Cardiff vs Lincoln — Championship
← Back
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
From€8.99/Mo
Billed Annually · Cancel Anytime
Cardiff and Lincoln meet in the Championship 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Cardiff have recorded 7 wins from 19 matches this season (37% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 1.74 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 74% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 74%; and clean sheets in 5% of games. Lincoln have won 35% of their 23 matches, with 1.04 goals scored and 1.83 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 48%, Over 2.5 at 61%, and clean sheets at 26%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.81 for Cardiff and 1.16 for Lincoln. The models give Cardiff a 51% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Lincoln win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Cardiff—
Lincoln18º
Position
17º
1.08
PPG
1.07
23%
Win %
29%
1.46
Goals / game
1.00
1.54
Conceded / game
1.71
74%
BTTS %
48%
5%
Clean sheet %
26%
74%
Over 2.5 %
61%
6.5
Avg corners
3.4
16.3
Avg shots
11.9
5.8
Avg shots on target
3.5
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.3
9.9
Avg fouls
12.2
61.1%
Avg possession
40.5%
Home vs Away
Cardiff
Home (6)
—
Lincoln
Away (7)
2.00
PPG
1.43
50%
Win %
43%
2.17
Goals / game
0.86
1.00
Conceded / game
1.14
80%
BTTS %
40%
10%
Clean sheet %
33%
70%
Over 2.5 %
60%
6.5
Avg corners
3.4
16.3
Avg shots
11.9
5.8
Avg shots on target
3.5
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.3
61.1%
Avg possession
40.5%
Goals Scored
| Cardiff | Home | Away | Lincoln | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 90% | 67% | 70% | 63% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 47% | 50% | 44% | 17% | 13% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 32% | 40% | 22% | 9% | 13% | 7% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 10% | 33% | 30% | 38% | 27% |
Goals Conceded
| Cardiff | Home | Away | Lincoln | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 95% | 90% | 100% | 74% | 88% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 53% | 40% | 67% | 52% | 63% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 10% | 11% | 30% | 38% | 27% |
| Clean Sheets | 5% | 10% | 0% | 26% | 13% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Cardiff | Lincoln | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 96% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 74% | 61% |
| Over 3.5 | 53% | 35% |
| Over 4.5 | 32% | 17% |
| BTTS | 74% | 48% |
| BTTS & Win | 32% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 26% | 9% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 63% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Cardiff | Lincoln | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 47% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 11% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 42% | 39% |
| Scored 1st Half | 53% | 35% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 63% | 52% |
| Win 2nd Half | 26% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 37% | 17% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 37% | 52% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 43% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 68% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 95% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 58% | 30% |
Recent Venue Form
Cardiff (H)W
Birmingham1–0
Birmingham1–0W
Watford5–1
Watford5–1W
Charlton3–1
Charlton3–1D
Stoke City1–1
Stoke City1–1D
Sheffield Utd2–2
Sheffield Utd2–2L
Norwich1–2
Norwich1–2Lincoln (A)LWatford0–1
Watford0–1D
Millwall2–2
Millwall2–2LSheffield Utd0–3
Sheffield Utd0–3W
Bristol City1–0
Bristol City1–0W
Preston1–0
Preston1–0L
Bournemouth0–4
Bournemouth0–4Number of Corners
11.1
Corners / Match
15 games
League Avg
10.4
165 games
10.4
Corners / Match
17 games
| Match Corners | Cardiff | Lincoln | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 93% | 76% | 88% |
| Over 7 | 73% | 71% | 79% |
| Over 8 | 60% | 71% | 67% |
| Over 9 | 53% | 65% | 57% |
| Over 10 | 53% | 47% | 46% |
| Over 11 | 53% | 41% | 38% |
| Over 12 | 33% | 35% | 30% |
| Over 13 | 33% | 29% | 22% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Cardiff | Lincoln |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.5 | 3.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.6 | 7.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 93% | 41% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 80% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 73% | 82% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 40% | 65% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 40% | 65% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
0
Cardiff
0%
0
Draws
0%
2
Lincoln
100%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
0%
Over 3.5
0/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
07/03/26Lincoln
Cardiff
0–2Lincoln20/12/25Cardiff
Lincoln
2–1Cardiff| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | +13 | 28 |
| 2 | Birmingham | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | +13 | 26 |
| 3 | Stoke City | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +5 | 26 |
| 4 |  Swansea | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | +5 | 26 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | +5 | 25 |
| 6 |  Southampton | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | +15 | 24 |
| 7 |  Wolves | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 24 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +15 | 22 |
| 9 | Sheffield Utd | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 22 |
| 10 |  Portsmouth | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | +3 | 22 |
| 11 |  QPR | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | +5 | 21 |
| 12 | Norwich | 14 | 6 | 0 | 8 | +3 | 18 |
| 13 | Millwall | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Blackburn | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 | Bristol City | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 18 |
| 16 |  Bolton | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | -7 | 17 |
| 17 | Lincoln | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -10 | 15 |
| 18 | Cardiff | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 14 |
| 19 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 14 |
| 20 | Watford | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | -10 | 14 |
| 21 | Charlton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -11 | 14 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 14 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -8 | 10 |
| 23 |  Derby | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | -18 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | -18 | 5 |
Team Insights
Cardiff- ●Cardiff have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Cardiff have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Cardiff failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Cardiff have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Cardiff failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Cardiff have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Cardiff failed to keep a clean sheet in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Cardiff have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●68% of Cardiff's goals have been scored at home.
- ●70% of Cardiff's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●86% of Cardiff's points have been earned at home.
- ●Cardiff have scored 68% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Cardiff have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Lincoln- ●Lincoln failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Lincoln failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Lincoln failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Lincoln have lost 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Lincoln have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Lincoln have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Lincoln have scored in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●67% of Lincoln's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●67% of Lincoln's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
CardiffLAWolves0–3
Wolves0–3WHBirmingham1–0
Birmingham1–0DAMiddlesbrough2–2
Middlesbrough2–2WHWatford5–1
Watford5–1LABlackburn1–2
Blackburn1–2WHCharlton3–1
Charlton3–1–HWest Ham04/11
West Ham04/11–HBurnley07/11
Burnley07/11–ANorwich21/11
Norwich21/11LincolnLAWatford0–1
Watford0–1LHBirmingham1–3
Birmingham1–3WHBurnley4–1
Burnley4–1DAMillwall2–2
Millwall2–2LHWest Ham0–6
West Ham0–6LASheffield Utd0–3
Sheffield Utd0–3–AQPR07/11
QPR07/11–HWrexham21/11
Wrexham21/11–ACharlton24/11
Charlton24/11Top Scorers
CardiffY. Salech7 ⚽
Jack Moylan5 ⚽
C. Ashford4 ⚽
C. Willock3 ⚽
I. Davies3 ⚽
J. Moylan2 ⚽
LincolnMikkel Ladefoged3 ⚽
B. House2 ⚽
F. Draper2 ⚽
T. Bayliss2 ⚽
D. Jefferies2 ⚽
C. Elder1 ⚽
Cards Given
CardiffJoel Bagan4 🟨
Perry Tian Hee Ng3 🟨
Joel Colwill2 🟨
Alexander Sean Pablo Robertson2 🟨
A. Robertson2 🟨
Brian Barry-Murphy2 🟨
LincolnF. Draper5 🟨
Ben House4 🟨
Dom Jefferies3 🟨
Conor McGrandles3 🟨
Deji Elerewe3 🟨
C. McGrandles2 🟨