Millwall vs Burnley — Championship
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The Den·London·England·20,146
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Millwall and Burnley meet in the Championship 2026 season on 28 November 2026. Millwall have recorded 8 wins from 23 matches this season (35% win rate), averaging 1.30 goals scored and 1.39 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 48% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 26% of games. Burnley have won 5% of their 21 matches, with 1.14 goals scored and 1.86 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 81%, Over 2.5 at 62%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.06 for Millwall and 1.39 for Burnley. The models give Millwall a 55% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Burnley win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 67% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Millwall—
Burnley12º
Position
22º
1.38
PPG
0.69
38%
Win %
8%
1.77
Goals / game
1.31
1.62
Conceded / game
1.92
48%
BTTS %
81%
26%
Clean sheet %
14%
57%
Over 2.5 %
62%
4.9
Avg corners
5.3
13.1
Avg shots
14.5
4.0
Avg shots on target
4.2
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.6
12.7
Avg fouls
9.9
48.9%
Avg possession
51.3%
Home vs Away
Millwall
Home (7)
—
Burnley
Away (6)
1.57
PPG
0.67
43%
Win %
17%
2.14
Goals / game
1.50
1.29
Conceded / game
2.50
33%
BTTS %
82%
33%
Clean sheet %
18%
67%
Over 2.5 %
73%
4.9
Avg corners
5.3
13.1
Avg shots
14.5
4.0
Avg shots on target
4.2
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.6
48.9%
Avg possession
51.3%
Goals Scored
| Millwall | Home | Away | Burnley | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 74% | 67% | 79% | 86% | 80% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 35% | 56% | 21% | 18% | 30% | 8% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 33% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 8% |
| Failed To Score | 26% | 33% | 21% | 14% | 20% | 8% |
Goals Conceded
| Millwall | Home | Away | Burnley | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 74% | 67% | 79% | 86% | 90% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 39% | 33% | 43% | 55% | 50% | 58% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 11% | 21% | 27% | 0% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 26% | 33% | 21% | 14% | 10% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Millwall | Burnley | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 59% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 45% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 14% |
| BTTS | 48% | 82% |
| BTTS & Win | 9% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 41% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 39% | 55% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Millwall | Burnley | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 35% | 23% |
| Draw 1st Half | 35% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 36% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 35% | 59% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 18% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 32% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 48% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 48% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 73% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 35% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Millwall (H)W
Derby4–1
Derby4–1D
Lincoln2–2
Lincoln2–2L
Swansea0–1
Swansea0–1D
West Ham2–2
West Ham2–2L
Newcastle0–1
Newcastle0–1W
Bolton4–0
Bolton4–0Burnley (A)D
QPR1–1
QPR1–1LLincoln1–4
Lincoln1–4W
Watford4–0
Watford4–0LSwansea1–3
Swansea1–3D
Wrexham1–1
Wrexham1–1L
Norwich1–4
Norwich1–4Number of Corners
11.3
Corners / Match
16 games
League Avg
10.5
156 games
9.7
Corners / Match
15 games
| Match Corners | Millwall | Burnley | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 88% | 93% | 88% |
| Over 7 | 81% | 73% | 79% |
| Over 8 | 75% | 47% | 67% |
| Over 9 | 63% | 33% | 58% |
| Over 10 | 56% | 27% | 47% |
| Over 11 | 50% | 27% | 40% |
| Over 12 | 44% | 20% | 31% |
| Over 13 | 38% | 13% | 24% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Millwall | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.9 | 5.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.4 | 4.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 69% | 93% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 56% | 87% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 38% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 81% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 75% | 53% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 63% | 47% |
Head to Head · 12 matches
2
Millwall
17%
3
Draws
25%
7
Burnley
58%
83%
Over 1.5
10/12
50%
Over 2.5
6/12
50%
Over 3.5
6/12
58%
BTTS
7/12
10/01/26Millwall
Burnley
5–1Millwall03/05/25Millwall
Burnley
3–1Millwall03/11/24Burnley
Millwall
1–0Burnley21/02/23Burnley
Millwall
1–1Burnley30/08/22Millwall
Burnley
2–0Millwall23/09/20Burnley
Millwall
0–2Burnley08/02/14Millwall
Burnley
3–1Millwall02/11/13Burnley
Millwall
2–2Burnley19/01/13Burnley
Millwall
0–2Burnley29/09/12Millwall
Burnley
2–2Millwall25/02/12Millwall
Burnley
1–3Millwall01/10/11Burnley
Millwall
0–1Burnley| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | +13 | 28 |
| 2 | Swansea | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 26 |
| 3 |  Wolves | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 24 |
| 4 |  West Brom | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 24 |
| 5 |  Southampton | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | +15 | 23 |
| 6 |  Birmingham | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +10 | 23 |
| 7 |  Stoke City | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 23 |
| 8 | West Ham | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | +15 | 22 |
| 9 | QPR | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | +5 | 20 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 19 |
| 12 | Millwall | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 18 |
| 13 |  Blackburn | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 18 |
| 15 | Norwich | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | -1 | 15 |
| 16 | Lincoln | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 15 |
| 17 |  Cardiff | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 | Wrexham | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 14 |
| 19 | Bolton | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -8 | 14 |
| 20 |  Charlton | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -10 | 14 |
| 21 | Watford | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -11 | 11 |
| 22 | Burnley | 13 | 1 | 6 | 6 | -8 | 9 |
| 23 | Derby | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -14 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | -17 | 5 |
Team Insights
Millwall- ●Millwall failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Millwall have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Millwall failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Millwall failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Millwall have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●65% of Millwall's goals have been scored at home.
Burnley- ●Burnley have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Burnley have failed to win in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Burnley have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Burnley failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Burnley have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Burnley failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Burnley have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Burnley have scored 61% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
MillwallLABirmingham0–3
Birmingham0–3WHDerby4–1
Derby4–1LAPortsmouth1–2
Portsmouth1–2DHLincoln2–2
Lincoln2–2LHSwansea0–1
Swansea0–1WAPreston1–0
Preston1–0–AWest Brom07/11
West Brom07/11–HQPR21/11
QPR21/11–AStoke City25/11
Stoke City25/11BurnleyDAQPR1–1
QPR1–1DHPortsmouth0–0
Portsmouth0–0LALincoln1–4
Lincoln1–4LHWolves1–2
Wolves1–2DHCharlton2–2
Charlton2–2WAWatford4–0
Watford4–0–ACardiff07/11
Cardiff07/11–HBlackburn22/11
Blackburn22/11–HBirmingham25/11
Birmingham25/11Top Scorers
MillwallLyndon Dykes4 ⚽
M. Sykes3 ⚽
J. Cooper3 ⚽
Camiel Neghli3 ⚽
Kyrell Lisbie3 ⚽
T. Arconte3 ⚽
BurnleyZ. Flemming5 ⚽
Zeki Amdouni3 ⚽
Largie Ramazani3 ⚽
Jacob Bruun Larsen2 ⚽
J. Laurent2 ⚽
J. Banel1 ⚽
Cards Given
MillwallJenson Metcalfe5 🟨
Derek Mazou Sacko4 🟨
Lyndon Dykes3 🟨
Zak Sturge3 🟨
Kyrell Lisbie2 🟨
J. Metcalfe2 🟨
BurnleyJ. Laurent4 🟨
Josh Laurent3 🟨
Lucas Pires Silva2 🟨
Igor Júlio2 🟨
Kyle Walker2 🟨
Reo Hatate2 🟨