Rodina Moskva vs CSKA Moscow — Premier League
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Rodina Moskva and CSKA Moscow meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Rodina Moskva have recorded 6 wins from 31 matches this season (19% win rate), averaging 1.23 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 61% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 16% of games. CSKA Moscow have won 41% of their 32 matches, with 1.69 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 69%, Over 2.5 at 56%, and clean sheets at 19%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.57 for Rodina Moskva and 1.76 for CSKA Moscow. The models give Rodina Moskva a 33% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an CSKA Moscow win at 43%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 64% and BTTS at 65%.
Season Statistics
Rodina Moskva—
CSKA Moscow12º
Position
3º
0.92
PPG
2.00
23%
Win %
54%
1.15
Goals / game
1.62
2.15
Conceded / game
0.92
61%
BTTS %
69%
16%
Clean sheet %
19%
71%
Over 2.5 %
56%
3.3
Avg corners
4.8
8.6
Avg shots
14.4
3.1
Avg shots on target
5.2
2.6
Avg yellow cards
1.8
14.2
Avg fouls
12.2
43.8%
Avg possession
51.8%
Home vs Away
Rodina Moskva
Home (6)
—
CSKA Moscow
Away (5)
1.00
PPG
1.60
17%
Win %
40%
1.67
Goals / game
1.60
2.33
Conceded / game
1.40
67%
BTTS %
67%
17%
Clean sheet %
8%
75%
Over 2.5 %
58%
3.3
Avg corners
4.8
8.6
Avg shots
14.4
3.1
Avg shots on target
5.2
2.6
Avg yellow cards
1.8
43.8%
Avg possession
51.8%
Goals Scored
| Rodina Moskva | Home | Away | CSKA Moscow | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 75% | 68% | 81% | 90% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 35% | 50% | 26% | 53% | 55% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 17% | 5% | 31% | 40% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 25% | 32% | 19% | 10% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Rodina Moskva | Home | Away | CSKA Moscow | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 84% | 83% | 84% | 81% | 75% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 68% | 58% | 74% | 34% | 25% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 42% | 50% | 37% | 13% | 10% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 16% | 17% | 16% | 19% | 25% | 8% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Rodina Moskva | CSKA Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 84% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 | 45% | 47% |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 13% |
| BTTS | 61% | 69% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 28% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 28% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 55% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 16% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Rodina Moskva | CSKA Moscow | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 14% | 45% |
| Draw 1st Half | 55% | 45% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 10% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 71% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 62% | 45% |
| Win 2nd Half | 24% | 26% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 24% | 42% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 52% | 32% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 48% | 55% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 72% | 61% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 72% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 52% | 58% |
Recent Venue Form
Rodina Moskva (H)W
FC Krasnodar2–1
FC Krasnodar2–1D
FC Orenburg2–2
FC Orenburg2–2L
Spartak Moscow2–4
Spartak Moscow2–4D
Rubin1–1
Rubin1–1L
Baltika0–3
Baltika0–3LFC Orenburg1–4
FC Orenburg1–4CSKA Moscow (A)DFC Orenburg0–0
FC Orenburg0–0L
Dynamo1–3
Dynamo1–3W
Dinamo Makhachkala3–1
Dinamo Makhachkala3–1W
Zenit2–1
Zenit2–1L
FC Rostov0–2
FC Rostov0–2D
Akron2–2
Akron2–2Number of Corners
9.7
Corners / Match
16 games
League Avg
8.7
104 games
9.3
Corners / Match
16 games
| Match Corners | Rodina Moskva | CSKA Moscow | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 81% | 81% | 78% |
| Over 7 | 63% | 75% | 63% |
| Over 8 | 63% | 63% | 48% |
| Over 9 | 56% | 50% | 38% |
| Over 10 | 44% | 38% | 23% |
| Over 11 | 31% | 19% | 15% |
| Over 12 | 25% | 6% | 12% |
| Over 13 | 25% | 6% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Rodina Moskva | CSKA Moscow |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.3 | 4.8 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.4 | 4.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 56% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 31% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 13% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 88% | 81% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 81% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 75% | 50% |
Head to Head · 2 matches
0
Rodina Moskva
0%
0
Draws
0%
2
CSKA Moscow
100%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
100%
Over 2.5
2/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
0%
BTTS
0/2
11/10/26Rodina Moskva
CSKA Moscow
3–0Rodina Moskva16/02/24Rodina Moskva
CSKA Moscow
4–0Rodina Moskva| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenit | 13 | 10 | 0 | 3 | +17 | 30 |
| 2 | Dynamo | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | +9 | 28 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +9 | 26 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +15 | 26 |
| 5 | FC Krasnodar | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +5 | 23 |
| 6 | FC Rostov | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 18 |
| 7 | Baltika | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 17 |
| 8 | FC Orenburg | 13 | 3 | 8 | 2 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 |  Krylia Sovetov | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -3 | 15 |
| 10 | Rubin | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -5 | 15 |
| 11 | Dinamo Makhachkala | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -10 | 13 |
| 12 | Rodina Moskva | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 12 |
| 13 | Akron | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 12 |
| 14 |  Lokomotiv | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 |  Akhmat | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -4 | 11 |
| 16 |  Fakel | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | -13 | 6 |
Team Insights
Rodina Moskva- ●Rodina Moskva have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Rodina Moskva have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Rodina Moskva failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Rodina Moskva failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Rodina Moskva failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Rodina Moskva have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●67% of Rodina Moskva's goals have been scored at home.
CSKA Moscow- ●CSKA Moscow have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●CSKA Moscow have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●CSKA Moscow have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●CSKA Moscow have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●CSKA Moscow have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 8 home matches.
- ●CSKA Moscow have scored in 7 of their 8 home matches.
- ●CSKA Moscow failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●62% of CSKA Moscow's goals have been scored at home.
- ●CSKA Moscow have scored 62% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Rodina MoskvaWHFC Krasnodar2–1
FC Krasnodar2–1WAFakel1–0
Fakel1–0DHFC Orenburg2–2
FC Orenburg2–2LACSKA Moscow0–3
CSKA Moscow0–3DHRubin1–1
Rubin1–1LAKrylia Sovetov1–2
Krylia Sovetov1–2–AAkhmat07/11
Akhmat07/11–HLokomotiv22/11
Lokomotiv22/11–AFC Orenburg29/11
FC Orenburg29/11CSKA MoscowDAFC Orenburg0–0
FC Orenburg0–0WHSpartak Moscow2–0
Spartak Moscow2–0LADynamo1–3
Dynamo1–3WHRodina Moskva3–0
Rodina Moskva3–0WADinamo Makhachkala3–1
Dinamo Makhachkala3–1DHRubin1–1
Rubin1–1–AFC Krasnodar07/11
FC Krasnodar07/11–HAkhmat21/11
Akhmat21/11–HZenit28/11
Zenit28/11Top Scorers
Rodina MoskvaA. Maksimenko6 ⚽
Ivan Timoshenko4 ⚽
A. Gharibyan3 ⚽
German Onugkha3 ⚽
I. Pozo2 ⚽
A. Egorychev2 ⚽
CSKA MoscowIvan Oblyakov7 ⚽
L. Gondou5 ⚽
D. Krugovoy3 ⚽
Henrique Carmo3 ⚽
Joao Victor3 ⚽
Imran Firov2 ⚽
Cards Given
Rodina Moskva8 🟨
Iker Pozo4 🟨
Soltmurad Bakaev3 🟨
Artem Meshchaninov3 🟨
Leon Musaev3 🟨
Artem Maksimenko2 🟨
CSKA MoscowJoão Victor da Silva Marcelino3 🟨
K. Glebov3 🟨
3 🟨
Dzhamalutdin Abdulkadyrov2 🟨
Ivan Oblyakov2 🟨
Ivan Oleynikov2 🟨