Stoke City vs Birmingham — Championship
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Stoke City and Birmingham meet in the Championship 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Stoke City have recorded 8 wins from 18 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.33 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 61% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Birmingham have won 53% of their 19 matches, with 1.74 goals scored and 1.16 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 68%, and clean sheets at 37%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.41 for Stoke City and 1.24 for Birmingham. The models give Stoke City a 38% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Birmingham win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Stoke City—
Birmingham9º
Position
7º
1.67
PPG
1.67
50%
Win %
42%
1.50
Goals / game
1.67
1.33
Conceded / game
1.00
61%
BTTS %
58%
33%
Clean sheet %
37%
44%
Over 2.5 %
68%
4.1
Avg corners
5.3
11.1
Avg shots
12.3
3.5
Avg shots on target
4.0
1.9
Avg yellow cards
2.1
13.1
Avg fouls
12.8
46.5%
Avg possession
49.9%
Home vs Away
Stoke City
Home (6)
—
Birmingham
Away (6)
1.67
PPG
1.67
50%
Win %
50%
1.67
Goals / game
1.00
1.00
Conceded / game
0.83
45%
BTTS %
40%
45%
Clean sheet %
50%
36%
Over 2.5 %
50%
4.1
Avg corners
5.3
11.1
Avg shots
12.3
3.5
Avg shots on target
4.0
1.9
Avg yellow cards
2.1
46.5%
Avg possession
49.9%
Goals Scored
| Stoke City | Home | Away | Birmingham | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 82% | 100% | 89% | 100% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 36% | 29% | 58% | 78% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 6% | 9% | 0% | 21% | 33% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 18% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Stoke City | Home | Away | Birmingham | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 55% | 86% | 63% | 78% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 22% | 18% | 29% | 32% | 56% | 10% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 9% | 29% | 5% | 11% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 45% | 14% | 37% | 22% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Stoke City | Birmingham | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 72% | 74% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 68% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 37% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 5% |
| BTTS | 61% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 26% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 39% | 53% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 16% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Stoke City | Birmingham | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 42% |
| Draw 1st Half | 56% | 32% |
| Loss 1st Half | 11% | 26% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 74% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 28% | 53% |
| Win 2nd Half | 28% | 47% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 47% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 39% | 5% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 32% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 61% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 28% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Stoke City (H)D
Bristol City0–0
Bristol City0–0L
Middlesbrough2–3
Middlesbrough2–3W
Sheffield Utd2–1
Sheffield Utd2–1W
Charlton4–0
Charlton4–0W
Norwich1–0
Norwich1–0D
Hull City1–1
Hull City1–1Birmingham (A)L
Cardiff0–1
Cardiff0–1W
West Brom1–0
West Brom1–0W
Derby2–1
Derby2–1LNorwich1–2
Norwich1–2W
Wrexham2–1
Wrexham2–1DSheffield Utd0–0
Sheffield Utd0–0Number of Corners
9.1
Corners / Match
14 games
League Avg
10.6
144 games
9.9
Corners / Match
14 games
| Match Corners | Stoke City | Birmingham | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 79% | 86% | 89% |
| Over 7 | 71% | 86% | 81% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 71% | 68% |
| Over 9 | 36% | 57% | 59% |
| Over 10 | 36% | 29% | 47% |
| Over 11 | 21% | 29% | 40% |
| Over 12 | 14% | 21% | 31% |
| Over 13 | 7% | 14% | 24% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Stoke City | Birmingham |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.1 | 5.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.0 | 4.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 79% | 93% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 64% | 79% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 36% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 93% | 93% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 71% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 57% | 43% |
Head to Head · 17 matches
4
Stoke City
24%
6
Draws
35%
7
Birmingham
41%
71%
Over 1.5
12/17
41%
Over 2.5
7/17
24%
Over 3.5
4/17
53%
BTTS
9/17
24/01/26Stoke City
Birmingham
1–1Stoke City13/09/25Birmingham
Stoke City
1–0Birmingham20/01/24Birmingham
Stoke City
1–2Birmingham26/12/23Stoke City
Birmingham
1–3Stoke City10/04/23Stoke City
Birmingham
0–0Stoke City05/11/22Birmingham
Stoke City
1–2Birmingham19/02/22Birmingham
Stoke City
2–2Birmingham14/08/21Stoke City
Birmingham
0–0Stoke City10/04/21Stoke City
Birmingham
2–0Stoke City04/10/20Birmingham
Stoke City
1–1Birmingham12/07/20Birmingham
Stoke City
2–0Birmingham31/08/19Stoke City
Birmingham
2–1Stoke City26/12/18Stoke City
Birmingham
2–0Stoke City20/10/18Birmingham
Stoke City
0–1Birmingham29/10/13Stoke City
Birmingham
7–7Stoke City12/02/11Stoke City
Birmingham
1–0Stoke City09/11/10Birmingham
Stoke City
3–2Birmingham| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 25 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 23 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +17 | 22 |
| 4 |  Wolves | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 21 |
| 5 | West Brom | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 21 |
| 6 |  Southampton | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 20 |
| 7 | Birmingham | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 8 |  QPR | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 9 | Stoke City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 20 |
| 10 |  Blackburn | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 18 |
| 12 | Sheffield Utd | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 15 |  Lincoln | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 15 |
| 16 | Cardiff | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 17 | Wrexham | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 14 |
| 18 |  Bolton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 14 |
| 19 | Charlton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -7 | 14 |
| 20 | Norwich | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -2 | 12 |
| 21 |  Watford | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -8 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -11 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -15 | 5 |
Team Insights
Stoke City- ●Stoke City have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Stoke City have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Stoke City have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Stoke City have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Stoke City failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Stoke City have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Stoke City have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Stoke City have scored 61% of their goals in the first half.
Birmingham- ●Birmingham have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Birmingham have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Birmingham have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Birmingham failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Birmingham have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Birmingham have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●70% of Birmingham's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Birmingham have conceded 75% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Stoke CityDHBristol City0–0
Bristol City0–0WADerby1–0
Derby1–0LHMiddlesbrough2–3
Middlesbrough2–3WABolton2–1
Bolton2–1WHSheffield Utd2–1
Sheffield Utd2–1WAWatford2–1
Watford2–1–HPreston31/10
Preston31/10–ABlackburn03/11
Blackburn03/11–APortsmouth07/11
Portsmouth07/11BirminghamLACardiff0–1
Cardiff0–1WHQPR3–0
QPR3–0WHPreston4–0
Preston4–0WAWest Brom1–0
West Brom1–0DHMiddlesbrough2–2
Middlesbrough2–2WADerby2–1
Derby2–1–ALincoln31/10
Lincoln31/10–HMillwall03/11
Millwall03/11–HSwansea07/11
Swansea07/11Top Scorers
Stoke CityS. Gallagher3 ⚽
E. Galbraith2 ⚽
Jack Mcglynn2 ⚽
Justin Devenny2 ⚽
R. Bozenik2 ⚽
Ben Wilmot1 ⚽
BirminghamA. Priske5 ⚽
D. Gray4 ⚽
Liam Millar4 ⚽
August Priske3 ⚽
Demarai Gray2 ⚽
Carlos Vicente2 ⚽
Cards Given
Stoke CityEthan Galbraith3 🟨
S. Ingelsson3 🟨
B. Lawal2 🟨
Bae Jun-Ho2 🟨
El Hadji Soumare2 🟨
Luke Graham2 🟨
BirminghamB. Osayi-Samuel4 🟨
Christoph·Klarer3 🟨
Phil Neumann3 🟨
Carlos Vicente3 🟨
J. E. Solis Romero2 🟨
Alex Cochrane2 🟨