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Bolton vs Stoke City — Championship

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England · Championship · Regular Season - 9
Bolton
Bolton
20º · 1.00 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 28d 2h
vs
–
–
Stoke City
Stoke City
10º · 1.43 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 28d 0h
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Bolton and Stoke City meet in the Championship 2026 season on 10 October 2026. Bolton have recorded 5 wins from 14 matches this season (36% win rate), averaging 1.21 goals scored and 1.21 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 36% of games. Stoke City have won 43% of their 14 matches, with 1.29 goals scored and 1.07 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 36%, and clean sheets at 36%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.63 for Bolton and 1.24 for Stoke City. The models give Bolton a 47% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Stoke City win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 57%.

Season Statistics

Bolton
—
Stoke City
20º
Position
10º
1.00
PPG
1.43
29%
Win %
43%
1.00
Goals / game
1.57
1.71
Conceded / game
1.57
43%
BTTS %
57%
36%
Clean sheet %
36%
50%
Over 2.5 %
36%
5.8
Avg corners
3.6
12.4
Avg shots
11.6
4.3
Avg shots on target
3.8
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.2
10.5
Avg fouls
15.1
53.0%
Avg possession
45.9%

Home vs Away

Bolton
Home (4)
—
Stoke City
Away (4)
1.50
PPG
1.00
50%
Win %
25%
1.25
Goals / game
1.25
1.25
Conceded / game
2.25
33%
BTTS %
83%
50%
Clean sheet %
17%
33%
Over 2.5 %
50%
5.8
Avg corners
3.6
12.4
Avg shots
11.6
4.3
Avg shots on target
3.8
1.8
Avg yellow cards
2.2
53.0%
Avg possession
45.9%

Goals Scored

BoltonHomeAwayStoke CityHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored64%67%63%93%88%100%
Over 1.5 Scored36%33%38%21%25%17%
Over 2.5 Scored14%0%25%7%13%0%
Failed To Score36%33%38%7%13%0%

Goals Conceded

BoltonHomeAwayStoke CityHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded64%50%75%64%50%83%
Over 1.5 Conceded29%17%38%21%13%33%
Over 2.5 Conceded21%17%25%14%0%33%
Clean Sheets36%50%25%36%50%17%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

BoltonStoke City
Over 0.586%100%
Over 1.557%71%
Over 2.550%36%
Over 3.536%21%
Over 4.514%7%
BTTS43%57%
BTTS & Win14%7%
BTTS & Draw7%29%
BTTS & Over 2.536%29%
BTTS No & Over 2.514%7%

1st Half / 2nd Half

BoltonStoke City
Win 1st Half29%36%
Draw 1st Half57%50%
Loss 1st Half14%14%
Scored 1st Half43%64%
Conceded 1st Half29%36%
Win 2nd Half21%29%
Draw 2nd Half36%29%
Loss 2nd Half43%43%
Scored 2nd Half43%36%
Conceded 2nd Half57%50%
Over 0.5 HT57%71%
Over 1.5 HT43%36%

Recent Venue Form

Bolton (H)
WCardiff1–0
LWest Ham2–3
LLincoln0–1
WPreston2–1
WNAC Breda1–0
DEverton0–0
Stoke City (A)
WWatford2–1
DCardiff1–1
LWolves1–4
LSouthampton1–3
WChester1–0
DCrewe1–1

Number of Corners

11.0
Corners / Match
8 games
League Avg
10.7
81 games
8.3
Corners / Match
9 games
Match CornersBoltonStoke CityLeague Avg
Over 6100%67%94%
Over 788%67%88%
Over 875%33%74%
Over 975%22%62%
Over 1063%22%51%
Over 1138%22%40%
Over 1225%11%26%
Over 1313%0%15%

Team Corners

Team CornersBoltonStoke City
Corners Earned / Match5.83.6
Corners Against / Match5.34.8
Over 2.5 Corners For75%67%
Over 3.5 Corners For75%44%
Over 4.5 Corners For63%33%
Over 2.5 Corners Against75%100%
Over 3.5 Corners Against75%78%
Over 4.5 Corners Against50%56%

Head to Head · 7 matches

2
Bolton
29%
2
Draws
29%
3
Stoke City
43%
71%
Over 1.5
5/7
43%
Over 2.5
3/7
29%
Over 3.5
2/7
29%
BTTS
2/7
30/07/24
Bolton
0–1
Stoke City
29/12/18
Bolton
0–0
Stoke City
02/10/18
Stoke City
2–0
Bolton
13/05/12
Stoke City
2–2
Bolton
06/11/11
Bolton
5–0
Stoke City
15/01/11
Stoke City
2–0
Bolton
16/10/10
Bolton
2–1
Stoke City
Championship
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1West Ham7421+1114
2Swansea7421+614
3West Brom7421+314
4Middlesbrough6411+413
5QPR7331+312
6Charlton7331-112
7Wolves6321+411
8Southampton7421+1010
9Birmingham7241+110
10Stoke City7313010
11Bristol City6312-110
12Norwich730409
13Millwall630309
14Sheffield Utd7232-19
15Blackburn722308
16Lincoln6222-18
17Watford7223-28
18Portsmouth6213-17
19Wrexham7142-47
20Bolton7214-57
21Cardiff7043-44
22Derby7115-74
23Preston7106-73
24Burnley7034-83

Team Insights

Bolton
  • ●Bolton have lost their last 2 away matches.
  • ●86% of Bolton's points have been earned at home.
Stoke City
  • ●Stoke City have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
  • ●Stoke City have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
  • ●Stoke City have won their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Stoke City have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Stoke City have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●82% of Stoke City's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●Stoke City have scored 91% of their goals in the first half.
BoltonBolton
WHCardiff21º1–0
LHWest Ham1º2–3
LAMillwall13º0–4
LASheffield Utd14º2–3
LHLincoln16º0–1
DAQPR5º0–0
WHPreston23º2–1
LASheffield Wednesday0–1
WHNAC Breda1–0
DAFleetwood Town1–1
Stoke CityStoke City
WAWatford17º2–1
DACardiff21º1–1
WHCharlton6º4–0
WHNorwich12º1–0
LAWolves7º1–4
DHHull City1–1
LASouthampton8º1–3
LHSwansea2º1–2
WHOldham2–0
DHValencia1–1

Season Schedule

Bolton
WHCardiff1–0
LHWest Ham2–3
LAMillwall0–4
LASheffield Utd2–3
LHLincoln0–1
DAQPR0–0
–ANorwich20/09
–HStoke City10/10
–AWolves13/10
Stoke City
WAWatford2–1
DACardiff1–1
WHCharlton4–0
WHNorwich1–0
LAWolves1–4
LASouthampton1–3
–HSheffield Utd19/09
–ABolton10/10
–HMiddlesbrough13/10

Top Scorers

Bolton
R. Rodrigues4 ⚽
T. Gale2 ⚽
S. Dalby2 ⚽
Thierry Gale1 ⚽
Ethan Erhahon1 ⚽
X. Simons1 ⚽
Stoke City
S. Gallagher3 ⚽
R. Bozenik2 ⚽
Justin Devenny2 ⚽
E. Galbraith2 ⚽
Eric Junior Bocat1 ⚽
D. Soumare1 ⚽

Cards Given

Bolton
C. Forino-Joseph2 🟨
B. Davies1 🟨
Ben Davies1 🟨
Akin Famewo1 🟨
G. Larrazabal1 🟨
A. Famewo1 🟨
Stoke City
S. Ingelsson3 🟨
B. Lawal2 🟨
Bae Jun-Ho2 🟨
Ethan Galbraith2 🟨
S. Gallagher2 🟨
El Hadji Soumare1 🟨