Lincoln vs Birmingham — Championship
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Lincoln and Birmingham meet in the Championship 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Lincoln have recorded 8 wins from 21 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.10 goals scored and 1.81 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 48% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 62%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Birmingham have won 53% of their 19 matches, with 1.74 goals scored and 1.16 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 58%, Over 2.5 at 68%, and clean sheets at 37%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.25 for Lincoln and 1.51 for Birmingham. The models give Lincoln a 33% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Birmingham win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Lincoln—
Birmingham15º
Position
7º
1.25
PPG
1.67
33%
Win %
42%
1.08
Goals / game
1.67
1.67
Conceded / game
1.00
48%
BTTS %
58%
29%
Clean sheet %
37%
62%
Over 2.5 %
68%
3.3
Avg corners
5.3
11.9
Avg shots
12.3
3.5
Avg shots on target
4.0
2.3
Avg yellow cards
2.1
12.3
Avg fouls
12.8
39.6%
Avg possession
49.9%
Home vs Away
Lincoln
Home (6)
—
Birmingham
Away (6)
0.83
PPG
1.67
17%
Win %
50%
1.17
Goals / game
1.00
2.17
Conceded / game
0.83
57%
BTTS %
40%
14%
Clean sheet %
50%
57%
Over 2.5 %
50%
3.3
Avg corners
5.3
11.9
Avg shots
12.3
3.5
Avg shots on target
4.0
2.3
Avg yellow cards
2.1
39.6%
Avg possession
49.9%
Goals Scored
| Lincoln | Home | Away | Birmingham | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 57% | 79% | 89% | 100% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 19% | 14% | 21% | 58% | 78% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 14% | 7% | 21% | 33% | 10% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 43% | 21% | 11% | 0% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Lincoln | Home | Away | Birmingham | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 86% | 64% | 63% | 78% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 52% | 57% | 50% | 32% | 56% | 10% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 29% | 29% | 29% | 5% | 11% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 14% | 36% | 37% | 22% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lincoln | Birmingham | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 74% |
| Over 2.5 | 62% | 68% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 37% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 5% |
| BTTS | 48% | 58% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 26% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 53% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 19% | 16% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lincoln | Birmingham | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 24% | 42% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 32% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 26% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 74% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 52% | 53% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 47% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 19% | 47% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 48% | 5% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 52% | 32% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Lincoln (H)W
Burnley4–1
Burnley4–1L
West Ham0–6
West Ham0–6L
Swansea1–2
Swansea1–2D
Southampton1–1
Southampton1–1D
Blackburn0–0
Blackburn0–0L
Portsmouth1–3
Portsmouth1–3Birmingham (A)L
Cardiff0–1
Cardiff0–1W
West Brom1–0
West Brom1–0W
Derby2–1
Derby2–1L
Norwich1–2
Norwich1–2W
Wrexham2–1
Wrexham2–1D
Sheffield Utd0–0
Sheffield Utd0–0Number of Corners
10.5
Corners / Match
15 games
League Avg
10.6
144 games
9.9
Corners / Match
14 games
| Match Corners | Lincoln | Birmingham | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 80% | 86% | 89% |
| Over 7 | 73% | 86% | 81% |
| Over 8 | 73% | 71% | 68% |
| Over 9 | 67% | 57% | 59% |
| Over 10 | 47% | 29% | 47% |
| Over 11 | 40% | 29% | 40% |
| Over 12 | 33% | 21% | 31% |
| Over 13 | 33% | 14% | 24% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Lincoln | Birmingham |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.3 | 5.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 7.3 | 4.6 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 53% | 93% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 40% | 79% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 27% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 80% | 93% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 57% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 67% | 43% |
Head to Head · 3 matches
0
Lincoln
0%
0
Draws
0%
3
Birmingham
100%
67%
Over 1.5
2/3
67%
Over 2.5
2/3
33%
Over 3.5
1/3
67%
BTTS
2/3
08/03/25Lincoln
Birmingham
1–0Lincoln11/01/25Lincoln
Birmingham
2–1Lincoln19/10/24Birmingham
Lincoln
1–3Birmingham| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 25 |
| 2 | Swansea | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 23 |
| 3 | West Ham | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +17 | 22 |
| 4 |  Wolves | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 21 |
| 5 | West Brom | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 21 |
| 6 | Southampton | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +12 | 20 |
| 7 | Birmingham | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 8 |  QPR | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | +8 | 20 |
| 9 |  Stoke City | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 20 |
| 10 | Blackburn | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 11 | Portsmouth | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 18 |
| 12 | Sheffield Utd | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +1 | 16 |
| 13 |  Millwall | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 15 |
| 14 |  Bristol City | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 15 | Lincoln | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 15 |
| 16 | Cardiff | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 17 | Wrexham | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -3 | 14 |
| 18 |  Bolton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 14 |
| 19 |  Charlton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -7 | 14 |
| 20 | Norwich | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | -2 | 12 |
| 21 |  Watford | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -10 | 11 |
| 22 | Burnley | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -8 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -11 | 7 |
| 24 |  Preston | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | -15 | 5 |
Team Insights
Lincoln- ●Lincoln failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Lincoln failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Lincoln have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Lincoln have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Lincoln have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●65% of Lincoln's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●67% of Lincoln's points have been earned away.
Birmingham- ●Birmingham have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Birmingham have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Birmingham have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Birmingham failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Birmingham have scored in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Birmingham have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●70% of Birmingham's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Birmingham have conceded 75% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
LincolnWHBurnley4–1
Burnley4–1DAMillwall2–2
Millwall2–2LHWest Ham0–6
West Ham0–6LASheffield Utd0–3
Sheffield Utd0–3LHSwansea1–2
Swansea1–2WABristol City1–0
Bristol City1–0–HBirmingham31/10
Birmingham31/10–AWatford03/11
Watford03/11–AQPR07/11
QPR07/11BirminghamLACardiff0–1
Cardiff0–1WHQPR3–0
QPR3–0WHPreston4–0
Preston4–0WAWest Brom1–0
West Brom1–0DHMiddlesbrough2–2
Middlesbrough2–2WADerby2–1
Derby2–1–ALincoln31/10
Lincoln31/10–HMillwall03/11
Millwall03/11–HSwansea07/11
Swansea07/11Top Scorers
LincolnMikkel Ladefoged3 ⚽
B. House2 ⚽
F. Draper2 ⚽
T. Bayliss2 ⚽
D. Jefferies2 ⚽
C. Elder1 ⚽
BirminghamA. Priske5 ⚽
D. Gray4 ⚽
Liam Millar4 ⚽
August Priske3 ⚽
Demarai Gray2 ⚽
Carlos Vicente2 ⚽
Cards Given
LincolnF. Draper5 🟨
Deji Elerewe3 🟨
Ben House3 🟨
Conor McGrandles3 🟨
C. McGrandles2 🟨
B. House2 🟨
BirminghamB. Osayi-Samuel4 🟨
Christoph·Klarer3 🟨
Phil Neumann3 🟨
Carlos Vicente3 🟨
J. E. Solis Romero2 🟨
Alex Cochrane2 🟨