FC Orenburg vs Rodina Moskva — Premier League
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FC Orenburg and Rodina Moskva meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 29 November 2026. FC Orenburg have recorded 14 wins from 30 matches this season (47% win rate), averaging 1.57 goals scored and 1.10 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Rodina Moskva have won 19% of their 31 matches, with 1.23 goals scored and 2.10 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 16%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.77 for FC Orenburg and 1.12 for Rodina Moskva. The models give FC Orenburg a 52% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Rodina Moskva win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
FC Orenburg—
Rodina Moskva8º
Position
12º
1.31
PPG
0.92
23%
Win %
23%
1.08
Goals / game
1.15
0.92
Conceded / game
2.15
57%
BTTS %
61%
27%
Clean sheet %
16%
50%
Over 2.5 %
71%
4.0
Avg corners
3.3
11.8
Avg shots
8.6
4.3
Avg shots on target
3.1
3.4
Avg yellow cards
2.6
18.8
Avg fouls
14.2
39.9%
Avg possession
43.8%
Home vs Away
FC Orenburg
Home (7)
—
Rodina Moskva
Away (7)
1.43
PPG
0.86
29%
Win %
29%
1.29
Goals / game
0.71
1.00
Conceded / game
2.00
50%
BTTS %
58%
33%
Clean sheet %
16%
50%
Over 2.5 %
68%
4.0
Avg corners
3.3
11.8
Avg shots
8.6
4.3
Avg shots on target
3.1
3.4
Avg yellow cards
2.6
39.9%
Avg possession
43.8%
Goals Scored
| FC Orenburg | Home | Away | Rodina Moskva | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 73% | 72% | 75% | 71% | 75% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 50% | 33% | 35% | 50% | 26% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 22% | 17% | 10% | 17% | 5% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 28% | 25% | 29% | 25% | 32% |
Goals Conceded
| FC Orenburg | Home | Away | Rodina Moskva | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 67% | 83% | 84% | 83% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 23% | 17% | 33% | 68% | 58% | 74% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 6% | 8% | 42% | 50% | 37% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 33% | 17% | 16% | 17% | 16% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| FC Orenburg | Rodina Moskva | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 84% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 45% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 29% |
| BTTS | 57% | 61% |
| BTTS & Win | 30% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 16% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 55% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 16% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| FC Orenburg | Rodina Moskva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 14% |
| Draw 1st Half | 52% | 55% |
| Loss 1st Half | 19% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 37% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 62% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 24% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 24% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 22% | 52% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 48% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 52% | 72% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 56% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 52% |
Recent Venue Form
FC Orenburg (H)D
CSKA Moscow0–0
CSKA Moscow0–0WRodina Moskva2–1
Rodina Moskva2–1W
Dinamo Makhachkala4–0
Dinamo Makhachkala4–0W
Tekstilshchik3–2
Tekstilshchik3–2D
FC Krasnodar0–0
FC Krasnodar0–0D
Akron2–2
Akron2–2Rodina Moskva (A)LFC Orenburg1–2
FC Orenburg1–2W
Fakel1–0
Fakel1–0LCSKA Moscow0–3
CSKA Moscow0–3L
Dynamo2–3
Dynamo2–3W
FK Partizan3–2
FK Partizan3–2L
Krylia Sovetov1–2
Krylia Sovetov1–2Number of Corners
8.8
Corners / Match
16 games
League Avg
8.7
104 games
9.7
Corners / Match
16 games
| Match Corners | FC Orenburg | Rodina Moskva | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 100% | 81% | 78% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 63% | 63% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 63% | 48% |
| Over 9 | 31% | 56% | 38% |
| Over 10 | 13% | 44% | 23% |
| Over 11 | 13% | 31% | 15% |
| Over 12 | 0% | 25% | 12% |
| Over 13 | 0% | 25% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | FC Orenburg | Rodina Moskva |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.0 | 3.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.8 | 6.4 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 69% | 56% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 50% | 31% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 38% | 13% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 75% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 69% | 81% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 63% | 75% |
Head to Head · 3 matches
2
FC Orenburg
67%
1
Draws
33%
0
Rodina Moskva
0%
100%
Over 1.5
3/3
100%
Over 2.5
3/3
67%
Over 3.5
2/3
100%
BTTS
3/3
28/10/26Rodina Moskva
FC Orenburg
2–1Rodina Moskva19/10/26FC Orenburg
Rodina Moskva
2–2FC Orenburg18/08/26FC Orenburg
Rodina Moskva
1–4FC Orenburg| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zenit | 13 | 10 | 0 | 3 | +17 | 30 |
| 2 | Dynamo | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | +9 | 28 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +9 | 26 |
| 4 |  Spartak Moscow | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +15 | 26 |
| 5 | FC Krasnodar | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +5 | 23 |
| 6 |  FC Rostov | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 18 |
| 7 |  Baltika | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 17 |
| 8 | FC Orenburg | 13 | 3 | 8 | 2 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 | Krylia Sovetov | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -3 | 15 |
| 10 |  Rubin | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -5 | 15 |
| 11 | Dinamo Makhachkala | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -10 | 13 |
| 12 | Rodina Moskva | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 12 |
| 13 | Akron | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 12 |
| 14 |  Lokomotiv | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 |  Akhmat | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -4 | 11 |
| 16 | Fakel | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | -13 | 6 |
Team Insights
FC Orenburg- ●FC Orenburg have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●FC Orenburg have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●FC Orenburg have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●FC Orenburg have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●FC Orenburg have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●64% of FC Orenburg's goals have been scored at home.
Rodina Moskva- ●Rodina Moskva have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Rodina Moskva have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Rodina Moskva failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Rodina Moskva failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Rodina Moskva failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Rodina Moskva have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●67% of Rodina Moskva's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
FC OrenburgDHCSKA Moscow0–0
CSKA Moscow0–0WAAkhmat1–0
Akhmat1–0DARodina Moskva2–2
Rodina Moskva2–2WHDinamo Makhachkala4–0
Dinamo Makhachkala4–0DHFC Krasnodar0–0
FC Krasnodar0–0LADynamo0–1
Dynamo0–1–AKrylia Sovetov08/11
Krylia Sovetov08/11–HBaltika21/11
Baltika21/11–HRodina Moskva29/11
Rodina Moskva29/11Rodina MoskvaWHFC Krasnodar2–1
FC Krasnodar2–1WAFakel1–0
Fakel1–0DHFC Orenburg2–2
FC Orenburg2–2LACSKA Moscow0–3
CSKA Moscow0–3DHRubin1–1
Rubin1–1LAKrylia Sovetov1–2
Krylia Sovetov1–2–AAkhmat07/11
Akhmat07/11–HLokomotiv22/11
Lokomotiv22/11–AFC Orenburg29/11
FC Orenburg29/11Top Scorers
FC OrenburgJordhy Thompson4 ⚽
A. Kasadzhikov3 ⚽
Alexandre Jesus3 ⚽
Gedeon Guzina3 ⚽
Danila Khotulev2 ⚽
D. Puebla2 ⚽
Rodina MoskvaA. Maksimenko6 ⚽
Ivan Timoshenko4 ⚽
A. Gharibyan3 ⚽
German Onugkha3 ⚽
I. Pozo2 ⚽
A. Egorychev2 ⚽
Cards Given
FC OrenburgEgor Nazarenko4 🟨
Evgeniy Bolotov4 🟨
Andrey Kasadzhikov4 🟨
Aleksey Tataev3 🟨
A. Tataev3 🟨
Damian Puebla3 🟨
Rodina Moskva8 🟨
Iker Pozo4 🟨
Soltmurad Bakaev3 🟨
Artem Meshchaninov3 🟨
Leon Musaev3 🟨
Artem Maksimenko2 🟨