West Ham vs Stoke City — Championship
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West Ham and Stoke City meet in the Championship 2026 season on 28 November 2026. West Ham have recorded 9 wins from 20 matches this season (45% win rate), averaging 2.45 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 70% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 70%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Stoke City have won 47% of their 19 matches, with 1.37 goals scored and 1.05 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 42%, and clean sheets at 37%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.03 for West Ham and 1.36 for Stoke City. The models give West Ham a 53% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Stoke City win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 66% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| West Ham | Home | Away | Stoke City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 95% | 100% | 91% | 90% | 83% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 60% | 67% | 55% | 40% | 42% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 40% | 44% | 36% | 5% | 8% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 5% | 0% | 9% | 10% | 17% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| West Ham | Home | Away | Stoke City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 78% | 64% | 65% | 50% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 56% | 27% | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 33% | 0% | 15% | 8% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 22% | 36% | 35% | 50% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| West Ham | Stoke City | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 45% |
| Over 3.5 | 60% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 40% | 10% |
| BTTS | 70% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 30% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| West Ham | Stoke City | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 45% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 35% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 10% |
| Scored 1st Half | 80% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 25% |
| Win 2nd Half | 55% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 35% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 20% | 35% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 65% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 30% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 95% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 60% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | West Ham | Stoke City | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 94% | 80% | 88% |
| Over 7 | 81% | 73% | 79% |
| Over 8 | 75% | 53% | 67% |
| Over 9 | 63% | 40% | 58% |
| Over 10 | 56% | 40% | 47% |
| Over 11 | 44% | 27% | 40% |
| Over 12 | 38% | 20% | 31% |
| Over 13 | 31% | 13% | 24% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | West Ham | Stoke City |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.5 | 4.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.6 | 5.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 94% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 81% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 69% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 88% | 93% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 69% | 73% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 60% |
Head to Head · 14 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | +13 | 28 | |
| 2 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 26 | |
| 3 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 24 | |
| 4 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 24 | |
| 5 | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +15 | 23 | |
| 6 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +10 | 23 | |
| 7 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 23 | |
| 8 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +15 | 22 | |
| 9 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +5 | 20 | |
| 10 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 19 | |
| 11 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 19 | |
| 12 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 18 | |
| 13 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 18 | |
| 14 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 18 | |
| 15 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | -1 | 15 | |
| 16 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 15 | |
| 17 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 14 | |
| 18 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 14 | |
| 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -8 | 14 | |
| 20 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -10 | 14 | |
| 21 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -11 | 11 | |
| 22 | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -8 | 9 | |
| 23 | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -14 | 7 | |
| 24 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | -17 | 5 |
Team Insights
- ●West Ham have scored in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●West Ham have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●West Ham have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●West Ham have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●West Ham have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●West Ham failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●West Ham have scored in 7 of their 7 home matches.
- ●West Ham have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●West Ham have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●West Ham have conceded 67% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Stoke City have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Stoke City have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Stoke City have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●Stoke City have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Stoke City have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Stoke City have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Stoke City failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Stoke City have won 4 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Stoke City have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●65% of Stoke City's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Stoke City have scored 59% of their goals in the first half.