Cardiff vs Burnley — Championship
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Cardiff and Burnley meet in the Championship 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Cardiff have recorded 7 wins from 18 matches this season (39% win rate), averaging 2.11 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 78% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 72%; and clean sheets in 6% of games. Burnley have won 5% of their 20 matches, with 1.20 goals scored and 1.95 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 85%, Over 2.5 at 65%, and clean sheets at 10%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.19 for Cardiff and 1.35 for Burnley. The models give Cardiff a 56% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Burnley win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 68% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Cardiff—
Burnley16º
Position
22º
1.17
PPG
0.67
25%
Win %
8%
1.58
Goals / game
1.42
1.42
Conceded / game
2.08
78%
BTTS %
85%
6%
Clean sheet %
10%
72%
Over 2.5 %
65%
6.6
Avg corners
5.4
16.6
Avg shots
14.3
5.6
Avg shots on target
4.2
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.6
10.1
Avg fouls
9.9
61.1%
Avg possession
51.2%
Home vs Away
Cardiff
Home (6)
—
Burnley
Away (6)
2.00
PPG
0.67
50%
Win %
17%
2.17
Goals / game
1.50
1.00
Conceded / game
2.50
80%
BTTS %
82%
10%
Clean sheet %
18%
70%
Over 2.5 %
73%
6.6
Avg corners
5.4
16.6
Avg shots
14.3
5.6
Avg shots on target
4.2
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.6
61.1%
Avg possession
51.2%
Goals Scored
| Cardiff | Home | Away | Burnley | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 90% | 75% | 90% | 89% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 50% | 50% | 20% | 33% | 9% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 40% | 25% | 5% | 0% | 9% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 10% | 25% | 10% | 11% | 9% |
Goals Conceded
| Cardiff | Home | Away | Burnley | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 94% | 90% | 100% | 90% | 100% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 40% | 63% | 60% | 56% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 10% | 0% | 30% | 0% | 55% |
| Clean Sheets | 6% | 10% | 0% | 10% | 0% | 18% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Cardiff | Burnley | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 72% | 65% |
| Over 3.5 | 56% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 15% |
| BTTS | 78% | 85% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 28% | 40% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 67% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Cardiff | Burnley | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 50% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 11% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 39% | 40% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 61% | 65% |
| Win 2nd Half | 28% | 20% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 39% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 55% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 75% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 94% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 56% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Cardiff (H)W
Birmingham1–0
Birmingham1–0W
Watford5–1
Watford5–1W
Charlton3–1
Charlton3–1D
Stoke City1–1
Stoke City1–1D
Sheffield Utd2–2
Sheffield Utd2–2L
Norwich1–2
Norwich1–2Burnley (A)L
Lincoln1–4
Lincoln1–4WWatford4–0
Watford4–0L
Swansea1–3
Swansea1–3D
Wrexham1–1
Wrexham1–1LNorwich1–4
Norwich1–4D
Bradford0–0
Bradford0–0Number of Corners
11.3
Corners / Match
14 games
League Avg
10.6
144 games
9.9
Corners / Match
14 games
| Match Corners | Cardiff | Burnley | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 93% | 93% | 89% |
| Over 7 | 71% | 79% | 81% |
| Over 8 | 64% | 50% | 68% |
| Over 9 | 57% | 36% | 59% |
| Over 10 | 57% | 29% | 47% |
| Over 11 | 57% | 29% | 40% |
| Over 12 | 36% | 21% | 31% |
| Over 13 | 36% | 14% | 24% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Cardiff | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.6 | 5.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.7 | 4.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 100% | 93% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 93% | 86% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 79% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 71% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 43% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 43% | 50% |
Head to Head · 14 matches
3
Cardiff
21%
6
Draws
43%
5
Burnley
36%
79%
Over 1.5
11/14
50%
Over 2.5
7/14
21%
Over 3.5
3/14
50%
BTTS
7/14
23/09/25Cardiff
Burnley
1–2Cardiff04/03/25Burnley
Cardiff
1–2Burnley17/08/24Cardiff
Burnley
5–0Cardiff08/05/23Cardiff
Burnley
3–0Cardiff01/10/22Burnley
Cardiff
1–1Burnley13/04/19Cardiff
Burnley
2–0Cardiff30/09/18Burnley
Cardiff
1–2Burnley05/04/16Cardiff
Burnley
0–0Cardiff28/11/15Burnley
Cardiff
2–2Burnley20/04/13Cardiff
Burnley
1–1Cardiff27/10/12Burnley
Cardiff
4–0Burnley18/03/12Burnley
Cardiff
0–0Burnley25/10/11Burnley
Cardiff
1–0Burnley20/08/11Cardiff
Burnley
1–1Cardiff| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 25 |
| 2 | Swansea | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 23 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +17 | 22 |
| 4 |  Wolves | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 21 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 21 |
| 6 |  Southampton | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 20 |
| 7 | Birmingham | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 8 |  QPR | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 9 | Stoke City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 20 |
| 10 |  Blackburn | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 18 |
| 12 | Sheffield Utd | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 15 | Lincoln | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 15 |
| 16 | Cardiff | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 17 | Wrexham | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 14 |
| 18 |  Bolton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 14 |
| 19 | Charlton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -7 | 14 |
| 20 | Norwich | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -2 | 12 |
| 21 | Watford | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 11 |
| 22 | Burnley | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -8 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -11 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -15 | 5 |
Team Insights
Cardiff- ●Cardiff have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Cardiff have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Cardiff have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Cardiff have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Cardiff failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Cardiff failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Cardiff have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Cardiff failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Cardiff have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●68% of Cardiff's goals have been scored at home.
- ●65% of Cardiff's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●86% of Cardiff's points have been earned at home.
- ●Cardiff have scored 68% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Cardiff have conceded 59% of their goals in the first half.
Burnley- ●Burnley have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Burnley have scored in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Burnley have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Burnley have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Burnley failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Burnley have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Burnley have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Burnley failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Burnley have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Burnley failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Burnley have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Burnley have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Burnley have scored 59% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
CardiffWHBirmingham1–0
Birmingham1–0DAMiddlesbrough2–2
Middlesbrough2–2WHWatford5–1
Watford5–1LABlackburn1–2
Blackburn1–2WHCharlton3–1
Charlton3–1LABolton0–1
Bolton0–1–AWolves31/10
Wolves31/10–HWest Ham04/11
West Ham04/11–HBurnley07/11
Burnley07/11BurnleyLALincoln1–4
Lincoln1–4LHWolves1–2
Wolves1–2DHCharlton2–2
Charlton2–2WAWatford4–0
Watford4–0DHDerby1–1
Derby1–1LASwansea1–3
Swansea1–3–HPortsmouth31/10
Portsmouth31/10–AQPR03/11
QPR03/11–ACardiff07/11
Cardiff07/11Top Scorers
CardiffY. Salech7 ⚽
Jack Moylan5 ⚽
C. Ashford4 ⚽
C. Willock3 ⚽
I. Davies3 ⚽
J. Moylan2 ⚽
BurnleyZ. Flemming5 ⚽
Zeki Amdouni3 ⚽
J. Laurent2 ⚽
Jacob Bruun Larsen2 ⚽
Largie Ramazani2 ⚽
J. Banel1 ⚽
Cards Given
CardiffPerry Tian Hee Ng3 🟨
Joel Bagan3 🟨
Joel Colwill2 🟨
Alexander Sean Pablo Robertson2 🟨
A. Robertson2 🟨
Brian Barry-Murphy2 🟨
BurnleyJ. Laurent4 🟨
Reo Hatate2 🟨
Igor Júlio2 🟨
Kyle Walker2 🟨
Lucas Pires Silva2 🟨
Ugo Raghouber2 🟨