Bristol City vs Swansea — Championship
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Ashton Gate Stadium·Bristol·England·27,000
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Bristol City and Swansea meet in the Championship 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Bristol City have recorded 8 wins from 22 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.23 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 41%; and clean sheets in 23% of games. Swansea have won 53% of their 19 matches, with 1.32 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 32%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 42%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.28 for Bristol City and 1.28 for Swansea. The models give Bristol City a 35% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Swansea win at 37%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
Bristol City—
Swansea14º
Position
2º
1.38
PPG
2.00
38%
Win %
62%
1.15
Goals / game
1.54
1.31
Conceded / game
1.00
50%
BTTS %
32%
23%
Clean sheet %
42%
41%
Over 2.5 %
53%
5.9
Avg corners
4.3
14.9
Avg shots
12.4
4.7
Avg shots on target
4.5
1.2
Avg yellow cards
1.6
10.9
Avg fouls
10.0
46.9%
Avg possession
57.3%
Home vs Away
Bristol City
Home (6)
—
Swansea
Away (6)
1.00
PPG
2.00
33%
Win %
67%
0.50
Goals / game
1.50
1.00
Conceded / game
1.67
22%
BTTS %
43%
22%
Clean sheet %
29%
22%
Over 2.5 %
86%
5.9
Avg corners
4.3
14.9
Avg shots
12.4
4.7
Avg shots on target
4.5
1.2
Avg yellow cards
1.6
46.9%
Avg possession
57.3%
Goals Scored
| Bristol City | Home | Away | Swansea | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 59% | 33% | 77% | 65% | 58% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 41% | 22% | 54% | 45% | 50% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 11% | 23% | 15% | 17% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 41% | 67% | 23% | 35% | 42% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Bristol City | Home | Away | Swansea | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 77% | 78% | 77% | 60% | 50% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 11% | 38% | 30% | 17% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 0% | 15% | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 23% | 22% | 23% | 40% | 50% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Bristol City | Swansea | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 64% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 41% | 55% |
| Over 3.5 | 32% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 18% | 5% |
| BTTS | 50% | 35% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 5% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 41% | 35% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Bristol City | Swansea | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 35% |
| Draw 1st Half | 41% | 20% |
| Loss 1st Half | 32% | 45% |
| Scored 1st Half | 41% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 55% |
| Win 2nd Half | 32% | 35% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 41% | 45% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 20% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 45% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 30% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 23% | 45% |
Recent Venue Form
Bristol City (H)L
Sheffield Utd0–1
Sheffield Utd0–1L
Blackburn0–1
Blackburn0–1W
Watford1–0
Watford1–0L
Lincoln0–1
Lincoln0–1W
Portsmouth2–1
Portsmouth2–1L
Millwall0–2
Millwall0–2Swansea (A)LPortsmouth1–3
Portsmouth1–3L
QPR0–5
QPR0–5WMillwall1–0
Millwall1–0WLincoln2–1
Lincoln2–1L
Southampton1–3
Southampton1–3W
Derby3–0
Derby3–0Number of Corners
11.6
Corners / Match
14 games
League Avg
10.5
156 games
8.7
Corners / Match
14 games
| Match Corners | Bristol City | Swansea | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 79% | 88% |
| Over 7 | 79% | 64% | 79% |
| Over 8 | 71% | 57% | 67% |
| Over 9 | 71% | 36% | 58% |
| Over 10 | 57% | 29% | 47% |
| Over 11 | 50% | 21% | 40% |
| Over 12 | 43% | 14% | 31% |
| Over 13 | 29% | 14% | 24% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Bristol City | Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.9 | 4.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.6 | 4.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 86% | 79% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 64% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 57% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 93% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 93% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 79% | 36% |
Head to Head · 18 matches
7
Bristol City
39%
5
Draws
28%
6
Swansea
33%
61%
Over 1.5
11/18
28%
Over 2.5
5/18
11%
Over 3.5
2/18
44%
BTTS
8/18
21/02/26Bristol City
Swansea
1–0Bristol City22/11/25Swansea
Bristol City
3–0Swansea09/02/25Swansea
Bristol City
0–1Swansea29/09/24Bristol City
Swansea
1–1Bristol City10/03/24Swansea
Bristol City
1–0Swansea02/09/23Bristol City
Swansea
1–2Bristol City19/03/23Bristol City
Swansea
2–0Bristol City17/01/23Bristol City
Swansea
1–2Bristol City08/01/23Swansea
Bristol City
1–1Swansea29/10/22Swansea
Bristol City
1–1Swansea13/02/22Bristol City
Swansea
3–1Bristol City20/08/21Swansea
Bristol City
0–1Swansea27/02/21Bristol City
Swansea
1–3Bristol City24/10/20Swansea
Bristol City
1–1Swansea18/07/20Bristol City
Swansea
1–0Bristol City21/09/19Swansea
Bristol City
0–0Swansea02/02/19Swansea
Bristol City
2–0Swansea25/08/18Bristol City
Swansea
0–1Bristol City| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | +13 | 28 |
| 2 | Swansea | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 26 |
| 3 |  Wolves | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 24 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 24 |
| 5 | Southampton | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +15 | 23 |
| 6 |  Birmingham | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +10 | 23 |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 23 |
| 8 |  West Ham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +15 | 22 |
| 9 | QPR | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +5 | 20 |
| 10 | Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 19 |
| 12 | Millwall | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 | Blackburn | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 18 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 |  Norwich | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | -1 | 15 |
| 16 | Lincoln | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 15 |
| 17 |  Cardiff | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 14 |
| 19 |  Bolton | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -8 | 14 |
| 20 |  Charlton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -10 | 14 |
| 21 | Watford | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -11 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
| 23 | Derby | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -14 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | -17 | 5 |
Team Insights
Bristol City- ●Bristol City have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Bristol City failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Bristol City have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Bristol City failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Bristol City have won 3 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Bristol City have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●80% of Bristol City's goals have been scored away.
- ●65% of Bristol City's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●67% of Bristol City's points have been earned away.
Swansea- ●Swansea have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Swansea have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Swansea failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Swansea have won 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Swansea have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●81% of Swansea's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Swansea have conceded 69% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Bristol CityWABolton3–2
Bolton3–2DAStoke City0–0
Stoke City0–0LHSheffield Utd0–1
Sheffield Utd0–1LHBlackburn0–1
Blackburn0–1DACharlton1–1
Charlton1–1WHWatford1–0
Watford1–0–HWolves04/11
Wolves04/11–HNorwich07/11
Norwich07/11–AMiddlesbrough21/11
Middlesbrough21/11SwanseaLAPortsmouth1–3
Portsmouth1–3WHBlackburn4–0
Blackburn4–0LAQPR0–5
QPR0–5LHWest Ham0–1
West Ham0–1WAMillwall1–0
Millwall1–0WHNorwich2–1
Norwich2–1–ABirmingham07/11
Birmingham07/11–HWest Brom21/11
West Brom21/11–AMiddlesbrough24/11
Middlesbrough24/11Top Scorers
Bristol CityL. Tolaj4 ⚽
S. Twine3 ⚽
Scott Twine2 ⚽
Dominic Ballard2 ⚽
D. Ballard2 ⚽
L. Eissat1 ⚽
SwanseaZan Vipotnik3 ⚽
J. Opoku3 ⚽
A. Idah3 ⚽
Moussa Kounfolo Yeo3 ⚽
Adam Idah2 ⚽
Eom Ji-Sung2 ⚽
Cards Given
Bristol CityA. Randell3 🟨
Lisav Naif Eissat2 🟨
J. Knight2 🟨
Jason Knight2 🟨
Joe Williams2 🟨
Elijah Adebayo1 🟨
SwanseaFilip Lissah3 🟨
Vitor Matos2 🟨
Jay Fulton2 🟨
F. Lissah2 🟨
M. Widell2 🟨
E. Just1 🟨