Watford vs Millwall — Championship
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Vicarage Road·Watford·England·22,200
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Watford and Millwall meet in the Championship 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Watford have recorded 5 wins from 19 matches this season (26% win rate), averaging 1.05 goals scored and 1.74 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 16% of games. Millwall have won 35% of their 23 matches, with 1.30 goals scored and 1.39 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 48%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 26%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.52 for Watford and 1.39 for Millwall. The models give Watford a 36% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Millwall win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Watford—
Millwall21º
Position
12º
0.85
PPG
1.38
23%
Win %
38%
0.92
Goals / game
1.77
1.77
Conceded / game
1.62
53%
BTTS %
48%
16%
Clean sheet %
26%
53%
Over 2.5 %
57%
3.9
Avg corners
4.9
13.8
Avg shots
13.1
4.6
Avg shots on target
4.0
2.4
Avg yellow cards
1.9
10.7
Avg fouls
12.7
47.5%
Avg possession
48.9%
Home vs Away
Watford
Home (6)
—
Millwall
Away (6)
1.67
PPG
1.17
50%
Win %
33%
1.33
Goals / game
1.33
1.50
Conceded / game
2.00
50%
BTTS %
57%
30%
Clean sheet %
21%
60%
Over 2.5 %
50%
3.9
Avg corners
4.9
13.8
Avg shots
13.1
4.6
Avg shots on target
4.0
2.4
Avg yellow cards
1.9
47.5%
Avg possession
48.9%
Goals Scored
| Watford | Home | Away | Millwall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 82% | 56% | 74% | 67% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 30% | 36% | 22% | 35% | 56% | 21% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 5% | 9% | 0% | 13% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 18% | 44% | 26% | 33% | 21% |
Goals Conceded
| Watford | Home | Away | Millwall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 64% | 100% | 74% | 67% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 27% | 56% | 39% | 33% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 18% | 22% | 17% | 11% | 21% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 36% | 0% | 26% | 33% | 21% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Watford | Millwall | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 15% | 9% |
| BTTS | 50% | 48% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 9% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 39% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Watford | Millwall | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 15% | 35% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 35% |
| Loss 1st Half | 55% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 30% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 70% | 35% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 55% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 20% | 48% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 48% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 40% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 85% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 35% |
Recent Venue Form
Watford (H)W
Lincoln1–0
Lincoln1–0W
Charlton2–0
Charlton2–0L
Burnley0–4
Burnley0–4L
Stoke City1–2
Stoke City1–2W
Preston2–1
Preston2–1D
West Ham1–1
West Ham1–1Millwall (A)L
Birmingham0–3
Birmingham0–3L
Portsmouth1–2
Portsmouth1–2WPreston1–0
Preston1–0D
Middlesbrough2–2
Middlesbrough2–2L
Blackburn1–3
Blackburn1–3L
Southampton1–5
Southampton1–5Number of Corners
9.9
Corners / Match
15 games
League Avg
10.5
156 games
11.3
Corners / Match
16 games
| Match Corners | Watford | Millwall | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 87% | 88% | 88% |
| Over 7 | 67% | 81% | 79% |
| Over 8 | 53% | 75% | 67% |
| Over 9 | 47% | 63% | 58% |
| Over 10 | 47% | 56% | 47% |
| Over 11 | 40% | 50% | 40% |
| Over 12 | 33% | 44% | 31% |
| Over 13 | 13% | 38% | 24% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Watford | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.9 | 4.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.0 | 6.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 67% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 47% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 27% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 73% | 81% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 60% | 63% |
Head to Head · 19 matches
7
Watford
37%
4
Draws
21%
8
Millwall
42%
63%
Over 1.5
12/19
42%
Over 2.5
8/19
26%
Over 3.5
5/19
32%
BTTS
6/19
17/01/26Millwall
Watford
0–2Millwall22/09/25Watford
Millwall
1–0Watford08/03/25Millwall
Watford
1–2Millwall10/08/24Watford
Millwall
2–3Watford02/03/24Watford
Millwall
1–0Watford28/10/23Millwall
Watford
2–2Millwall26/12/22Millwall
Watford
0–2Millwall19/10/22Watford
Millwall
3–0Watford24/04/21Millwall
Watford
1–0Millwall26/01/21Watford
Millwall
0–0Watford29/01/17Watford
Millwall
1–0Watford11/04/15Watford
Millwall
0–2Watford01/11/14Millwall
Watford
3–1Millwall12/04/14Watford
Millwall
2–2Watford26/12/13Millwall
Watford
4–0Millwall16/04/13Watford
Millwall
1–0Watford06/11/12Millwall
Watford
0–0Millwall31/01/12Watford
Millwall
0–2Watford27/09/11Millwall
Watford
2–1Millwall| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | +13 | 28 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 26 |
| 3 |  Wolves | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 24 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 24 |
| 5 | Southampton | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +15 | 23 |
| 6 | Birmingham | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +10 | 23 |
| 7 | Stoke City | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 23 |
| 8 | West Ham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +15 | 22 |
| 9 |  QPR | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +5 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 19 |
| 12 | Millwall | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 | Blackburn | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 |  Norwich | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | -1 | 15 |
| 16 | Lincoln | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 15 |
| 17 |  Cardiff | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 14 |
| 19 |  Bolton | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -8 | 14 |
| 20 | Charlton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -10 | 14 |
| 21 | Watford | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -11 | 11 |
| 22 | Burnley | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
| 23 |  Derby | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -14 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | -17 | 5 |
Team Insights
Watford- ●Watford have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Watford have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Watford have lost their last 6 away matches.
- ●Watford failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Watford failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Watford have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Watford failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Watford have lost 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●69% of Watford's goals have been scored at home.
- ●93% of Watford's points have been earned at home.
- ●Watford have conceded 70% of their goals in the first half.
Millwall- ●Millwall failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Millwall have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Millwall failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Millwall failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Millwall have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●65% of Millwall's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
WatfordWHLincoln1–0
Lincoln1–0LANorwich2–3
Norwich2–3LAWolves0–1
Wolves0–1WHCharlton2–0
Charlton2–0LACardiff1–5
Cardiff1–5LHBurnley0–4
Burnley0–4–HMiddlesbrough07/11
Middlesbrough07/11–ASheffield Utd21/11
Sheffield Utd21/11–HBlackburn25/11
Blackburn25/11MillwallLABirmingham0–3
Birmingham0–3WHDerby4–1
Derby4–1LAPortsmouth1–2
Portsmouth1–2DHLincoln2–2
Lincoln2–2LHSwansea0–1
Swansea0–1WAPreston1–0
Preston1–0–AWest Brom07/11
West Brom07/11–HQPR21/11
QPR21/11–AStoke City25/11
Stoke City25/11Top Scorers
WatfordA. Nabizada3 ⚽
Myron Boadu2 ⚽
M. Doumbia2 ⚽
L. Kjerrumgaard2 ⚽
Jordan Zemura1 ⚽
Edo Kayembe1 ⚽
MillwallLyndon Dykes4 ⚽
M. Sykes3 ⚽
J. Cooper3 ⚽
Camiel Neghli3 ⚽
Kyrell Lisbie3 ⚽
T. Arconte3 ⚽
Cards Given
WatfordEdo Kayembe4 🟨
Iker Bravo4 🟨
3 🟨
Amin Nabizada3 🟨
H. Kyprianou2 🟨
Branimir Mlacic2 🟨
MillwallJenson Metcalfe5 🟨
Derek Mazou Sacko4 🟨
Lyndon Dykes3 🟨
Zak Sturge3 🟨
Kyrell Lisbie2 🟨
J. Metcalfe2 🟨