Millwall vs QPR — Championship
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The Den·London·England·20,146
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Millwall and QPR meet in the Championship 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Millwall have recorded 7 wins from 21 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.24 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 48% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 52%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. QPR have won 53% of their 19 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 0.95 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 58%, and clean sheets at 32%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.54 for Millwall and 1.42 for QPR. The models give Millwall a 43% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an QPR win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Millwall—
QPR13º
Position
8º
1.25
PPG
1.67
33%
Win %
42%
1.58
Goals / game
1.67
1.67
Conceded / game
1.00
48%
BTTS %
58%
29%
Clean sheet %
32%
52%
Over 2.5 %
58%
4.9
Avg corners
5.6
12.6
Avg shots
14.5
3.7
Avg shots on target
4.9
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.9
12.9
Avg fouls
8.3
48.5%
Avg possession
48.5%
Home vs Away
Millwall
Home (6)
—
QPR
Away (6)
1.33
PPG
1.50
33%
Win %
33%
1.83
Goals / game
1.17
1.33
Conceded / game
1.17
25%
BTTS %
60%
38%
Clean sheet %
30%
63%
Over 2.5 %
60%
4.9
Avg corners
5.6
12.6
Avg shots
14.5
3.7
Avg shots on target
4.9
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.9
48.5%
Avg possession
48.5%
Goals Scored
| Millwall | Home | Away | QPR | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 63% | 85% | 74% | 78% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 50% | 23% | 53% | 56% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 25% | 0% | 37% | 33% | 40% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 38% | 15% | 26% | 22% | 30% |
Goals Conceded
| Millwall | Home | Away | QPR | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 63% | 77% | 68% | 67% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 38% | 38% | 21% | 22% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 13% | 15% | 5% | 0% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 38% | 23% | 32% | 33% | 30% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Millwall | QPR | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 74% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 | 5% | 26% |
| BTTS | 48% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 5% | 37% |
| BTTS & Draw | 24% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 42% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 16% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Millwall | QPR | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 47% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 37% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 16% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 53% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 32% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 26% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 14% | 63% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 52% | 11% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 48% | 58% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 47% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Millwall (H)D
Lincoln2–2
Lincoln2–2L
Swansea0–1
Swansea0–1D
West Ham2–2
West Ham2–2L
Newcastle0–1
Newcastle0–1W
Bolton4–0
Bolton4–0L
Wrexham0–3
Wrexham0–3QPR (A)L
Birmingham0–3
Birmingham0–3DWest Ham1–1
West Ham1–1D
West Brom1–1
West Brom1–1D
Charlton0–0
Charlton0–0W
Blackburn2–1
Blackburn2–1W
Portsmouth3–1
Portsmouth3–1Number of Corners
11.4
Corners / Match
15 games
League Avg
10.6
144 games
9.3
Corners / Match
13 games
| Match Corners | Millwall | QPR | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 87% | 69% | 89% |
| Over 7 | 80% | 54% | 81% |
| Over 8 | 73% | 46% | 68% |
| Over 9 | 67% | 46% | 59% |
| Over 10 | 60% | 38% | 47% |
| Over 11 | 53% | 31% | 40% |
| Over 12 | 47% | 31% | 31% |
| Over 13 | 40% | 23% | 24% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Millwall | QPR |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.9 | 5.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.5 | 3.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 67% | 85% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 53% | 54% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 40% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 80% | 77% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 73% | 46% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 60% | 31% |
Head to Head · 21 matches
7
Millwall
33%
8
Draws
38%
6
QPR
29%
90%
Over 1.5
19/21
38%
Over 2.5
8/21
19%
Over 3.5
4/21
62%
BTTS
13/21
08/08/26Millwall
QPR
1–1Millwall18/04/26QPR
Millwall
2–0QPR18/10/25Millwall
QPR
1–2Millwall01/02/25QPR
Millwall
2–1QPR21/09/24Millwall
QPR
1–1Millwall20/01/24Millwall
QPR
2–0Millwall26/12/23QPR
Millwall
2–0QPR11/02/23Millwall
QPR
1–2Millwall14/09/22QPR
Millwall
0–2QPR15/02/22QPR
Millwall
2–0QPR07/08/21Millwall
QPR
1–1Millwall17/03/21Millwall
QPR
3–2Millwall08/12/20QPR
Millwall
1–1QPR18/07/20Millwall
QPR
4–3Millwall21/09/19QPR
Millwall
1–2QPR10/04/19QPR
Millwall
0–0QPR19/09/18Millwall
QPR
2–0Millwall29/12/17QPR
Millwall
1–0QPR12/09/17Millwall
QPR
2–2Millwall26/04/14Millwall
QPR
1–1Millwall| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 25 |
| 2 | Swansea | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 23 |
| 3 | West Ham | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +17 | 22 |
| 4 |  Wolves | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 21 |
| 5 | West Brom | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 21 |
| 6 |  Southampton | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 20 |
| 7 | Birmingham | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 8 | QPR | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 9 |  Stoke City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 20 |
| 10 | Blackburn | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 18 |
| 12 |  Sheffield Utd | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 13 | Millwall | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 15 | Lincoln | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 15 |
| 16 |  Cardiff | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 17 | Wrexham | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 14 |
| 18 | Bolton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 14 |
| 19 | Charlton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -7 | 14 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -2 | 12 |
| 21 |  Watford | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -8 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -11 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -15 | 5 |
Team Insights
Millwall- ●Millwall have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Millwall have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Millwall failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Millwall have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
QPR- ●QPR have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●QPR failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●QPR failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●65% of QPR's goals have been scored at home.
- ●QPR have scored 65% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
MillwallLAPortsmouth1–2
Portsmouth1–2DHLincoln2–2
Lincoln2–2LHSwansea0–1
Swansea0–1WAPreston1–0
Preston1–0DHWest Ham2–2
West Ham2–2DAMiddlesbrough2–2
Middlesbrough2–2–HDerby31/10
Derby31/10–ABirmingham03/11
Birmingham03/11–AWest Brom07/11
West Brom07/11QPRWHSwansea5–0
Swansea5–0LABirmingham0–3
Birmingham0–3WHDerby4–1
Derby4–1DAWest Ham1–1
West Ham1–1DHPreston2–2
Preston2–2DAWest Brom1–1
West Brom1–1–ASouthampton31/10
Southampton31/10–HBurnley03/11
Burnley03/11–HLincoln07/11
Lincoln07/11Top Scorers
MillwallLyndon Dykes4 ⚽
T. Arconte3 ⚽
J. Cooper3 ⚽
Camiel Neghli3 ⚽
M. Sykes3 ⚽
J. Coburn2 ⚽
QPRP. Smyth3 ⚽
Richard Kone3 ⚽
A. Lloyd3 ⚽
I. Chair3 ⚽
R. Burrell3 ⚽
K. Saito2 ⚽
Cards Given
MillwallJenson Metcalfe4 🟨
Derek Mazou Sacko3 🟨
Zak Sturge3 🟨
Lyndon Dykes2 🟨
Kyrell Lisbie2 🟨
J. Metcalfe2 🟨
QPRGlen Kamara4 🟨
Julien Stéphan2 🟨
Jake Clarke-Salter2 🟨
Harvey Vale2 🟨
J. Clarke-Salter2 🟨
R. Edwards2 🟨