Larne vs Ballymena United — Premiership
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Inver Park·Larne·Northern Ireland·3,000
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Larne and Ballymena United meet in the Premiership 2026 season on 21 November 2026. Larne have recorded 12 wins from 21 matches this season (57% win rate), averaging 1.38 goals scored and 1.19 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 48% of games. Ballymena United have won 50% of their 22 matches, with 2.14 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 68%, Over 2.5 at 64%, and clean sheets at 27%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.49 for Larne and 1.49 for Ballymena United. The models give Larne a 50% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Ballymena United win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Larne—
Ballymena United3º
Position
6º
2.20
PPG
1.36
70%
Win %
36%
2.00
Goals / game
1.55
0.90
Conceded / game
1.36
38%
BTTS %
68%
48%
Clean sheet %
27%
57%
Over 2.5 %
64%
5.5
Avg corners
0.0
12.0
Avg shots
0.0
3.5
Avg shots on target
0.0
2.6
Avg yellow cards
0.0
18.3
Avg fouls
0.0
41.5%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Larne
Home (5)
—
Ballymena United
Away (7)
1.80
PPG
1.14
60%
Win %
29%
1.60
Goals / game
1.71
1.20
Conceded / game
1.57
40%
BTTS %
75%
40%
Clean sheet %
25%
60%
Over 2.5 %
69%
5.5
Avg corners
0.0
12.0
Avg shots
0.0
3.5
Avg shots on target
0.0
2.6
Avg yellow cards
0.0
41.5%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Larne | Home | Away | Ballymena United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 70% | 73% | 95% | 83% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 48% | 40% | 55% | 64% | 50% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 0% | 18% | 32% | 17% | 38% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 30% | 27% | 5% | 17% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Larne | Home | Away | Ballymena United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 52% | 60% | 45% | 73% | 67% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 40% | 27% | 36% | 33% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 19% | 30% | 9% | 9% | 0% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 48% | 40% | 55% | 27% | 33% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Larne | Ballymena United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 95% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 64% |
| Over 3.5 | 19% | 41% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 23% |
| BTTS | 38% | 68% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 23% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 27% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 19% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Larne | Ballymena United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 37% |
| Draw 1st Half | 52% | 47% |
| Loss 1st Half | 14% | 16% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 58% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 29% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 48% | 63% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 24% | 16% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 21% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 74% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 37% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 57% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 24% | 53% |
Recent Venue Form
Larne (H)L
Linfield1–2
Linfield1–2L
Coleraine FC2–3
Coleraine FC2–3W
Cliftonville FC2–0
Cliftonville FC2–0W
Bangor1–0
Bangor1–0W
Glentoran2–1
Glentoran2–1L
Lincoln Red Imps FC0–3
Lincoln Red Imps FC0–3Ballymena United (A)W
Newington Youth3–1
Newington Youth3–1L
Limavady United2–3
Limavady United2–3WCliftonville FC1–0
Cliftonville FC1–0D
Dungannon Swifts1–1
Dungannon Swifts1–1LColeraine FC2–3
Coleraine FC2–3DBangor2–2
Bangor2–2Team Corners
| Team Corners | Larne | Ballymena United |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.5 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.5 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 75% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 75% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 75% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 0% |
Head to Head · 25 matches
15
Larne
60%
3
Draws
12%
7
Ballymena United
28%
80%
Over 1.5
20/25
52%
Over 2.5
13/25
16%
Over 3.5
4/25
36%
BTTS
9/25
28/02/26Larne
Ballymena United
0–2Larne03/02/26Larne
Ballymena United
1–2Larne02/12/25Larne
Ballymena United
2–0Larne01/11/25Larne
Ballymena United
0–2Larne29/08/25Ballymena United
Larne
2–0Ballymena United11/03/25Larne
Ballymena United
1–2Larne25/01/25Ballymena United
Larne
2–1Ballymena United07/09/24Ballymena United
Larne
0–1Ballymena United17/02/24Larne
Ballymena United
0–1Larne02/12/23Larne
Ballymena United
0–0Larne15/08/23Ballymena United
Larne
3–0Ballymena United31/03/23Ballymena United
Larne
0–2Ballymena United17/03/23Ballymena United
Larne
1–0Ballymena United21/02/23Larne
Ballymena United
0–3Larne26/08/22Ballymena United
Larne
3–0Ballymena United25/03/22Ballymena United
Larne
1–3Ballymena United05/03/22Larne
Ballymena United
3–3Larne10/12/21Larne
Ballymena United
2–1Larne30/10/21Larne
Ballymena United
0–3Larne06/03/21Larne
Ballymena United
1–1Larne| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coleraine FC | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | +19 | 34 |
| 2 | Linfield | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 32 |
| 3 | Larne | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +11 | 22 |
| 4 | Glentoran | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +6 | 20 |
| 5 |  Carrick Rangers | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 18 |
| 6 | Ballymena United | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 15 |
| 7 | Cliftonville FC | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 |  Crusaders FC | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | -12 | 15 |
| 9 | Dungannon Swifts | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 14 |
| 10 | Limavady United | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 13 |
| 11 |  Portadown | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -12 | 8 |
| 12 | Bangor | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | -15 | 6 |
Team Insights
Larne- ●Larne have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Larne have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Larne have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●Larne have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Larne have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Larne have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Larne have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Larne's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Ballymena United- ●Ballymena United have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Ballymena United have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Ballymena United have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Ballymena United failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Ballymena United have scored in 7 of their 7 away matches.
- ●71% of Ballymena United's goals have been scored away.
- ●73% of Ballymena United's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
LarneWABangor2–1
Bangor2–1LHLinfield1–2
Linfield1–2LHColeraine FC2–3
Coleraine FC2–3WACrusaders FC3–0
Crusaders FC3–0WACarrick Rangers5–2
Carrick Rangers5–2WHCliftonville FC2–0
Cliftonville FC2–0–HLimavady United27/10
Limavady United27/10–HPortadown30/10
Portadown30/10–ACliftonville FC06/11
Cliftonville FC06/11Ballymena UnitedWHCrusaders FC2–1
Crusaders FC2–1LALimavady United2–3
Limavady United2–3WACliftonville FC1–0
Cliftonville FC1–0WHPortadown2–0
Portadown2–0DADungannon Swifts1–1
Dungannon Swifts1–1DHCarrick Rangers1–1
Carrick Rangers1–1–HBangor31/10
Bangor31/10–APortadown07/11
Portadown07/11–HLinfield13/11
Linfield13/11Top Scorers
LarneP. O'Neill7 ⚽
M. Lusty3 ⚽
D. Bent3 ⚽
J. Simpson3 ⚽
R. Doherty2 ⚽
S. Graham2 ⚽
Ballymena UnitedI. Rutkowski11 ⚽
7 ⚽
J. Archer4 ⚽
C. McKee3 ⚽
F. Thorndike2 ⚽
C. Allen2 ⚽
Cards Given
Larne5 🟨
M. Gibson4 🟨
C. Gallagher3 🟨
P. O'Neill3 🟨
M. Lusty2 🟨
J. McEneff2 🟨
Ballymena United3 🟨
C. McKee2 🟨
D. Toure2 🟨
S. Whiteside2 🟨
M. Glynn1 🟨
J. Hood1 🟨