Grimsby vs York — League Two
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Grimsby and York meet in the League Two 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Grimsby have recorded 8 wins from 23 matches this season (35% win rate), averaging 1.52 goals scored and 1.09 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 52% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 52%; and clean sheets in 39% of games. York have won 30% of their 20 matches, with 1.55 goals scored and 1.65 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 75%, Over 2.5 at 55%, and clean sheets at 15%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.58 for Grimsby and 1.14 for York. The models give Grimsby a 47% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an York win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Grimsby—
York11º
Position
5º
1.31
PPG
1.67
31%
Win %
42%
1.46
Goals / game
1.75
1.23
Conceded / game
1.08
52%
BTTS %
75%
39%
Clean sheet %
15%
52%
Over 2.5 %
55%
7.1
Avg corners
5.8
15.1
Avg shots
14.9
5.1
Avg shots on target
4.3
1.7
Avg yellow cards
1.4
11.5
Avg fouls
10.0
53.5%
Avg possession
60.8%
Home vs Away
Grimsby
Home (6)
—
York
Away (5)
1.67
PPG
0.60
50%
Win %
0%
1.33
Goals / game
1.00
1.00
Conceded / game
1.60
45%
BTTS %
83%
45%
Clean sheet %
0%
45%
Over 2.5 %
33%
7.1
Avg corners
5.8
15.1
Avg shots
14.9
5.1
Avg shots on target
4.3
1.7
Avg yellow cards
1.4
53.5%
Avg possession
60.8%
Goals Scored
| Grimsby | Home | Away | York | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 74% | 82% | 67% | 90% | 93% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 48% | 55% | 42% | 45% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 21% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 26% | 18% | 33% | 10% | 7% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Grimsby | Home | Away | York | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 61% | 55% | 67% | 85% | 79% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 45% | 42% | 45% | 43% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 4% | 9% | 0% | 20% | 14% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 39% | 45% | 33% | 15% | 21% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Grimsby | York | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 74% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 35% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 20% |
| BTTS | 52% | 75% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 35% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 48% | 45% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 4% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Grimsby | York | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 35% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 35% | 45% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 48% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 52% | 60% |
| Win 2nd Half | 26% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 57% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 17% | 35% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 52% | 65% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 65% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 39% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
Grimsby (H)L
Northampton0–2
Northampton0–2D
Burton Albion0–0
Burton Albion0–0L
Shrewsbury1–2
Shrewsbury1–2W
Crawley Town2–0
Crawley Town2–0W
Bristol Rovers2–0
Bristol Rovers2–0D
Fleetwood Town2–2
Fleetwood Town2–2York (A)D
Newport County1–1
Newport County1–1L
Chesterfield0–2
Chesterfield0–2D
Crewe1–1
Crewe1–1L
Cheltenham2–3
Cheltenham2–3D
Rotherham1–1
Rotherham1–1L
Pickering Town2–4
Pickering Town2–4Number of Corners
12.2
Corners / Match
15 games
League Avg
10.0
137 games
9.9
Corners / Match
14 games
| Match Corners | Grimsby | York | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 93% | 86% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 93% | 79% | 76% |
| Over 8 | 93% | 64% | 65% |
| Over 9 | 93% | 50% | 58% |
| Over 10 | 60% | 43% | 41% |
| Over 11 | 60% | 36% | 34% |
| Over 12 | 40% | 21% | 21% |
| Over 13 | 40% | 14% | 16% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Grimsby | York |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 7.1 | 5.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.1 | 4.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 80% | 86% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 73% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 80% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 73% | 64% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 60% | 50% |
Head to Head · 4 matches
0
Grimsby
0%
0
Draws
0%
4
York
100%
75%
Over 1.5
3/4
75%
Over 2.5
3/4
25%
Over 3.5
1/4
75%
BTTS
3/4
20/07/24Grimsby
York
2–1Grimsby13/03/12York
Grimsby
2–3York25/02/12York
Grimsby
0–1York15/10/11Grimsby
York
2–1Grimsby| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 25 |
| 2 |  Barnet | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +8 | 22 |
| 3 | Cheltenham | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 21 |
| 4 | Crewe | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 21 |
| 5 | York | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 6 |  Walsall | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | +9 | 19 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +6 | 19 |
| 8 |  Exeter City | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 19 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | +6 | 18 |
| 10 | Shrewsbury | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 18 |
| 11 | Grimsby | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 17 |
| 12 |  Gillingham | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 17 |
| 13 |  Tranmere | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 14 |  Swindon Town | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 16 |
| 15 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | -4 | 16 |
| 16 | Newport County | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| 17 |  Rochdale | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -7 | 15 |
| 18 | Fleetwood Town | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 14 |
| 19 | Northampton | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 13 |
| 20 |  Oldham | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -4 | 12 |
| 21 |  Colchester | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -5 | 12 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -6 | 12 |
| 23 |  Port Vale | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 6 |
Team Insights
Grimsby- ●Grimsby failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Grimsby failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Grimsby have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Grimsby failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Grimsby have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Grimsby have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
York- ●York have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●York have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●York have been undefeated in their last 7 home matches.
- ●York have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●York failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●York have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●York have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●York failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●76% of York's goals have been scored at home.
- ●85% of York's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
GrimsbyWAGillingham4–1
Gillingham4–1DARochdale2–2
Rochdale2–2LHNorthampton0–2
Northampton0–2LAPort Vale0–1
Port Vale0–1LHShrewsbury1–2
Shrewsbury1–2LANewport County1–2
Newport County1–2–HYork31/10
York31/10–ASwindon Town14/11
Swindon Town14/11–HRotherham21/11
Rotherham21/11YorkWHPort Vale2–0
Port Vale2–0DHAccrington ST1–1
Accrington ST1–1DANewport County1–1
Newport County1–1DHNorthampton1–1
Northampton1–1WHGillingham3–0
Gillingham3–0LAChesterfield0–2
Chesterfield0–2–AGrimsby31/10
Grimsby31/10–ARochdale14/11
Rochdale14/11–HWalsall21/11
Walsall21/11Top Scorers
GrimsbyA. Cook6 ⚽
Kieran Green4 ⚽
J. Amaluzor3 ⚽
C. Vernam2 ⚽
Géza Dávid Turi2 ⚽
H. Rodgers2 ⚽
YorkOllie Pearce6 ⚽
A. Newby4 ⚽
Alex Newby3 ⚽
G. Olley2 ⚽
H. Boyes2 ⚽
T. Hewson2 ⚽
Cards Given
GrimsbyMaldini Kacurri4 🟨
Charles Vernam3 🟨
Kieran Green3 🟨
Jamie Walker2 🟨
Finn Cartwright2 🟨
C. McJannet2 🟨
YorkO. Banks2 🟨
Ollie Pearce2 🟨
Joey Grey2 🟨
M. Williams2 🟨
Ollie Banks2 🟨
Frankie Maguire1 🟨