Crusaders FC vs Carrick Rangers — Premiership
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Crusaders FC and Carrick Rangers meet in the Premiership 2026 season on 13 November 2026. Crusaders FC have recorded 9 wins from 21 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.33 goals scored and 1.76 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 24% of games. Carrick Rangers have won 53% of their 19 matches, with 2.21 goals scored and 1.42 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 32%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.36 for Crusaders FC and 1.80 for Carrick Rangers. The models give Crusaders FC a 30% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Carrick Rangers win at 45%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Crusaders FC—
Carrick Rangers8º
Position
5º
1.15
PPG
1.38
38%
Win %
38%
1.23
Goals / game
1.69
2.15
Conceded / game
1.54
57%
BTTS %
47%
24%
Clean sheet %
32%
71%
Over 2.5 %
63%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Crusaders FC
Home (7)
—
Carrick Rangers
Away (6)
1.71
PPG
1.67
57%
Win %
50%
1.57
Goals / game
1.83
2.00
Conceded / game
1.17
42%
BTTS %
56%
42%
Clean sheet %
22%
58%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Crusaders FC | Home | Away | Carrick Rangers | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 76% | 75% | 78% | 79% | 80% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 48% | 58% | 33% | 53% | 40% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 17% | 0% | 37% | 20% | 56% |
| Failed To Score | 24% | 25% | 22% | 21% | 20% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Crusaders FC | Home | Away | Carrick Rangers | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 76% | 58% | 100% | 68% | 60% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 48% | 33% | 67% | 42% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 24% | 17% | 33% | 21% | 30% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 24% | 42% | 0% | 32% | 40% | 22% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Crusaders FC | Carrick Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 84% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 21% |
| BTTS | 57% | 47% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 5% | 16% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 52% | 37% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 19% | 26% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Crusaders FC | Carrick Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 42% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 32% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 26% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 58% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 52% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 19% | 42% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 16% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 42% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 58% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 76% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 53% |
Recent Venue Form
Crusaders FC (H)L
Coleraine FC0–5
Coleraine FC0–5L
Larne0–3
Larne0–3W
Bangor2–1
Bangor2–1W
Dungannon Swifts3–0
Dungannon Swifts3–0L
Limavady United1–2
Limavady United1–2W
Portadown3–2
Portadown3–2Carrick Rangers (A)WDungannon Swifts4–2
Dungannon Swifts4–2L
Glentoran0–2
Glentoran0–2D
Ballymena United1–1
Ballymena United1–1L
Linfield0–1
Linfield0–1WBangor4–0
Bangor4–0WLimavady United2–1
Limavady United2–1Head to Head · 27 matches
16
Crusaders FC
59%
4
Draws
15%
7
Carrick Rangers
26%
89%
Over 1.5
24/27
78%
Over 2.5
21/27
48%
Over 3.5
13/27
52%
BTTS
14/27
03/10/26Crusaders FC
Carrick Rangers
4–0Crusaders FC28/03/26Crusaders FC
Carrick Rangers
6–1Crusaders FC30/12/25Carrick Rangers
Crusaders FC
2–2Carrick Rangers08/11/25Crusaders FC
Carrick Rangers
1–2Crusaders FC09/08/25Carrick Rangers
Crusaders FC
3–4Carrick Rangers30/12/24Crusaders FC
Carrick Rangers
0–0Crusaders FC16/11/24Crusaders FC
Carrick Rangers
3–0Crusaders FC31/08/24Carrick Rangers
Crusaders FC
2–1Carrick Rangers01/05/24Carrick Rangers
Crusaders FC
3–1Carrick Rangers30/12/23Carrick Rangers
Crusaders FC
2–0Carrick Rangers08/12/23Crusaders FC
Carrick Rangers
0–1Crusaders FC22/08/23Carrick Rangers
Crusaders FC
9–0Carrick Rangers25/03/23Carrick Rangers
Crusaders FC
3–0Carrick Rangers02/01/23Crusaders FC
Carrick Rangers
0–3Crusaders FC01/10/22Crusaders FC
Carrick Rangers
4–3Crusaders FC19/02/22Carrick Rangers
Crusaders FC
2–1Carrick Rangers01/01/22Carrick Rangers
Crusaders FC
0–0Carrick Rangers16/11/21Crusaders FC
Carrick Rangers
0–2Crusaders FC14/08/21Crusaders FC
Carrick Rangers
4–1Crusaders FC06/04/21Crusaders FC
Carrick Rangers
1–1Crusaders FC| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coleraine FC | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | +19 | 34 |
| 2 | Linfield | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 32 |
| 3 | Larne | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +11 | 22 |
| 4 | Glentoran | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +6 | 20 |
| 5 | Carrick Rangers | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 18 |
| 6 | Ballymena United | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 15 |
| 7 |  Cliftonville FC | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | Crusaders FC | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | -12 | 15 |
| 9 | Dungannon Swifts | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 14 |
| 10 | Limavady United | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 13 |
| 11 | Portadown | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -12 | 8 |
| 12 | Bangor | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | -15 | 6 |
Team Insights
Crusaders FC- ●Crusaders FC have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Crusaders FC have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●Crusaders FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Crusaders FC have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Crusaders FC have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Crusaders FC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Crusaders FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Crusaders FC failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Crusaders FC have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●69% of Crusaders FC's goals have been scored at home.
- ●80% of Crusaders FC's points have been earned at home.
Carrick Rangers- ●Carrick Rangers have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Carrick Rangers have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Carrick Rangers have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Carrick Rangers failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Carrick Rangers have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Carrick Rangers failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Carrick Rangers have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●65% of Carrick Rangers's goals conceded were conceded at home.
- ●Carrick Rangers have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Crusaders FCLHColeraine FC0–5
Coleraine FC0–5LABallymena United1–2
Ballymena United1–2LHLarne0–3
Larne0–3LACarrick Rangers0–4
Carrick Rangers0–4WHBangor2–1
Bangor2–1LALinfield0–1
Linfield0–1–ALimavady United31/10
Limavady United31/10–ABangor07/11
Bangor07/11–HCarrick Rangers13/11
Carrick Rangers13/11Carrick RangersDHLimavady United1–1
Limavady United1–1DHLinfield2–2
Linfield2–2WADungannon Swifts4–2
Dungannon Swifts4–2WHCrusaders FC4–0
Crusaders FC4–0LAGlentoran0–2
Glentoran0–2LHLarne2–5
Larne2–5–ACliftonville FC31/10
Cliftonville FC31/10–HGlentoran07/11
Glentoran07/11–ACrusaders FC13/11
Crusaders FC13/11Top Scorers
Crusaders FCA. Brooks8 ⚽
O. Wardell4 ⚽
A. Reid3 ⚽
L. Anderson2 ⚽
E. Dunlop2 ⚽
R. Weir2 ⚽
Carrick Rangers13 ⚽
D. Gibson8 ⚽
P. Heatley6 ⚽
D. O'Conchubhair3 ⚽
A. Steele3 ⚽
J. Crowe2 ⚽
Cards Given
Crusaders FC4 🟨
R. Weir3 🟨
L. Anderson3 🟨
E. Dunlop2 🟨
K. Forsythe2 🟨
G. Kelly2 🟨
Carrick Rangers3 🟨
J. Callacher3 🟨
A. Steele3 🟨
J. Crowe3 🟨
A. Lecky2 🟨
J. Forsythe2 🟨