Larne vs Portadown — Premiership
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Inver Park·Larne·Northern Ireland·3,000
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Larne and Portadown meet in the Premiership 2026 season on 30 October 2026. Larne have recorded 12 wins from 21 matches this season (57% win rate), averaging 1.38 goals scored and 1.19 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 48% of games. Portadown have won 26% of their 19 matches, with 1.11 goals scored and 1.58 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 42%, Over 2.5 at 58%, and clean sheets at 21%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.67 for Larne and 1.26 for Portadown. The models give Larne a 57% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Portadown win at 19%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Larne—
Portadown3º
Position
11º
2.20
PPG
0.62
70%
Win %
15%
2.00
Goals / game
0.85
0.90
Conceded / game
1.77
38%
BTTS %
42%
48%
Clean sheet %
21%
57%
Over 2.5 %
58%
5.5
Avg corners
0.0
12.0
Avg shots
0.0
3.5
Avg shots on target
0.0
2.6
Avg yellow cards
0.0
18.3
Avg fouls
0.0
41.5%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Larne
Home (5)
—
Portadown
Away (6)
1.80
PPG
0.50
60%
Win %
17%
1.60
Goals / game
1.00
1.20
Conceded / game
2.17
40%
BTTS %
45%
40%
Clean sheet %
27%
60%
Over 2.5 %
73%
5.5
Avg corners
0.0
12.0
Avg shots
0.0
3.5
Avg shots on target
0.0
2.6
Avg yellow cards
0.0
41.5%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Larne | Home | Away | Portadown | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 70% | 73% | 58% | 38% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 48% | 40% | 55% | 37% | 13% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 0% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 18% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 30% | 27% | 42% | 63% | 27% |
Goals Conceded
| Larne | Home | Away | Portadown | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 52% | 60% | 45% | 79% | 88% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 40% | 27% | 53% | 50% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 19% | 30% | 9% | 26% | 13% | 36% |
| Clean Sheets | 48% | 40% | 55% | 21% | 13% | 27% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Larne | Portadown | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 84% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 58% |
| Over 3.5 | 19% | 26% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 5% |
| BTTS | 38% | 42% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 37% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 19% | 21% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Larne | Portadown | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 52% | 37% |
| Loss 1st Half | 14% | 42% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 26% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 29% | 47% |
| Win 2nd Half | 48% | 32% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 24% | 26% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 42% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 58% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 63% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 57% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 24% | 21% |
Recent Venue Form
Larne (H)L
Linfield1–2
Linfield1–2L
Coleraine FC2–3
Coleraine FC2–3W
Cliftonville FC2–0
Cliftonville FC2–0W
Bangor1–0
Bangor1–0W
Glentoran2–1
Glentoran2–1L
Lincoln Red Imps FC0–3
Lincoln Red Imps FC0–3Portadown (A)WCliftonville FC2–1
Cliftonville FC2–1L
Ballymena United0–2
Ballymena United0–2LBangor1–3
Bangor1–3LCliftonville FC1–3
Cliftonville FC1–3L
Crusaders FC2–3
Crusaders FC2–3L
Carrick Rangers0–1
Carrick Rangers0–1Team Corners
| Team Corners | Larne | Portadown |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.5 | 0.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.5 | 0.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 75% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 75% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 75% | 0% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 0% |
Head to Head · 22 matches
12
Larne
55%
5
Draws
23%
5
Portadown
23%
95%
Over 1.5
21/22
77%
Over 2.5
17/22
36%
Over 3.5
8/22
50%
BTTS
11/22
12/09/26Larne
Portadown
0–2Larne14/02/26Larne
Portadown
2–1Larne07/11/25Portadown
Larne
3–0Portadown22/08/25Portadown
Larne
4–0Portadown15/02/25Larne
Portadown
2–0Larne01/02/25Portadown
Larne
1–1Portadown27/10/24Larne
Portadown
2–1Larne24/01/23Portadown
Larne
2–0Portadown12/11/22Larne
Portadown
0–5Larne17/09/22Larne
Portadown
0–1Larne29/01/22Portadown
Larne
4–0Portadown27/11/21Larne
Portadown
2–2Larne04/09/21Larne
Portadown
2–3Larne20/04/21Larne
Portadown
2–1Larne06/04/21Larne
Portadown
1–2Larne09/02/21Portadown
Larne
2–2Portadown06/04/19Portadown
Larne
3–0Portadown09/02/19Larne
Portadown
1–2Larne10/11/18Larne
Portadown
0–3Larne22/09/18Portadown
Larne
2–2Portadown| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Coleraine FC | 13 | 11 | 1 | 1 | +19 | 34 |
| 2 | Linfield | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 32 |
| 3 | Larne | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | +11 | 22 |
| 4 | Glentoran | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +6 | 20 |
| 5 | Carrick Rangers | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | +2 | 18 |
| 6 | Ballymena United | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 15 |
| 7 | Cliftonville FC | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | Crusaders FC | 13 | 5 | 0 | 8 | -12 | 15 |
| 9 |  Dungannon Swifts | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -5 | 14 |
| 10 |  Limavady United | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 13 |
| 11 | Portadown | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -12 | 8 |
| 12 | Bangor | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | -15 | 6 |
Team Insights
Larne- ●Larne have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Larne have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Larne have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●Larne have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Larne have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Larne have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Larne have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Larne's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Portadown- ●Portadown failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Portadown failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Portadown have lost 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Portadown failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Portadown have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
Season Schedule
LarneWABangor2–1
Bangor2–1LHLinfield1–2
Linfield1–2LHColeraine FC2–3
Coleraine FC2–3WACrusaders FC3–0
Crusaders FC3–0WACarrick Rangers5–2
Carrick Rangers5–2WHCliftonville FC2–0
Cliftonville FC2–0–HLimavady United27/10
Limavady United27/10–HPortadown30/10
Portadown30/10–ACliftonville FC06/11
Cliftonville FC06/11PortadownLHLinfield1–2
Linfield1–2WACliftonville FC2–1
Cliftonville FC2–1DHGlentoran0–0
Glentoran0–0WHLimavady United3–1
Limavady United3–1LABallymena United0–2
Ballymena United0–2LABangor1–3
Bangor1–3–ALarne30/10
Larne30/10–HBallymena United07/11
Ballymena United07/11–AColeraine FC13/11
Coleraine FC13/11Top Scorers
LarneP. O'Neill7 ⚽
M. Lusty3 ⚽
D. Bent3 ⚽
J. Simpson3 ⚽
R. Doherty2 ⚽
S. Graham2 ⚽
PortadownB. Kennedy4 ⚽
B. Altintop2 ⚽
E. Fyfe2 ⚽
A. Obhakhan2 ⚽
M. Hewitt1 ⚽
R. Breen1 ⚽
Cards Given
Larne5 🟨
M. Gibson4 🟨
C. Gallagher3 🟨
P. O'Neill3 🟨
M. Lusty2 🟨
J. McEneff2 🟨
PortadownF. Flanagan6 🟨
L. MacKinnon4 🟨
B. Altintop3 🟨
B. Kennedy3 🟨
G. Thompson3 🟨
3 🟨