Birmingham vs Swansea — Championship
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Birmingham and Swansea meet in the Championship 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Birmingham have recorded 10 wins from 19 matches this season (53% win rate), averaging 1.74 goals scored and 1.16 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 68%; and clean sheets in 37% of games. Swansea have won 50% of their 18 matches, with 1.17 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 33%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 39%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.90 for Birmingham and 1.34 for Swansea. The models give Birmingham a 48% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Swansea win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Birmingham—
Swansea7º
Position
2º
1.67
PPG
1.92
42%
Win %
58%
1.67
Goals / game
1.33
1.00
Conceded / game
1.08
58%
BTTS %
33%
37%
Clean sheet %
39%
68%
Over 2.5 %
50%
5.3
Avg corners
4.5
12.3
Avg shots
11.9
4.0
Avg shots on target
4.2
2.1
Avg yellow cards
1.7
12.8
Avg fouls
10.1
49.9%
Avg possession
56.5%
Home vs Away
Birmingham
Home (6)
—
Swansea
Away (6)
1.67
PPG
2.00
33%
Win %
67%
2.33
Goals / game
1.50
1.17
Conceded / game
1.67
78%
BTTS %
43%
22%
Clean sheet %
29%
89%
Over 2.5 %
86%
5.3
Avg corners
4.5
12.3
Avg shots
11.9
4.0
Avg shots on target
4.2
2.1
Avg yellow cards
1.7
49.9%
Avg possession
56.5%
Goals Scored
| Birmingham | Home | Away | Swansea | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 100% | 80% | 61% | 55% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 58% | 78% | 40% | 44% | 45% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 21% | 33% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 0% | 20% | 39% | 45% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Birmingham | Home | Away | Swansea | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 63% | 78% | 50% | 61% | 55% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 32% | 56% | 10% | 28% | 18% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 5% | 11% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 43% |
| Clean Sheets | 37% | 22% | 50% | 39% | 45% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Birmingham | Swansea | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 74% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 68% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 37% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 5% | 6% |
| BTTS | 58% | 33% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 26% | 6% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 53% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 16% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Birmingham | Swansea | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 42% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 32% | 22% |
| Loss 1st Half | 26% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 74% | 39% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 53% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 47% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 47% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 5% | 17% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 32% | 28% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 95% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 42% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Birmingham (H)W
QPR3–0
QPR3–0W
Preston4–0
Preston4–0D
Middlesbrough2–2
Middlesbrough2–2D
Wolves2–2
Wolves2–2D
Southampton1–1
Southampton1–1L
Brentford1–6
Brentford1–6Swansea (A)LQPR0–5
QPR0–5W
Millwall1–0
Millwall1–0W
Lincoln2–1
Lincoln2–1LSouthampton1–3
Southampton1–3W
Derby3–0
Derby3–0W
Stoke City2–1
Stoke City2–1Number of Corners
9.9
Corners / Match
14 games
League Avg
10.6
144 games
9.2
Corners / Match
13 games
| Match Corners | Birmingham | Swansea | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 86% | 85% | 89% |
| Over 7 | 86% | 69% | 81% |
| Over 8 | 71% | 62% | 68% |
| Over 9 | 57% | 38% | 59% |
| Over 10 | 29% | 31% | 47% |
| Over 11 | 29% | 23% | 40% |
| Over 12 | 21% | 15% | 31% |
| Over 13 | 14% | 15% | 24% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Birmingham | Swansea |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.3 | 4.5 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.6 | 4.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 93% | 85% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 79% | 62% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 57% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 93% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 57% | 54% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 43% | 38% |
Head to Head · 17 matches
6
Birmingham
35%
8
Draws
47%
3
Swansea
18%
65%
Over 1.5
11/17
53%
Over 2.5
9/17
35%
Over 3.5
6/17
59%
BTTS
10/17
08/08/26Birmingham
Swansea
0–1Birmingham17/01/26Birmingham
Swansea
1–1Birmingham20/09/25Swansea
Birmingham
1–0Swansea13/01/24Swansea
Birmingham
2–2Swansea05/08/23Birmingham
Swansea
1–1Birmingham04/02/23Birmingham
Swansea
3–4Birmingham08/11/22Swansea
Birmingham
2–2Swansea19/03/22Birmingham
Swansea
0–0Birmingham23/10/21Swansea
Birmingham
2–1Swansea02/04/21Swansea
Birmingham
1–0Swansea19/09/20Birmingham
Swansea
0–0Birmingham08/07/20Swansea
Birmingham
1–3Swansea25/08/19Birmingham
Swansea
3–0Birmingham29/01/19Birmingham
Swansea
3–3Birmingham17/08/18Swansea
Birmingham
0–0Swansea25/01/14Swansea
Birmingham
1–2Swansea25/09/13Swansea
Birmingham
3–1Swansea| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 25 |
| 2 | Swansea | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 23 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +17 | 22 |
| 4 | Wolves | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 21 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 21 |
| 6 | Southampton | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 20 |
| 7 | Birmingham | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 8 | QPR | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 9 | Stoke City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 20 |
| 10 |  Blackburn | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 18 |
| 12 |  Sheffield Utd | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 13 | Millwall | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 15 | Lincoln | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 15 |
| 16 |  Cardiff | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 17 |  Wrexham | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 14 |
| 18 |  Bolton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 14 |
| 19 |  Charlton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -7 | 14 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -2 | 12 |
| 21 |  Watford | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -8 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -11 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -15 | 5 |
Team Insights
Birmingham- ●Birmingham have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Birmingham have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Birmingham have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Birmingham failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Birmingham have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Birmingham have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●70% of Birmingham's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Birmingham have conceded 75% of their goals in the first half.
Swansea- ●Swansea have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Swansea have won 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Swansea have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●77% of Swansea's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Swansea have conceded 77% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
BirminghamLACardiff0–1
Cardiff0–1WHQPR3–0
QPR3–0WHPreston4–0
Preston4–0WAWest Brom1–0
West Brom1–0DHMiddlesbrough2–2
Middlesbrough2–2WADerby2–1
Derby2–1–ALincoln31/10
Lincoln31/10–HMillwall03/11
Millwall03/11–HSwansea07/11
Swansea07/11SwanseaLAQPR0–5
QPR0–5LHWest Ham0–1
West Ham0–1WAMillwall1–0
Millwall1–0WHNorwich2–1
Norwich2–1WALincoln2–1
Lincoln2–1WHBurnley3–1
Burnley3–1–HBlackburn31/10
Blackburn31/10–APortsmouth03/11
Portsmouth03/11–ABirmingham07/11
Birmingham07/11Top Scorers
BirminghamA. Priske5 ⚽
D. Gray4 ⚽
Liam Millar4 ⚽
August Priske3 ⚽
Demarai Gray2 ⚽
Carlos Vicente2 ⚽
SwanseaA. Idah3 ⚽
J. Opoku3 ⚽
Moussa Kounfolo Yeo3 ⚽
Zan Vipotnik2 ⚽
Adam Idah2 ⚽
Eom Ji-Sung2 ⚽
Cards Given
BirminghamB. Osayi-Samuel4 🟨
Christoph·Klarer3 🟨
Phil Neumann3 🟨
Carlos Vicente3 🟨
J. E. Solis Romero2 🟨
Alex Cochrane2 🟨
SwanseaFilip Lissah3 🟨
M. Widell2 🟨
Jay Fulton2 🟨
F. Lissah2 🟨
E. Just1 🟨
Elijah Just1 🟨