Birmingham vs Millwall — Championship
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St Andrew's Stadium·Birmingham·England·30,009
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Birmingham and Millwall meet in the Championship 2026 season on 3 November 2026. Birmingham have recorded 10 wins from 19 matches this season (53% win rate), averaging 1.74 goals scored and 1.16 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 68%; and clean sheets in 37% of games. Millwall have won 33% of their 21 matches, with 1.24 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 48%, Over 2.5 at 52%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.93 for Birmingham and 1.34 for Millwall. The models give Birmingham a 50% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Millwall win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Birmingham—
Millwall7º
Position
13º
1.67
PPG
1.25
42%
Win %
33%
1.67
Goals / game
1.58
1.00
Conceded / game
1.67
58%
BTTS %
48%
37%
Clean sheet %
29%
68%
Over 2.5 %
52%
5.3
Avg corners
4.9
12.3
Avg shots
12.6
4.0
Avg shots on target
3.7
2.1
Avg yellow cards
1.9
12.8
Avg fouls
12.9
49.9%
Avg possession
48.5%
Home vs Away
Birmingham
Home (6)
—
Millwall
Away (6)
1.67
PPG
1.17
33%
Win %
33%
2.33
Goals / game
1.33
1.17
Conceded / game
2.00
78%
BTTS %
62%
22%
Clean sheet %
23%
89%
Over 2.5 %
46%
5.3
Avg corners
4.9
12.3
Avg shots
12.6
4.0
Avg shots on target
3.7
2.1
Avg yellow cards
1.9
49.9%
Avg possession
48.5%
Goals Scored
| Birmingham | Home | Away | Millwall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 100% | 80% | 76% | 63% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 58% | 78% | 40% | 33% | 50% | 23% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 21% | 33% | 10% | 10% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 0% | 20% | 24% | 38% | 15% |
Goals Conceded
| Birmingham | Home | Away | Millwall | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 63% | 78% | 50% | 71% | 63% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 32% | 56% | 10% | 38% | 38% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 5% | 11% | 0% | 14% | 13% | 15% |
| Clean Sheets | 37% | 22% | 50% | 29% | 38% | 23% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Birmingham | Millwall | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 74% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 68% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 | 37% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 5% | 5% |
| BTTS | 58% | 48% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 5% |
| BTTS & Draw | 26% | 24% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 53% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 16% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Birmingham | Millwall | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 42% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 32% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 26% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 74% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 53% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 47% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 47% | 14% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 5% | 52% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 48% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 32% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 95% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 42% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Birmingham (H)W
QPR3–0
QPR3–0W
Preston4–0
Preston4–0D
Middlesbrough2–2
Middlesbrough2–2D
Wolves2–2
Wolves2–2D
Southampton1–1
Southampton1–1L
Brentford1–6
Brentford1–6Millwall (A)L
Portsmouth1–2
Portsmouth1–2WPreston1–0
Preston1–0DMiddlesbrough2–2
Middlesbrough2–2L
Blackburn1–3
Blackburn1–3LSouthampton1–5
Southampton1–5W
Cambridge United1–0
Cambridge United1–0Number of Corners
9.9
Corners / Match
14 games
League Avg
10.6
144 games
11.4
Corners / Match
15 games
| Match Corners | Birmingham | Millwall | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 86% | 87% | 89% |
| Over 7 | 86% | 80% | 81% |
| Over 8 | 71% | 73% | 68% |
| Over 9 | 57% | 67% | 59% |
| Over 10 | 29% | 60% | 47% |
| Over 11 | 29% | 53% | 40% |
| Over 12 | 21% | 47% | 31% |
| Over 13 | 14% | 40% | 24% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Birmingham | Millwall |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.3 | 4.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.6 | 6.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 93% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 79% | 53% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 57% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 93% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 57% | 73% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 43% | 60% |
Head to Head · 24 matches
8
Birmingham
33%
8
Draws
33%
8
Millwall
33%
71%
Over 1.5
17/24
42%
Over 2.5
10/24
33%
Over 3.5
8/24
33%
BTTS
8/24
25/02/26Birmingham
Millwall
3–0Birmingham04/11/25Millwall
Birmingham
4–0Millwall09/03/24Birmingham
Millwall
1–0Birmingham02/09/23Millwall
Birmingham
1–1Millwall18/04/23Birmingham
Millwall
0–1Birmingham02/11/22Millwall
Birmingham
0–0Millwall23/04/22Millwall
Birmingham
2–2Millwall04/12/21Birmingham
Millwall
3–1Birmingham17/02/21Birmingham
Millwall
2–0Birmingham28/11/20Millwall
Birmingham
0–0Millwall26/02/20Birmingham
Millwall
0–0Birmingham30/11/19Millwall
Birmingham
1–1Millwall13/03/19Millwall
Birmingham
0–2Millwall28/11/18Birmingham
Millwall
0–2Birmingham17/02/18Millwall
Birmingham
0–1Millwall21/10/17Birmingham
Millwall
2–0Birmingham10/02/15Millwall
Birmingham
0–1Millwall30/09/14Birmingham
Millwall
1–3Birmingham25/03/14Birmingham
Millwall
2–3Birmingham01/10/13Millwall
Birmingham
4–0Millwall| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 25 |
| 2 |  Swansea | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 23 |
| 3 |  West Ham | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +17 | 22 |
| 4 | Wolves | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 21 |
| 5 |  West Brom | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 21 |
| 6 | Southampton | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 20 |
| 7 | Birmingham | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 8 | QPR | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 9 |  Stoke City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 20 |
| 10 | Blackburn | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 18 |
| 12 |  Sheffield Utd | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 13 | Millwall | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 15 |  Lincoln | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 15 |
| 16 |  Cardiff | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 17 |  Wrexham | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 14 |
| 18 |  Bolton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 14 |
| 19 |  Charlton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -7 | 14 |
| 20 |  Norwich | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -2 | 12 |
| 21 |  Watford | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 11 |
| 22 |  Burnley | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -8 | 8 |
| 23 |  Derby | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -11 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -15 | 5 |
Team Insights
Birmingham- ●Birmingham have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Birmingham have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Birmingham have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Birmingham failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Birmingham have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Birmingham have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●70% of Birmingham's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Birmingham have conceded 75% of their goals in the first half.
Millwall- ●Millwall have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Millwall have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Millwall failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Millwall have scored in 6 of their 6 away matches.
Season Schedule
BirminghamLACardiff0–1
Cardiff0–1WHQPR3–0
QPR3–0WHPreston4–0
Preston4–0WAWest Brom1–0
West Brom1–0DHMiddlesbrough2–2
Middlesbrough2–2WADerby2–1
Derby2–1–ALincoln31/10
Lincoln31/10–HMillwall03/11
Millwall03/11–HSwansea07/11
Swansea07/11MillwallLAPortsmouth1–2
Portsmouth1–2DHLincoln2–2
Lincoln2–2LHSwansea0–1
Swansea0–1WAPreston1–0
Preston1–0DHWest Ham2–2
West Ham2–2DAMiddlesbrough2–2
Middlesbrough2–2–HDerby31/10
Derby31/10–ABirmingham03/11
Birmingham03/11–AWest Brom07/11
West Brom07/11Top Scorers
BirminghamA. Priske5 ⚽
D. Gray4 ⚽
Liam Millar4 ⚽
August Priske3 ⚽
Demarai Gray2 ⚽
Carlos Vicente2 ⚽
MillwallLyndon Dykes4 ⚽
T. Arconte3 ⚽
J. Cooper3 ⚽
Camiel Neghli3 ⚽
M. Sykes3 ⚽
J. Coburn2 ⚽
Cards Given
BirminghamB. Osayi-Samuel4 🟨
Christoph·Klarer3 🟨
Phil Neumann3 🟨
Carlos Vicente3 🟨
J. E. Solis Romero2 🟨
Alex Cochrane2 🟨
MillwallJenson Metcalfe4 🟨
Derek Mazou Sacko3 🟨
Zak Sturge3 🟨
Lyndon Dykes2 🟨
Kyrell Lisbie2 🟨
J. Metcalfe2 🟨