
Avg possession
48.8%
Home vs Away
Swindon Town
Home (6)
—
Rotherham
Away (6)
1.83
PPG
0.67
50%
Win %
17%
1.67
Goals / game
0.67
1.00
Conceded / game
1.33
67%
BTTS %
42%
8%
Clean sheet %
33%
58%
Over 2.5 %
17%
4.2
Avg corners
3.5
10.6
Avg shots
10.9
3.1
Avg shots on target
3.3
1.5
Avg yellow cards
2.1
44.8%
Avg possession
48.8%
Goals Scored
| Swindon Town | Home | Away | Rotherham | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 59% | 75% | 40% | 78% | 82% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 42% | 30% | 26% | 36% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 23% | 25% | 20% | 9% | 18% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 41% | 25% | 60% | 22% | 18% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Swindon Town | Home | Away | Rotherham | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 86% | 92% | 80% | 83% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 32% | 25% | 40% | 43% | 64% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 23% | 8% | 40% | 22% | 45% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 14% | 8% | 20% | 17% | 0% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Swindon Town | Rotherham | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 39% |
| Over 3.5 | 41% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 17% |
| BTTS | 55% | 61% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 4% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 43% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 45% | 35% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 4% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Swindon Town | Rotherham | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 32% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 32% | 39% |
| Scored 1st Half | 55% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 70% |
| Win 2nd Half | 18% | 26% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 39% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 55% | 35% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 27% | 48% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 68% | 52% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 77% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Swindon Town (H)D
Walsall1–1
Walsall1–1L
Crewe0–1
Crewe0–1D
Accrington ST1–1
Accrington ST1–1L
Newport County0–2
Newport County0–2L
Crystal Palace U211–2
Crystal Palace U211–2W
Colchester3–1
Colchester3–1Rotherham (A)L
Fleetwood Town0–2
Fleetwood Town0–2L
Exeter City0–1
Exeter City0–1D
York1–1
York1–1W
Northampton1–0
Northampton1–0L
Bristol Rovers0–1
Bristol Rovers0–1D
Tranmere2–2
Tranmere2–2Number of Corners
11.2
Corners / Match
15 games
League Avg
10.0
137 games
8.5
Corners / Match
15 games
| Match Corners | Swindon Town | Rotherham | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 60% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 80% | 53% | 76% |
| Over 8 | 60% | 53% | 65% |
| Over 9 | 53% | 47% | 58% |
| Over 10 | 47% | 33% | 41% |
| Over 11 | 47% | 33% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 40% | 20% | 21% |
| Over 13 | 33% | 20% | 16% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Swindon Town | Rotherham |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.2 | 3.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 7.0 | 4.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 73% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 60% | 53% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 47% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 80% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 80% | 53% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 67% | 47% |
Head to Head · 5 matches
4
Swindon Town
80%
0
Draws
0%
1
Rotherham
20%
100%
Over 1.5
5/5
100%
Over 2.5
5/5
40%
Over 3.5
2/5
80%
BTTS
4/5
01/11/25Swindon Town
Rotherham
1–2Swindon Town03/05/14Rotherham
Swindon Town
1–2Rotherham12/10/13Swindon Town
Rotherham
0–4Swindon Town14/01/12Swindon Town
Rotherham
1–2Swindon Town03/09/11Rotherham
Swindon Town
3–2Rotherham| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 25 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +8 | 22 |
| 3 |  Cheltenham | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 21 |
| 4 | Crewe | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 21 |
| 5 | York | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 6 | Walsall | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | +9 | 19 |
| 7 |  Chesterfield | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +6 | 19 |
| 8 | Exeter City | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 19 |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | +6 | 18 |
| 10 |  Shrewsbury | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 18 |
| 11 |  Grimsby | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 17 |
| 12 |  Gillingham | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 13 | Tranmere | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 14 | Swindon Town | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 16 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -4 | 16 |
| 16 | Newport County | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| 17 |  Rochdale | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 15 |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 14 |
| 19 | Northampton | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 20 |  Oldham | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 12 |
| 21 | Colchester | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -5 | 12 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -6 | 12 |
| 23 |  Port Vale | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 6 |
Team Insights
Swindon Town- ●Swindon Town have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Swindon Town failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Swindon Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Swindon Town failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●77% of Swindon Town's goals have been scored at home.
Rotherham- ●Rotherham have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Rotherham failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Rotherham have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Rotherham have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Rotherham failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Rotherham have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Rotherham have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Rotherham failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Rotherham have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Rotherham failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Rotherham have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●76% of Rotherham's goals have been scored at home.
- ●65% of Rotherham's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Rotherham have scored 59% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Swindon TownDABristol Rovers0–0
Bristol Rovers0–0WABarnet3–1
Barnet3–1DHWalsall1–1
Walsall1–1LHCrewe0–1
Crewe0–1LARochdale0–1
Rochdale0–1DHAccrington ST1–1
Accrington ST1–1–HRotherham31/10
Rotherham31/10–HGrimsby14/11
Grimsby14/11–ANewport County21/11
Newport County21/11RotherhamDHShrewsbury3–3
Shrewsbury3–3DHNewport County2–2
Newport County2–2LAFleetwood Town0–2
Fleetwood Town0–2LHGillingham1–4
Gillingham1–4LAExeter City0–1
Exeter City0–1DHCrewe1–1
Crewe1–1–ASwindon Town31/10
Swindon Town31/10–HCrawley Town14/11
Crawley Town14/11–AGrimsby21/11
Grimsby21/11Top Scorers
Swindon TownAaron Drinan7 ⚽
A. Drinan6 ⚽
P. Glatzel3 ⚽
Joseph Hungbo1 ⚽
F. Holman1 ⚽
Ben Middlemas1 ⚽
RotherhamPaul Mullin8 ⚽
F. Tavares3 ⚽
J. Buyabu2 ⚽
Trialist2 ⚽
Aaron Nemane1 ⚽
E. Otoo1 ⚽
Cards Given
Swindon TownKaelan Majekodunmi4 🟨
J. Debayo3 🟨
Dan Butler3 🟨
James Debayo2 🟨
James Ball2 🟨
Ollie Clarke2 🟨
RotherhamJosh Austerfield4 🟨
B. Cover3 🟨
Dominic Iorfa3 🟨
H. Douglas2 🟨
Denzel Hall2 🟨
A. Bruce2 🟨