Wrexham vs Middlesbrough — Championship
← Back
vs
–
–
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
from€8.99/mo
billed annually · cancel anytime
Wrexham and Middlesbrough meet in the Championship 2026 season on 4 November 2026. Wrexham have recorded 4 wins from 15 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 1.07 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Middlesbrough have won 50% of their 18 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 78%, Over 2.5 at 72%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.58 for Wrexham and 1.67 for Middlesbrough. The models give Wrexham a 35% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Middlesbrough win at 40%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Wrexham—
Middlesbrough17º
Position
1º
1.17
PPG
2.08
25%
Win %
58%
1.25
Goals / game
2.25
1.50
Conceded / game
1.42
53%
BTTS %
78%
27%
Clean sheet %
17%
40%
Over 2.5 %
72%
5.4
Avg corners
6.4
12.4
Avg shots
19.5
3.4
Avg shots on target
6.3
1.5
Avg yellow cards
1.1
10.7
Avg fouls
10.5
50.6%
Avg possession
57.5%
Home vs Away
Wrexham
Home (6)
—
Middlesbrough
Away (6)
1.33
PPG
1.83
33%
Win %
50%
1.67
Goals / game
2.17
1.33
Conceded / game
1.33
100%
BTTS %
78%
0%
Clean sheet %
11%
67%
Over 2.5 %
67%
5.4
Avg corners
6.4
12.4
Avg shots
19.5
3.4
Avg shots on target
6.3
1.5
Avg yellow cards
1.1
50.6%
Avg possession
57.5%
Goals Scored
| Wrexham | Home | Away | Middlesbrough | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 100% | 44% | 94% | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 20% | 33% | 11% | 56% | 67% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 17% | 11% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 0% | 56% | 6% | 0% | 11% |
Goals Conceded
| Wrexham | Home | Away | Middlesbrough | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 100% | 56% | 83% | 78% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 33% | 22% | 50% | 56% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 0% | 11% | 22% | 33% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 0% | 44% | 17% | 22% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Wrexham | Middlesbrough | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 72% |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 22% |
| BTTS | 53% | 78% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 27% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 27% | 67% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Wrexham | Middlesbrough | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 41% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 35% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 53% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 53% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 18% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 47% | 71% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 47% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 20% | 35% |
Recent Venue Form
Wrexham (H)W
Preston4–1
Preston4–1L
West Brom1–2
West Brom1–2W
Southampton2–1
Southampton2–1D
Burnley1–1
Burnley1–1L
Birmingham1–2
Birmingham1–2D
Watford1–1
Watford1–1Middlesbrough (A)W
Bolton5–1
Bolton5–1W
Stoke City3–2
Stoke City3–2DBirmingham2–2
Birmingham2–2L
Crystal Palace0–3
Crystal Palace0–3W
QPR1–0
QPR1–0DBurnley1–1
Burnley1–1Number of Corners
9.8
Corners / Match
13 games
League Avg
10.6
144 games
10.5
Corners / Match
15 games
| Match Corners | Wrexham | Middlesbrough | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 85% | 93% | 89% |
| Over 7 | 77% | 80% | 81% |
| Over 8 | 69% | 60% | 68% |
| Over 9 | 54% | 60% | 59% |
| Over 10 | 23% | 40% | 47% |
| Over 11 | 23% | 40% | 40% |
| Over 12 | 23% | 33% | 31% |
| Over 13 | 15% | 27% | 24% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Wrexham | Middlesbrough |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.4 | 6.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.5 | 4.1 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 77% | 93% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 54% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 46% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 77% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 54% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 46% | 47% |
Head to Head · 3 matches
0
Wrexham
0%
2
Draws
67%
1
Middlesbrough
33%
67%
Over 1.5
2/3
33%
Over 2.5
1/3
33%
Over 3.5
1/3
67%
BTTS
2/3
07/08/26Wrexham
Middlesbrough
1–0Wrexham02/05/26Middlesbrough
Wrexham
2–2Middlesbrough25/10/25Wrexham
Middlesbrough
1–1Wrexham| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 25 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 23 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +17 | 22 |
| 4 |  Wolves | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 21 |
| 5 | West Brom | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 21 |
| 6 | Southampton | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 20 |
| 7 | Birmingham | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 8 | QPR | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 9 | Stoke City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 20 |
| 10 |  Blackburn | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 18 |
| 12 |  Sheffield Utd | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 15 |  Lincoln | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 15 |
| 16 |  Cardiff | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 17 | Wrexham | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 14 |
| 18 | Bolton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 14 |
| 19 |  Charlton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -7 | 14 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -2 | 12 |
| 21 | Watford | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 11 |
| 22 | Burnley | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -8 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -11 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -15 | 5 |
Team Insights
Wrexham- ●Wrexham failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Wrexham failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Wrexham have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Wrexham failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Wrexham have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●67% of Wrexham's goals have been scored at home.
Middlesbrough- ●Middlesbrough have been undefeated in their last 10 matches.
- ●Middlesbrough have scored in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Middlesbrough have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Middlesbrough have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Middlesbrough have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Middlesbrough have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Middlesbrough have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Middlesbrough have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Middlesbrough failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Middlesbrough have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Middlesbrough failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Middlesbrough have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Middlesbrough have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
Season Schedule
WrexhamLABlackburn0–2
Blackburn0–2WHPreston4–1
Preston4–1LHWest Brom1–2
West Brom1–2DADerby1–1
Derby1–1WHSouthampton2–1
Southampton2–1LAWest Ham0–6
West Ham0–6–ASheffield Utd30/10
Sheffield Utd30/10–HMiddlesbrough04/11
Middlesbrough04/11–HWolves07/11
Wolves07/11MiddlesbroughWABolton5–1
Bolton5–1DHCardiff2–2
Cardiff2–2WAStoke City3–2
Stoke City3–2WHWolves1–0
Wolves1–0DABirmingham2–2
Birmingham2–2DHMillwall2–2
Millwall2–2–HCharlton31/10
Charlton31/10–AWrexham04/11
Wrexham04/11–AWatford07/11
Watford07/11Top Scorers
WrexhamKieffer Moore3 ⚽
K. Moore2 ⚽
D. Imray1 ⚽
J. Ekomie1 ⚽
Jacques Ekomié1 ⚽
Joe Worrall1 ⚽
Middlesbroughwill lankshear7 ⚽
W. Lankshear6 ⚽
Amario Cozier-Duberry3 ⚽
Sebastian Berhalter2 ⚽
J. Sarmiento2 ⚽
L. Castledine2 ⚽
Cards Given
WrexhamDominic Hyam3 🟨
D. Hyam2 🟨
Ben Whiteman1 🟨
C. Doyle1 🟨
Callum Doyle1 🟨
Benjamin Whiteman1 🟨
Middlesbrough2 🟨
Neto Borges2 🟨
Riley McGree2 🟨
Sebastian Berhalter2 🟨
W. Lankshear2 🟨
A.Malanda2 🟨