Port Vale vs Northampton — League Two
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Port Vale and Northampton meet in the League Two 2026 season on 24 November 2026. Port Vale have recorded 10 wins from 20 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.40 goals scored and 0.95 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 30% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 30%; and clean sheets in 45% of games. Northampton have won 25% of their 20 matches, with 0.85 goals scored and 1.05 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 35%, Over 2.5 at 25%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.58 for Port Vale and 0.88 for Northampton. The models give Port Vale a 53% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Northampton win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 46%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Port Vale | Home | Away | Northampton | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 90% | 50% | 48% | 33% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 40% | 10% | 19% | 11% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 30% | 10% | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 10% | 50% | 52% | 67% | 42% |
Goals Conceded
| Port Vale | Home | Away | Northampton | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 55% | 20% | 90% | 71% | 56% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 30% | 10% | 50% | 24% | 11% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 0% | 20% | 10% | 11% | 8% |
| Clean Sheets | 45% | 80% | 10% | 29% | 44% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Port Vale | Northampton | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 65% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 | 30% | 24% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 10% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 5% |
| BTTS | 30% | 33% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 15% | 14% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Port Vale | Northampton | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 35% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 15% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 55% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 20% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 24% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 48% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 40% | 33% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 45% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Port Vale | Northampton | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 80% | 86% | 82% |
| Over 7 | 67% | 79% | 75% |
| Over 8 | 60% | 71% | 63% |
| Over 9 | 60% | 57% | 55% |
| Over 10 | 40% | 36% | 38% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 36% | 32% |
| Over 12 | 20% | 14% | 20% |
| Over 13 | 7% | 7% | 15% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Port Vale | Northampton |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.5 | 5.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.1 | 4.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 93% | 93% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 73% | 86% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 40% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 80% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 64% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 40% | 36% |
Head to Head · 16 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | +10 | 31 | |
| 2 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +10 | 26 | |
| 3 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | +9 | 22 | |
| 4 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 22 | |
| 5 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 21 | |
| 6 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +6 | 20 | |
| 7 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 20 | |
| 8 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 20 | |
| 9 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +6 | 19 | |
| 10 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +3 | 19 | |
| 11 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | +2 | 19 | |
| 12 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 19 | |
| 13 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -2 | 19 | |
| 14 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 18 | |
| 15 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -5 | 18 | |
| 16 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 17 | |
| 17 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -6 | 16 | |
| 18 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 15 | |
| 19 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -9 | 15 | |
| 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 14 | |
| 21 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -5 | 12 | |
| 22 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -7 | 12 | |
| 23 | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 12 | |
| 24 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -8 | 9 |
Team Insights
- ●Port Vale have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Port Vale have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Port Vale failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Port Vale have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Port Vale failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Port Vale have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●80% of Port Vale's goals have been scored at home.
- ●79% of Port Vale's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●93% of Port Vale's points have been earned at home.
- ●Port Vale have scored 70% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Northampton have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Northampton have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Northampton failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Northampton have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.