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Bolton vs Middlesbrough — Championship

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England · Championship · Regular Season - 12
Bolton
Bolton
20º · 1.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 41d 7h
vs
–
–
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
4º · 2.17 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 41d 5h
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Bolton and Middlesbrough meet in the Championship 2026 season on 23 October 2026. Bolton have recorded 5 wins from 14 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.21 goals scored and 1.21 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 36% of games. Middlesbrough have won 50% of their 12 matches, with 1.75 goals scored and 1.58 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 75%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 17%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.44 for Bolton and 1.20 for Middlesbrough. The models give Bolton a 39% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Middlesbrough win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 53%.

Season Statistics

Bolton
—
Middlesbrough
20º
Position
4º
1.00
PPG
2.17
29%
Win %
67%
1.00
Goals / game
2.00
1.71
Conceded / game
1.33
43%
BTTS %
75%
36%
Clean sheet %
17%
50%
Over 2.5 %
67%
5.8
Avg corners
5.4
12.4
Avg shots
17.2
4.3
Avg shots on target
5.0
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.3
10.5
Avg fouls
11.4
53.0%
Avg possession
56.0%

Home vs Away

Bolton
Home (4)
—
Middlesbrough
Away (3)
1.50
PPG
1.33
50%
Win %
33%
1.25
Goals / game
1.00
1.25
Conceded / game
1.00
33%
BTTS %
67%
50%
Clean sheet %
17%
33%
Over 2.5 %
50%
5.8
Avg corners
5.4
12.4
Avg shots
17.2
4.3
Avg shots on target
5.0
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.3
53.0%
Avg possession
56.0%

Goals Scored

BoltonHomeAwayMiddlesbroughHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored64%67%63%92%100%83%
Over 1.5 Scored36%33%38%42%67%17%
Over 2.5 Scored14%0%25%33%50%17%
Failed To Score36%33%38%8%0%17%

Goals Conceded

BoltonHomeAwayMiddlesbroughHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded64%50%75%83%83%83%
Over 1.5 Conceded29%17%38%42%50%33%
Over 2.5 Conceded21%17%25%33%50%17%
Clean Sheets36%50%25%17%17%17%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

BoltonMiddlesbrough
Over 0.586%100%
Over 1.557%83%
Over 2.550%67%
Over 3.536%42%
Over 4.514%17%
BTTS43%75%
BTTS & Win14%33%
BTTS & Draw7%25%
BTTS & Over 2.536%58%
BTTS No & Over 2.514%8%

1st Half / 2nd Half

BoltonMiddlesbrough
Win 1st Half29%45%
Draw 1st Half57%36%
Loss 1st Half14%18%
Scored 1st Half43%64%
Conceded 1st Half29%45%
Win 2nd Half21%36%
Draw 2nd Half36%27%
Loss 2nd Half43%36%
Scored 2nd Half43%55%
Conceded 2nd Half57%64%
Over 0.5 HT57%82%
Over 1.5 HT43%27%

Recent Venue Form

Bolton (H)
WCardiff1–0
LWest Ham2–3
LLincoln0–1
WPreston2–1
WNAC Breda1–0
DEverton0–0
Middlesbrough (A)
LCrystal Palace0–3
WQPR1–0
DBurnley1–1
WDoncaster3–1
LBlackburn1–2
DCeltic1–1

Number of Corners

11.0
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
10.7
81 games
9.9
Corners / Match
9 games
Match CornersBoltonMiddlesbroughLeague Avg
Over 6100%89%94%
Over 788%78%88%
Over 875%56%74%
Over 975%56%62%
Over 1063%33%51%
Over 1138%33%40%
Over 1225%22%26%
Over 1313%11%15%

Team Corners

Team CornersBoltonMiddlesbrough
Corners Earned / Match5.85.4
Corners Against / Match5.34.4
Over 2.5 Corners For75%89%
Over 3.5 Corners For75%67%
Over 4.5 Corners For63%67%
Over 2.5 Corners Against75%67%
Over 3.5 Corners Against75%56%
Over 4.5 Corners Against50%56%

Head to Head · 14 matches

1
Bolton
7%
1
Draws
7%
12
Middlesbrough
86%
86%
Over 1.5
12/14
64%
Over 2.5
9/14
14%
Over 3.5
2/14
43%
BTTS
6/14
20/07/24
Middlesbrough
3–0
Bolton
29/08/23
Bolton
1–3
Middlesbrough
09/04/19
Bolton
0–2
Middlesbrough
19/09/18
Middlesbrough
2–0
Bolton
26/12/17
Middlesbrough
2–0
Bolton
09/09/17
Bolton
0–3
Middlesbrough
16/04/16
Bolton
1–2
Middlesbrough
15/08/15
Middlesbrough
3–0
Bolton
24/02/15
Middlesbrough
1–0
Bolton
19/08/14
Bolton
1–2
Middlesbrough
01/01/14
Bolton
2–2
Middlesbrough
30/11/13
Middlesbrough
1–0
Bolton
20/04/13
Bolton
2–1
Middlesbrough
27/10/12
Middlesbrough
2–1
Bolton
Championship
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1West Ham7421+1114
2Swansea7421+614
3West Brom7421+314
4Middlesbrough6411+413
5QPR7331+312
6Charlton7331-112
7Wolves6321+411
8Southampton7421+1010
9Birmingham7241+110
10Stoke City7313010
11Bristol City6312-110
12Norwich730409
13Millwall630309
14Sheffield Utd7232-19
15Blackburn722308
16Lincoln6222-18
17Watford7223-28
18Portsmouth6213-17
19Wrexham7142-47
20Bolton7214-57
21Cardiff7043-44
22Derby7115-74
23Preston7106-73
24Burnley7034-83

Team Insights

Bolton
  • ●Bolton have lost their last 2 away matches.
  • ●86% of Bolton's points have been earned at home.
Middlesbrough
  • ●Middlesbrough have won their last 2 matches.
  • ●Middlesbrough have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Middlesbrough have won their last 3 home matches.
  • ●75% of Middlesbrough's goals have been scored at home.
BoltonBolton
WHCardiff21º1–0
LHWest Ham1º2–3
LAMillwall13º0–4
LASheffield Utd14º2–3
LHLincoln16º0–1
DAQPR5º0–0
WHPreston23º2–1
LASheffield Wednesday0–1
WHNAC Breda1–0
DAFleetwood Town1–1
MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
WHNorwich12º4–3
LACrystal Palace0–3
WAQPR5º1–0
DABurnley24º1–1
WHWest Brom3º3–1
WADoncaster3–1
LABlackburn15º1–2
WHLincoln16º2–1
WHWrexham1–0
DHEspanyol3–3

Season Schedule

Bolton
WHCardiff1–0
LHWest Ham2–3
LAMillwall0–4
LASheffield Utd2–3
LHLincoln0–1
DAQPR0–0
–ANorwich20/09
–HStoke City10/10
–AWolves13/10
Middlesbrough
WHNorwich4–3
WAQPR1–0
DABurnley1–1
WHWest Brom3–1
LABlackburn1–2
WHLincoln2–1
–HMillwall15/09
–ABirmingham19/09
–HWolves10/10

Top Scorers

Bolton
R. Rodrigues4 ⚽
T. Gale2 ⚽
S. Dalby2 ⚽
Thierry Gale1 ⚽
Ethan Erhahon1 ⚽
X. Simons1 ⚽
Middlesbrough
W. Lankshear6 ⚽
J. Sarmiento2 ⚽
Sebastian Berhalter2 ⚽
L. Castledine2 ⚽
D. Strelec1 ⚽
K. Joseph1 ⚽

Cards Given

Bolton
C. Forino-Joseph2 🟨
B. Davies1 🟨
Ben Davies1 🟨
Akin Famewo1 🟨
G. Larrazabal1 🟨
A. Famewo1 🟨
Middlesbrough
A.Malanda2 🟨
W. Lankshear2 🟨
2 🟨
Callum Brittain1 🟨
M. Peart-Harris1 🟨
Myles Peart-Harris1 🟨