QPR vs Burnley — Championship
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QPR and Burnley meet in the Championship 2026 season on 3 November 2026. QPR have recorded 10 wins from 19 matches this season (53% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 0.95 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 58%; and clean sheets in 32% of games. Burnley have won 5% of their 20 matches, with 1.20 goals scored and 1.95 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 85%, Over 2.5 at 65%, and clean sheets at 10%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.17 for QPR and 1.31 for Burnley. The models give QPR a 57% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Burnley win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 67% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
QPR—
Burnley8º
Position
22º
1.67
PPG
0.67
42%
Win %
8%
1.67
Goals / game
1.42
1.00
Conceded / game
2.08
58%
BTTS %
85%
32%
Clean sheet %
10%
58%
Over 2.5 %
65%
5.6
Avg corners
5.4
14.5
Avg shots
14.3
4.9
Avg shots on target
4.2
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.6
8.3
Avg fouls
9.9
48.5%
Avg possession
51.2%
Home vs Away
QPR
Home (6)
—
Burnley
Away (6)
1.83
PPG
0.67
50%
Win %
17%
2.17
Goals / game
1.50
0.83
Conceded / game
2.50
56%
BTTS %
82%
33%
Clean sheet %
18%
56%
Over 2.5 %
73%
5.6
Avg corners
5.4
14.5
Avg shots
14.3
4.9
Avg shots on target
4.2
1.9
Avg yellow cards
1.6
48.5%
Avg possession
51.2%
Goals Scored
| QPR | Home | Away | Burnley | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 74% | 78% | 70% | 90% | 89% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 53% | 56% | 50% | 20% | 33% | 9% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 37% | 33% | 40% | 5% | 0% | 9% |
| Failed To Score | 26% | 22% | 30% | 10% | 11% | 9% |
Goals Conceded
| QPR | Home | Away | Burnley | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 68% | 67% | 70% | 90% | 100% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 21% | 22% | 20% | 60% | 56% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 5% | 0% | 10% | 30% | 0% | 55% |
| Clean Sheets | 32% | 33% | 30% | 10% | 0% | 18% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| QPR | Burnley | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 84% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 74% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 65% |
| Over 3.5 | 42% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 26% | 15% |
| BTTS | 58% | 85% |
| BTTS & Win | 37% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 40% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 16% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| QPR | Burnley | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 47% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 37% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 16% | 40% |
| Scored 1st Half | 53% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 32% | 65% |
| Win 2nd Half | 26% | 20% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 63% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 11% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 55% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 47% | 75% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 68% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 42% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
QPR (H)W
Swansea5–0
Swansea5–0W
Derby4–1
Derby4–1D
Preston2–2
Preston2–2L
Middlesbrough0–1
Middlesbrough0–1W
Cardiff2–1
Cardiff2–1D
Bolton0–0
Bolton0–0Burnley (A)L
Lincoln1–4
Lincoln1–4W
Watford4–0
Watford4–0LSwansea1–3
Swansea1–3D
Wrexham1–1
Wrexham1–1L
Norwich1–4
Norwich1–4D
Bradford0–0
Bradford0–0Number of Corners
9.3
Corners / Match
13 games
League Avg
10.6
144 games
9.9
Corners / Match
14 games
| Match Corners | QPR | Burnley | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 69% | 93% | 89% |
| Over 7 | 54% | 79% | 81% |
| Over 8 | 46% | 50% | 68% |
| Over 9 | 46% | 36% | 59% |
| Over 10 | 38% | 29% | 47% |
| Over 11 | 31% | 29% | 40% |
| Over 12 | 31% | 21% | 31% |
| Over 13 | 23% | 14% | 24% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | QPR | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.6 | 5.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.7 | 4.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 85% | 93% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 54% | 86% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 46% | 64% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 77% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 46% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 31% | 50% |
Head to Head · 10 matches
2
QPR
20%
3
Draws
30%
5
Burnley
50%
70%
Over 1.5
7/10
50%
Over 2.5
5/10
20%
Over 3.5
2/10
30%
BTTS
3/10
26/04/25Burnley
QPR
0–5Burnley26/10/24QPR
Burnley
0–0QPR22/04/23QPR
Burnley
1–2QPR11/12/22Burnley
QPR
0–3Burnley02/05/16QPR
Burnley
1–0QPR12/12/15Burnley
QPR
0–0Burnley10/01/15QPR
Burnley
2–1QPR06/12/14Burnley
QPR
2–0Burnley01/02/14Burnley
QPR
3–3Burnley26/10/13QPR
Burnley
2–0QPR| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 25 |
| 2 | Swansea | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 23 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +17 | 22 |
| 4 |  Wolves | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 21 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 21 |
| 6 |  Southampton | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 20 |
| 7 |  Birmingham | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 8 | QPR | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 9 |  Stoke City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 20 |
| 10 |  Blackburn | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 18 |
| 12 |  Sheffield Utd | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 15 | Lincoln | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 15 |
| 16 | Cardiff | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 17 | Wrexham | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 14 |
| 18 | Bolton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 14 |
| 19 |  Charlton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -7 | 14 |
| 20 | Norwich | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -2 | 12 |
| 21 | Watford | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 11 |
| 22 | Burnley | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -8 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -11 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -15 | 5 |
Team Insights
QPR- ●QPR have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●QPR failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●QPR failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●65% of QPR's goals have been scored at home.
- ●QPR have scored 65% of their goals in the first half.
Burnley- ●Burnley have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Burnley have scored in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Burnley have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Burnley have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Burnley failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Burnley have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Burnley have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Burnley failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Burnley have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Burnley failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Burnley have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Burnley have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Burnley have scored 59% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
QPRWHSwansea5–0
Swansea5–0LABirmingham0–3
Birmingham0–3WHDerby4–1
Derby4–1DAWest Ham1–1
West Ham1–1DHPreston2–2
Preston2–2DAWest Brom1–1
West Brom1–1–ASouthampton31/10
Southampton31/10–HBurnley03/11
Burnley03/11–HLincoln07/11
Lincoln07/11BurnleyLALincoln1–4
Lincoln1–4LHWolves1–2
Wolves1–2DHCharlton2–2
Charlton2–2WAWatford4–0
Watford4–0DHDerby1–1
Derby1–1LASwansea1–3
Swansea1–3–HPortsmouth31/10
Portsmouth31/10–AQPR03/11
QPR03/11–ACardiff07/11
Cardiff07/11Top Scorers
QPRP. Smyth3 ⚽
Richard Kone3 ⚽
A. Lloyd3 ⚽
I. Chair3 ⚽
R. Burrell3 ⚽
K. Saito2 ⚽
BurnleyZ. Flemming5 ⚽
Zeki Amdouni3 ⚽
J. Laurent2 ⚽
Jacob Bruun Larsen2 ⚽
Largie Ramazani2 ⚽
J. Banel1 ⚽
Cards Given
QPRGlen Kamara4 🟨
Julien Stéphan2 🟨
Jake Clarke-Salter2 🟨
Harvey Vale2 🟨
J. Clarke-Salter2 🟨
R. Edwards2 🟨
BurnleyJ. Laurent4 🟨
Reo Hatate2 🟨
Igor Júlio2 🟨
Kyle Walker2 🟨
Lucas Pires Silva2 🟨
Ugo Raghouber2 🟨