Watford vs Lincoln — Championship
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Vicarage Road·Watford·England·22,200
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Watford and Lincoln meet in the Championship 2026 season on 3 November 2026. Watford have recorded 5 wins from 18 matches this season (28% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Lincoln have won 38% of their 21 matches, with 1.10 goals scored and 1.81 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 48%, Over 2.5 at 62%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.34 for Watford and 1.34 for Lincoln. The models give Watford a 35% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Lincoln win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Watford—
Lincoln21º
Position
15º
0.92
PPG
1.25
25%
Win %
33%
0.83
Goals / game
1.08
1.67
Conceded / game
1.67
50%
BTTS %
48%
17%
Clean sheet %
29%
50%
Over 2.5 %
62%
4.0
Avg corners
3.3
14.2
Avg shots
11.9
4.6
Avg shots on target
3.5
2.5
Avg yellow cards
2.3
10.9
Avg fouls
12.3
48.0%
Avg possession
39.6%
Home vs Away
Watford
Home (6)
—
Lincoln
Away (6)
1.67
PPG
1.67
50%
Win %
50%
1.33
Goals / game
1.00
1.50
Conceded / game
1.17
50%
BTTS %
43%
30%
Clean sheet %
36%
60%
Over 2.5 %
64%
4.0
Avg corners
3.3
14.2
Avg shots
11.9
4.6
Avg shots on target
3.5
2.5
Avg yellow cards
2.3
48.0%
Avg possession
39.6%
Goals Scored
| Watford | Home | Away | Lincoln | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 80% | 50% | 71% | 57% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 28% | 40% | 13% | 19% | 14% | 21% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 6% | 10% | 0% | 10% | 14% | 7% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 20% | 50% | 29% | 43% | 21% |
Goals Conceded
| Watford | Home | Away | Lincoln | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 70% | 100% | 71% | 86% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 39% | 30% | 50% | 52% | 57% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 20% | 13% | 29% | 29% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 30% | 0% | 29% | 14% | 36% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Watford | Lincoln | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 72% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 62% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 19% |
| BTTS | 50% | 48% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 39% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 19% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Watford | Lincoln | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 11% | 24% |
| Draw 1st Half | 28% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 61% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 28% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 78% | 52% |
| Win 2nd Half | 22% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 61% | 19% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 17% | 48% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 43% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 39% | 52% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 89% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Watford (H)W
Charlton2–0
Charlton2–0L
Burnley0–4
Burnley0–4L
Stoke City1–2
Stoke City1–2W
Preston2–1
Preston2–1D
West Ham1–1
West Ham1–1L
Peterborough1–5
Peterborough1–5Lincoln (A)D
Millwall2–2
Millwall2–2L
Sheffield Utd0–3
Sheffield Utd0–3W
Bristol City1–0
Bristol City1–0WPreston1–0
Preston1–0L
Bournemouth0–4
Bournemouth0–4W
Bolton1–0
Bolton1–0Number of Corners
9.8
Corners / Match
14 games
League Avg
10.6
144 games
10.5
Corners / Match
15 games
| Match Corners | Watford | Lincoln | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 86% | 80% | 89% |
| Over 7 | 64% | 73% | 81% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 73% | 68% |
| Over 9 | 43% | 67% | 59% |
| Over 10 | 43% | 47% | 47% |
| Over 11 | 43% | 40% | 40% |
| Over 12 | 36% | 33% | 31% |
| Over 13 | 14% | 33% | 24% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Watford | Lincoln |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.0 | 3.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.8 | 7.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 71% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 29% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 71% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 64% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 57% | 67% |
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 25 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 23 |
| 3 | West Ham | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +17 | 22 |
| 4 |  Wolves | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 21 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 21 |
| 6 |  Southampton | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 20 |
| 7 |  Birmingham | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 8 |  QPR | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 9 | Stoke City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 20 |
| 10 |  Blackburn | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 18 |
| 12 | Sheffield Utd | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 13 | Millwall | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 14 | Bristol City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 15 | Lincoln | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 15 |
| 16 |  Cardiff | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 17 |  Wrexham | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 14 |
| 18 | Bolton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 14 |
| 19 | Charlton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -7 | 14 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -2 | 12 |
| 21 | Watford | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 11 |
| 22 | Burnley | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -8 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -11 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -15 | 5 |
Team Insights
Watford- ●Watford have lost their last 5 away matches.
- ●Watford failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Watford failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Watford failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Watford have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●80% of Watford's goals have been scored at home.
- ●91% of Watford's points have been earned at home.
- ●Watford have conceded 80% of their goals in the first half.
Lincoln- ●Lincoln failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Lincoln failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Lincoln have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Lincoln have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Lincoln have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●65% of Lincoln's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●67% of Lincoln's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
WatfordLAWolves0–1
Wolves0–1WHCharlton2–0
Charlton2–0LACardiff1–5
Cardiff1–5LHBurnley0–4
Burnley0–4LABristol City0–1
Bristol City0–1LHStoke City1–2
Stoke City1–2–ANorwich31/10
Norwich31/10–HLincoln03/11
Lincoln03/11–HMiddlesbrough07/11
Middlesbrough07/11LincolnWHBurnley4–1
Burnley4–1DAMillwall2–2
Millwall2–2LHWest Ham0–6
West Ham0–6LASheffield Utd0–3
Sheffield Utd0–3LHSwansea1–2
Swansea1–2WABristol City1–0
Bristol City1–0–HBirmingham31/10
Birmingham31/10–AWatford03/11
Watford03/11–AQPR07/11
QPR07/11Top Scorers
WatfordA. Nabizada3 ⚽
L. Kjerrumgaard2 ⚽
M. Doumbia2 ⚽
Edo Kayembe1 ⚽
Jordan Zemura1 ⚽
I. Bravo1 ⚽
LincolnMikkel Ladefoged3 ⚽
B. House2 ⚽
F. Draper2 ⚽
T. Bayliss2 ⚽
D. Jefferies2 ⚽
C. Elder1 ⚽
Cards Given
WatfordIker Bravo4 🟨
3 🟨
Amin Nabizada3 🟨
Edo Kayembe3 🟨
H. Kyprianou2 🟨
Hector Kyprianou2 🟨
LincolnF. Draper5 🟨
Deji Elerewe3 🟨
Ben House3 🟨
Conor McGrandles3 🟨
C. McGrandles2 🟨
B. House2 🟨