Newport County vs Chesterfield — League Two
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Newport County and Chesterfield meet in the League Two 2026 season on 30 October 2026. Newport County have recorded 7 wins from 24 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.46 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 58%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Chesterfield have won 32% of their 19 matches, with 1.68 goals scored and 1.37 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 68%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 16%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.54 for Newport County and 1.09 for Chesterfield. The models give Newport County a 42% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Chesterfield win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Newport County | Home | Away | Chesterfield | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 89% | 67% | 79% | 80% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 46% | 44% | 47% | 42% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 11% | 20% | 21% | 40% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 11% | 33% | 21% | 20% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Newport County | Home | Away | Chesterfield | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 78% | 60% | 84% | 80% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 44% | 33% | 37% | 30% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 22% | 7% | 16% | 20% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 22% | 40% | 16% | 20% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Newport County | Chesterfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 74% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 32% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 26% |
| BTTS | 54% | 68% |
| BTTS & Win | 8% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 29% | 32% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 47% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Newport County | Chesterfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 37% |
| Draw 1st Half | 46% | 21% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 42% |
| Scored 1st Half | 46% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 29% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 32% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 21% | 47% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 42% | 21% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 67% | 58% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 58% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 21% | 21% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Newport County | Chesterfield | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 60% | 60% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 60% | 60% | 76% |
| Over 8 | 53% | 53% | 65% |
| Over 9 | 40% | 47% | 58% |
| Over 10 | 20% | 33% | 41% |
| Over 11 | 20% | 27% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 20% | 21% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 7% | 16% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Newport County | Chesterfield |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.5 | 5.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.4 | 3.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 53% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 53% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 47% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 73% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 53% | 47% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 33% | 27% |
Head to Head · 8 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 25 | |
| 2 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +8 | 22 | |
| 3 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 21 | |
| 4 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 21 | |
| 5 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 | |
| 6 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | +9 | 19 | |
| 7 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +6 | 19 | |
| 8 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 19 | |
| 9 | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | +6 | 18 | |
| 10 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 18 | |
| 11 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 17 | |
| 12 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 17 | |
| 13 | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 16 | |
| 14 | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 16 | |
| 15 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -4 | 16 | |
| 16 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 15 | |
| 17 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 15 | |
| 18 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 14 | |
| 19 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 13 | |
| 20 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 12 | |
| 21 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -5 | 12 | |
| 22 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -6 | 12 | |
| 23 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 12 | |
| 24 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 6 |
Team Insights
- ●Newport County have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Newport County have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Newport County have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Newport County failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Newport County have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Newport County failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●63% of Newport County's goals have been scored at home.
- ●69% of Newport County's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●80% of Newport County's points have been earned at home.
- ●Chesterfield failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Chesterfield have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Chesterfield have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Chesterfield failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Chesterfield failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Chesterfield have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Chesterfield failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Chesterfield have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●70% of Chesterfield's goals have been scored at home.