Lincoln vs Wrexham — Championship
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Lincoln and Wrexham meet in the Championship 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Lincoln have recorded 8 wins from 21 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.10 goals scored and 1.81 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 48% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 62%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Wrexham have won 27% of their 15 matches, with 1.07 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.45 for Lincoln and 1.28 for Wrexham. The models give Lincoln a 41% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Wrexham win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Lincoln—
Wrexham15º
Position
17º
1.25
PPG
1.17
33%
Win %
25%
1.08
Goals / game
1.25
1.67
Conceded / game
1.50
48%
BTTS %
53%
29%
Clean sheet %
27%
62%
Over 2.5 %
40%
3.3
Avg corners
5.4
11.9
Avg shots
12.4
3.5
Avg shots on target
3.4
2.3
Avg yellow cards
1.5
12.3
Avg fouls
10.7
39.6%
Avg possession
50.6%
Home vs Away
Lincoln
Home (6)
—
Wrexham
Away (6)
0.83
PPG
1.00
17%
Win %
17%
1.17
Goals / game
0.83
2.17
Conceded / game
1.67
57%
BTTS %
22%
14%
Clean sheet %
44%
57%
Over 2.5 %
22%
3.3
Avg corners
5.4
11.9
Avg shots
12.4
3.5
Avg shots on target
3.4
2.3
Avg yellow cards
1.5
39.6%
Avg possession
50.6%
Goals Scored
| Lincoln | Home | Away | Wrexham | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 57% | 79% | 67% | 100% | 44% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 19% | 14% | 21% | 20% | 33% | 11% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 14% | 7% | 13% | 17% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 43% | 21% | 33% | 0% | 56% |
Goals Conceded
| Lincoln | Home | Away | Wrexham | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 86% | 64% | 73% | 100% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 52% | 57% | 50% | 27% | 33% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 29% | 29% | 29% | 7% | 0% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 14% | 36% | 27% | 0% | 44% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lincoln | Wrexham | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 13% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 13% |
| BTTS | 48% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 27% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 27% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 19% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lincoln | Wrexham | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 24% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 52% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 27% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 19% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 48% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 47% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 52% | 47% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 20% |
Recent Venue Form
Lincoln (H)W
Burnley4–1
Burnley4–1L
West Ham0–6
West Ham0–6L
Swansea1–2
Swansea1–2D
Southampton1–1
Southampton1–1D
Blackburn0–0
Blackburn0–0L
Portsmouth1–3
Portsmouth1–3Wrexham (A)LBlackburn0–2
Blackburn0–2D
Derby1–1
Derby1–1LWest Ham0–6
West Ham0–6DSwansea0–0
Swansea0–0W
Millwall3–0
Millwall3–0D
Cardiff1–1
Cardiff1–1Number of Corners
10.5
Corners / Match
15 games
League Avg
10.6
144 games
9.8
Corners / Match
13 games
| Match Corners | Lincoln | Wrexham | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 80% | 85% | 89% |
| Over 7 | 73% | 77% | 81% |
| Over 8 | 73% | 69% | 68% |
| Over 9 | 67% | 54% | 59% |
| Over 10 | 47% | 23% | 47% |
| Over 11 | 40% | 23% | 40% |
| Over 12 | 33% | 23% | 31% |
| Over 13 | 33% | 15% | 24% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Lincoln | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.3 | 5.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 7.3 | 4.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 53% | 77% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 40% | 54% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 27% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 80% | 77% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 54% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 67% | 46% |
Head to Head · 14 matches
5
Lincoln
36%
3
Draws
21%
6
Wrexham
43%
79%
Over 1.5
11/14
36%
Over 2.5
5/14
14%
Over 3.5
2/14
57%
BTTS
8/14
03/05/25Wrexham
Lincoln
0–2Wrexham26/11/24Lincoln
Wrexham
1–0Lincoln29/11/16Wrexham
Lincoln
1–0Wrexham04/10/16Lincoln
Wrexham
1–2Lincoln23/01/16Lincoln
Wrexham
3–1Lincoln05/09/15Wrexham
Lincoln
1–1Wrexham21/03/15Lincoln
Wrexham
1–1Lincoln18/10/14Wrexham
Lincoln
1–1Wrexham21/04/14Lincoln
Wrexham
0–1Lincoln26/08/13Wrexham
Lincoln
2–0Wrexham12/03/13Wrexham
Lincoln
1–2Wrexham13/10/12Lincoln
Wrexham
2–4Lincoln19/11/11Lincoln
Wrexham
2–0Lincoln19/08/11Wrexham
Lincoln
1–2Wrexham| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 25 |
| 2 | Swansea | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 23 |
| 3 | West Ham | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +17 | 22 |
| 4 |  Wolves | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 21 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 21 |
| 6 | Southampton | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 20 |
| 7 |  Birmingham | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 8 |  QPR | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 9 |  Stoke City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 20 |
| 10 | Blackburn | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 18 |
| 12 |  Sheffield Utd | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 13 | Millwall | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 15 | Lincoln | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 15 |
| 16 | Cardiff | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 17 | Wrexham | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 14 |
| 18 |  Bolton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 14 |
| 19 |  Charlton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -7 | 14 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -2 | 12 |
| 21 |  Watford | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 11 |
| 22 | Burnley | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -8 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -11 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -15 | 5 |
Team Insights
Lincoln- ●Lincoln failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Lincoln failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Lincoln have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Lincoln have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Lincoln have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●65% of Lincoln's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●67% of Lincoln's points have been earned away.
Wrexham- ●Wrexham failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Wrexham failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Wrexham have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Wrexham failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Wrexham have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●67% of Wrexham's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
LincolnWHBurnley4–1
Burnley4–1DAMillwall2–2
Millwall2–2LHWest Ham0–6
West Ham0–6LASheffield Utd0–3
Sheffield Utd0–3LHSwansea1–2
Swansea1–2WABristol City1–0
Bristol City1–0–HBirmingham31/10
Birmingham31/10–AWatford03/11
Watford03/11–AQPR07/11
QPR07/11WrexhamLABlackburn0–2
Blackburn0–2WHPreston4–1
Preston4–1LHWest Brom1–2
West Brom1–2DADerby1–1
Derby1–1WHSouthampton2–1
Southampton2–1LAWest Ham0–6
West Ham0–6–ASheffield Utd30/10
Sheffield Utd30/10–HMiddlesbrough04/11
Middlesbrough04/11–HWolves07/11
Wolves07/11Top Scorers
LincolnMikkel Ladefoged3 ⚽
B. House2 ⚽
F. Draper2 ⚽
T. Bayliss2 ⚽
D. Jefferies2 ⚽
C. Elder1 ⚽
WrexhamKieffer Moore3 ⚽
K. Moore2 ⚽
D. Imray1 ⚽
J. Ekomie1 ⚽
Jacques Ekomié1 ⚽
Joe Worrall1 ⚽
Cards Given
LincolnF. Draper5 🟨
Deji Elerewe3 🟨
Ben House3 🟨
Conor McGrandles3 🟨
C. McGrandles2 🟨
B. House2 🟨
WrexhamDominic Hyam3 🟨
D. Hyam2 🟨
Ben Whiteman1 🟨
C. Doyle1 🟨
Callum Doyle1 🟨
Benjamin Whiteman1 🟨