Derby vs Norwich — Championship
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Derby and Norwich meet in the Championship 2026 season on 3 November 2026. Derby have recorded 3 wins from 19 matches this season (16% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.63 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Norwich have won 41% of their 22 matches, with 1.55 goals scored and 1.41 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.30 for Derby and 1.59 for Norwich. The models give Derby a 32% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Norwich win at 42%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Derby—
Norwich23º
Position
20º
0.58
PPG
1.00
8%
Win %
33%
0.83
Goals / game
1.67
1.75
Conceded / game
1.83
63%
BTTS %
50%
11%
Clean sheet %
27%
53%
Over 2.5 %
64%
5.5
Avg corners
4.4
12.2
Avg shots
14.0
3.8
Avg shots on target
4.7
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.2
12.8
Avg fouls
11.0
50.7%
Avg possession
51.2%
Home vs Away
Derby
Home (6)
—
Norwich
Away (6)
0.33
PPG
1.00
0%
Win %
33%
0.67
Goals / game
1.67
1.67
Conceded / game
2.00
63%
BTTS %
45%
0%
Clean sheet %
27%
63%
Over 2.5 %
73%
5.5
Avg corners
4.4
12.2
Avg shots
14.0
3.8
Avg shots on target
4.7
2.2
Avg yellow cards
2.2
50.7%
Avg possession
51.2%
Goals Scored
| Derby | Home | Away | Norwich | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 74% | 63% | 82% | 64% | 64% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 21% | 13% | 27% | 50% | 45% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 5% | 0% | 9% | 32% | 27% | 36% |
| Failed To Score | 26% | 38% | 18% | 36% | 36% | 36% |
Goals Conceded
| Derby | Home | Away | Norwich | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 100% | 82% | 73% | 73% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 47% | 63% | 36% | 32% | 27% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 21% | 13% | 27% | 18% | 9% | 27% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 0% | 18% | 27% | 27% | 27% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Derby | Norwich | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 21% | 32% |
| Over 4.5 | 5% | 23% |
| BTTS | 63% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 5% | 27% |
| BTTS & Draw | 26% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Derby | Norwich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 41% |
| Draw 1st Half | 22% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 44% | 18% |
| Scored 1st Half | 61% | 55% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 61% | 36% |
| Win 2nd Half | 22% | 27% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 28% | 32% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 41% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 28% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 94% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 41% |
Recent Venue Form
Derby (H)L
Stoke City0–1
Stoke City0–1D
Wrexham1–1
Wrexham1–1L
Birmingham1–2
Birmingham1–2L
West Brom0–1
West Brom0–1L
Swansea0–3
Swansea0–3D
Cardiff2–2
Cardiff2–2Norwich (A)W
Charlton3–1
Charlton3–1LSwansea1–2
Swansea1–2L
Manchester City0–5
Manchester City0–5L
Middlesbrough3–4
Middlesbrough3–4W
Sheffield Utd3–1
Sheffield Utd3–1LStoke City0–1
Stoke City0–1Number of Corners
11.1
Corners / Match
13 games
League Avg
10.6
144 games
8.2
Corners / Match
15 games
| Match Corners | Derby | Norwich | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 92% | 73% | 89% |
| Over 7 | 92% | 73% | 81% |
| Over 8 | 92% | 40% | 68% |
| Over 9 | 77% | 40% | 59% |
| Over 10 | 62% | 20% | 47% |
| Over 11 | 38% | 7% | 40% |
| Over 12 | 38% | 7% | 31% |
| Over 13 | 31% | 0% | 24% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Derby | Norwich |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.5 | 4.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.5 | 3.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 85% | 87% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 69% | 60% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 62% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 92% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 85% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 62% | 33% |
Head to Head · 14 matches
5
Derby
36%
5
Draws
36%
4
Norwich
29%
71%
Over 1.5
10/14
43%
Over 2.5
6/14
21%
Over 3.5
3/14
64%
BTTS
9/14
21/04/26Derby
Norwich
2–1Derby21/10/25Norwich
Derby
1–0Norwich08/02/25Derby
Norwich
1–1Derby28/09/24Norwich
Derby
2–3Norwich10/04/21Norwich
Derby
0–1Norwich03/10/20Derby
Norwich
0–1Derby29/12/18Derby
Norwich
3–4Derby03/10/18Norwich
Derby
1–1Norwich10/02/18Norwich
Derby
1–1Norwich28/10/17Derby
Norwich
1–2Derby02/01/17Derby
Norwich
3–0Derby26/11/16Norwich
Derby
1–0Norwich14/03/15Derby
Norwich
1–1Derby20/12/14Norwich
Derby
2–2Norwich| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 25 |
| 2 | Swansea | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 23 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +17 | 22 |
| 4 |  Wolves | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 21 |
| 5 | West Brom | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 21 |
| 6 |  Southampton | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 20 |
| 7 | Birmingham | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 8 |  QPR | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 9 | Stoke City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 20 |
| 10 |  Blackburn | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 18 |
| 12 | Sheffield Utd | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 15 |  Lincoln | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 15 |
| 16 | Cardiff | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 17 | Wrexham | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 14 |
| 18 |  Bolton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 14 |
| 19 | Charlton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -7 | 14 |
| 20 | Norwich | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -2 | 12 |
| 21 |  Watford | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -8 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -11 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -15 | 5 |
Team Insights
Derby- ●Derby have failed to win in their last 8 matches.
- ●Derby failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Derby have failed to win in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Derby failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Derby failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Derby have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Derby failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Derby have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●71% of Derby's points have been earned away.
- ●Derby have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
Norwich- ●Norwich failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Norwich have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Norwich failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Norwich failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Norwich have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Norwich failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Norwich have lost 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Norwich failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Norwich have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Norwich have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
DerbyDASheffield Utd1–1
Sheffield Utd1–1LHStoke City0–1
Stoke City0–1LAQPR1–4
QPR1–4DHWrexham1–1
Wrexham1–1DABurnley1–1
Burnley1–1LHBirmingham1–2
Birmingham1–2–AMillwall31/10
Millwall31/10–HNorwich03/11
Norwich03/11–HBolton06/11
Bolton06/11NorwichWACharlton3–1
Charlton3–1LHPortsmouth0–1
Portsmouth0–1LHSouthampton0–1
Southampton0–1LASwansea1–2
Swansea1–2LHBolton3–4
Bolton3–4LAMiddlesbrough3–4
Middlesbrough3–4–HWatford31/10
Watford31/10–ADerby03/11
Derby03/11–ABristol City07/11
Bristol City07/11Top Scorers
DerbyS. Szmodics4 ⚽
Bobby Clark2 ⚽
C. Morris2 ⚽
B. Clark2 ⚽
J. Ward1 ⚽
L. Salvesen1 ⚽
NorwichMohamed Toure3 ⚽
M. Toure3 ⚽
A. Brooks3 ⚽
M. Kvistgaarden2 ⚽
A. Slimane2 ⚽
H. Darling2 ⚽
Cards Given
DerbyL. Travis3 🟨
D. Ozoh3 🟨
3 🟨
Dion Sanderson2 🟨
Alex Mowatt2 🟨
D. Sanderson2 🟨
NorwichJ. Cordoba5 🟨
Jose Cordoba2 🟨
A. Brooks2 🟨
Jack Stacey2 🟨
Ante Crnac2 🟨
Kellen Fisher2 🟨