Blackburn vs Stoke City — Championship
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Blackburn and Stoke City meet in the Championship 2026 season on 3 November 2026. Blackburn have recorded 8 wins from 19 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 1.47 goals scored and 1.21 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 68%; and clean sheets in 32% of games. Stoke City have won 44% of their 18 matches, with 1.33 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.65 for Blackburn and 1.22 for Stoke City. The models give Blackburn a 48% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Stoke City win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Blackburn—
Stoke City10º
Position
9º
1.50
PPG
1.67
42%
Win %
50%
1.58
Goals / game
1.50
1.33
Conceded / game
1.33
63%
BTTS %
61%
32%
Clean sheet %
33%
68%
Over 2.5 %
44%
6.4
Avg corners
4.1
12.5
Avg shots
11.1
4.4
Avg shots on target
3.5
2.2
Avg yellow cards
1.9
11.0
Avg fouls
13.1
49.2%
Avg possession
46.5%
Home vs Away
Blackburn
Home (6)
—
Stoke City
Away (6)
2.00
PPG
1.67
67%
Win %
50%
1.83
Goals / game
1.33
1.17
Conceded / game
1.67
75%
BTTS %
86%
25%
Clean sheet %
14%
88%
Over 2.5 %
57%
6.4
Avg corners
4.1
12.5
Avg shots
11.1
4.4
Avg shots on target
3.5
2.2
Avg yellow cards
1.9
49.2%
Avg possession
46.5%
Goals Scored
| Blackburn | Home | Away | Stoke City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 84% | 100% | 73% | 89% | 82% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 53% | 63% | 45% | 33% | 36% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 25% | 0% | 6% | 9% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 16% | 0% | 27% | 11% | 18% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Blackburn | Home | Away | Stoke City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 68% | 75% | 64% | 67% | 55% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 42% | 38% | 45% | 22% | 18% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 0% | 18% | 17% | 9% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 32% | 25% | 36% | 33% | 45% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Blackburn | Stoke City | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 72% |
| Over 2.5 | 68% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 21% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 5% | 11% |
| BTTS | 63% | 61% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 22% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 58% | 39% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Blackburn | Stoke City | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 37% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 26% | 56% |
| Loss 1st Half | 37% | 11% |
| Scored 1st Half | 53% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 53% | 28% |
| Win 2nd Half | 42% | 28% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 37% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 21% | 39% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 42% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 84% | 61% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 37% | 28% |
Recent Venue Form
Blackburn (H)W
Wrexham2–0
Wrexham2–0W
Cardiff2–1
Cardiff2–1W
Millwall3–1
Millwall3–1L
Sheffield Utd1–2
Sheffield Utd1–2L
QPR1–2
QPR1–2LSheffield Utd1–2
Sheffield Utd1–2Stoke City (A)W
Derby1–0
Derby1–0W
Bolton2–1
Bolton2–1W
Watford2–1
Watford2–1DCardiff1–1
Cardiff1–1L
Wolves1–4
Wolves1–4L
Southampton1–3
Southampton1–3Number of Corners
12.4
Corners / Match
14 games
League Avg
10.6
144 games
9.1
Corners / Match
14 games
| Match Corners | Blackburn | Stoke City | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 93% | 79% | 89% |
| Over 7 | 93% | 71% | 81% |
| Over 8 | 93% | 50% | 68% |
| Over 9 | 86% | 36% | 59% |
| Over 10 | 64% | 36% | 47% |
| Over 11 | 64% | 21% | 40% |
| Over 12 | 43% | 14% | 31% |
| Over 13 | 43% | 7% | 24% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Blackburn | Stoke City |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.4 | 4.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.0 | 5.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 93% | 79% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 86% | 64% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 79% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 100% | 93% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 71% | 71% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 64% | 57% |
Head to Head · 21 matches
6
Blackburn
29%
4
Draws
19%
11
Stoke City
52%
62%
Over 1.5
13/21
38%
Over 2.5
8/21
24%
Over 3.5
5/21
48%
BTTS
10/21
11/04/26Blackburn
Stoke City
1–1Blackburn04/10/25Stoke City
Blackburn
1–1Stoke City12/03/25Blackburn
Stoke City
1–0Blackburn06/11/24Stoke City
Blackburn
0–2Stoke City10/02/24Stoke City
Blackburn
3–1Stoke City25/11/23Blackburn
Stoke City
0–3Blackburn10/03/23Blackburn
Stoke City
3–2Blackburn27/08/22Stoke City
Blackburn
0–1Stoke City18/04/22Stoke City
Blackburn
0–1Stoke City27/11/21Blackburn
Stoke City
0–1Blackburn16/01/21Stoke City
Blackburn
1–1Stoke City19/12/20Blackburn
Stoke City
1–0Blackburn26/02/20Stoke City
Blackburn
0–0Stoke City30/11/19Blackburn
Stoke City
1–2Blackburn06/04/19Stoke City
Blackburn
0–1Stoke City22/09/18Blackburn
Stoke City
2–3Blackburn14/02/15Stoke City
Blackburn
4–1Stoke City02/01/12Stoke City
Blackburn
1–2Stoke City26/11/11Blackburn
Stoke City
3–1Blackburn26/12/10Stoke City
Blackburn
0–2Stoke City| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 25 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 23 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +17 | 22 |
| 4 | Wolves | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 21 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 21 |
| 6 | Southampton | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 20 |
| 7 |  Birmingham | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 8 | QPR | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 9 | Stoke City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 20 |
| 10 | Blackburn | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 11 |  Portsmouth | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 18 |
| 12 | Sheffield Utd | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 13 | Millwall | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 15 |  Lincoln | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 15 |
| 16 | Cardiff | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 17 | Wrexham | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 14 |
| 18 | Bolton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 14 |
| 19 |  Charlton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -7 | 14 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -2 | 12 |
| 21 | Watford | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -8 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -11 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -15 | 5 |
Team Insights
Blackburn- ●Blackburn have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Blackburn have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Blackburn have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Blackburn have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Blackburn failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Blackburn have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Blackburn have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
Stoke City- ●Stoke City have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Stoke City have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Stoke City have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Stoke City have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Stoke City failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Stoke City have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Stoke City have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Stoke City have scored 61% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
BlackburnWHWrexham2–0
Wrexham2–0LAWest Brom2–3
West Brom2–3WABristol City1–0
Bristol City1–0WHCardiff2–1
Cardiff2–1DAPortsmouth2–2
Portsmouth2–2WHMillwall3–1
Millwall3–1–ASwansea31/10
Swansea31/10–HStoke City03/11
Stoke City03/11–HWest Ham07/11
West Ham07/11Stoke CityDHBristol City0–0
Bristol City0–0WADerby1–0
Derby1–0LHMiddlesbrough2–3
Middlesbrough2–3WABolton2–1
Bolton2–1WHSheffield Utd2–1
Sheffield Utd2–1WAWatford2–1
Watford2–1–HPreston31/10
Preston31/10–ABlackburn03/11
Blackburn03/11–APortsmouth07/11
Portsmouth07/11Top Scorers
BlackburnAndri Guðjohnsen6 ⚽
Oladapo Afolayan4 ⚽
A. Gudjohnsen4 ⚽
T. Cantwell2 ⚽
R. Morishita2 ⚽
M. Litherland1 ⚽
Stoke CityS. Gallagher3 ⚽
E. Galbraith2 ⚽
Jack Mcglynn2 ⚽
Justin Devenny2 ⚽
R. Bozenik2 ⚽
Ben Wilmot1 ⚽
Cards Given
BlackburnT. Cantwell3 🟨
T. Atcheson3 🟨
Sam Morsy3 🟨
S. Morsy2 🟨
S. McLoughlin2 🟨
Harry Pickering2 🟨
Stoke CityEthan Galbraith3 🟨
S. Ingelsson3 🟨
B. Lawal2 🟨
Bae Jun-Ho2 🟨
El Hadji Soumare2 🟨
Luke Graham2 🟨