Rodina Moskva vs Lokomotiv — Premier League
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Rodina Moskva and Lokomotiv meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Rodina Moskva have recorded 5 wins from 29 matches this season (17% win rate), averaging 1.21 goals scored and 2.14 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 59% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 69%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Lokomotiv have won 41% of their 34 matches, with 1.74 goals scored and 0.97 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 44%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.53 for Rodina Moskva and 1.83 for Lokomotiv. The models give Rodina Moskva a 33% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Lokomotiv win at 42%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 66%.
Season Statistics
Rodina Moskva—
Lokomotiv15º
Position
13º
0.75
PPG
1.00
17%
Win %
18%
1.08
Goals / game
1.45
2.25
Conceded / game
1.27
59%
BTTS %
44%
17%
Clean sheet %
44%
69%
Over 2.5 %
38%
3.5
Avg corners
3.2
8.4
Avg shots
11.6
2.9
Avg shots on target
3.5
2.6
Avg yellow cards
2.7
13.7
Avg fouls
15.6
43.4%
Avg possession
49.3%
Home vs Away
Rodina Moskva
Home (5)
—
Lokomotiv
Away (6)
0.60
PPG
1.17
0%
Win %
33%
1.60
Goals / game
1.83
2.60
Conceded / game
1.33
64%
BTTS %
58%
18%
Clean sheet %
25%
73%
Over 2.5 %
50%
3.5
Avg corners
3.2
8.4
Avg shots
11.6
2.9
Avg shots on target
3.5
2.6
Avg yellow cards
2.7
43.4%
Avg possession
49.3%
Goals Scored
| Rodina Moskva | Home | Away | Lokomotiv | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 69% | 73% | 67% | 79% | 82% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 34% | 45% | 28% | 44% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 18% | 6% | 24% | 27% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 31% | 27% | 33% | 21% | 18% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Rodina Moskva | Home | Away | Lokomotiv | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 82% | 83% | 56% | 45% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 69% | 64% | 72% | 29% | 18% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 45% | 55% | 39% | 12% | 9% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 18% | 17% | 44% | 55% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Rodina Moskva | Lokomotiv | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 | 48% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 31% | 21% |
| BTTS | 59% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 7% | 6% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 24% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 52% | 24% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 15% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Rodina Moskva | Lokomotiv | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 15% | 39% |
| Draw 1st Half | 52% | 45% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 15% |
| Scored 1st Half | 48% | 52% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 21% |
| Win 2nd Half | 22% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 26% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 52% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 55% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 70% | 48% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 61% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 56% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Rodina Moskva (H)D
FC Orenburg2–2
FC Orenburg2–2L
Spartak Moscow2–4
Spartak Moscow2–4D
Rubin1–1
Rubin1–1L
Baltika0–3
Baltika0–3LFC Orenburg1–4
FC Orenburg1–4D
Akron3–3
Akron3–3Lokomotiv (A)L
FC Rostov0–2
FC Rostov0–2W
Fakel5–0
Fakel5–0L
Zenit1–2
Zenit1–2WBaltika1–0
Baltika1–0DAkron0–0
Akron0–0L
CSKA Moscow2–3
CSKA Moscow2–3Number of Corners
10.1
Corners / Match
14 games
League Avg
8.8
93 games
8.1
Corners / Match
13 games
| Match Corners | Rodina Moskva | Lokomotiv | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 86% | 69% | 78% |
| Over 7 | 64% | 54% | 63% |
| Over 8 | 64% | 38% | 46% |
| Over 9 | 57% | 23% | 37% |
| Over 10 | 43% | 15% | 24% |
| Over 11 | 29% | 15% | 16% |
| Over 12 | 29% | 15% | 12% |
| Over 13 | 29% | 8% | 9% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Rodina Moskva | Lokomotiv |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.5 | 3.2 |
| Corners Against / Match | 6.6 | 4.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 57% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 36% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 14% | 15% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 93% | 77% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 86% | 69% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 79% | 62% |
Head to Head · 4 matches
1
Rodina Moskva
25%
1
Draws
25%
2
Lokomotiv
50%
50%
Over 1.5
2/4
50%
Over 2.5
2/4
0%
Over 3.5
0/4
50%
BTTS
2/4
27/06/26Rodina Moskva
Lokomotiv
0–0Rodina Moskva30/06/24Rodina Moskva
Lokomotiv
0–1Rodina Moskva22/01/23Rodina Moskva
Lokomotiv
2–1Rodina Moskva22/01/23Rodina Moskva
Lokomotiv
2–1Rodina Moskva| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Dynamo | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 25 |
| 2 | Zenit | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | +12 | 24 |
| 3 |  FC Krasnodar | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 23 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +13 | 23 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +7 | 22 |
| 6 | FC Orenburg | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | +2 | 16 |
| 7 |  Krylia Sovetov | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | Baltika | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 |  Dinamo Makhachkala | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 13 |
| 10 | FC Rostov | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 12 |
| 11 | Rubin | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -6 | 12 |
| 12 | Akron | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -6 | 12 |
| 13 | Lokomotiv | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +2 | 11 |
| 14 |  Akhmat | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 11 |
| 15 | Rodina Moskva | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -14 | 9 |
| 16 | Fakel | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -12 | 6 |
Team Insights
Rodina Moskva- ●Rodina Moskva have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Rodina Moskva failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Rodina Moskva failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Rodina Moskva failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Rodina Moskva have lost 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●62% of Rodina Moskva's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Rodina Moskva's points have been earned away.
Lokomotiv- ●Lokomotiv have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Lokomotiv failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Lokomotiv failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 away matches.
- ●Lokomotiv have scored in 6 of their 7 away matches.
- ●69% of Lokomotiv's goals have been scored away.
- ●64% of Lokomotiv's points have been earned away.
Season Schedule
Rodina MoskvaWAFakel1–0
Fakel1–0DHFC Orenburg2–2
FC Orenburg2–2LACSKA Moscow0–3
CSKA Moscow0–3DHRubin1–1
Rubin1–1LAKrylia Sovetov1–2
Krylia Sovetov1–2LADinamo Makhachkala0–2
Dinamo Makhachkala0–2–HFC Krasnodar31/10
FC Krasnodar31/10–AAkhmat07/11
Akhmat07/11–HLokomotiv22/11
Lokomotiv22/11LokomotivLAFC Rostov0–2
FC Rostov0–2DHFC Krasnodar3–3
FC Krasnodar3–3WAFakel5–0
Fakel5–0DHKrylia Sovetov1–1
Krylia Sovetov1–1LAZenit1–2
Zenit1–2WABaltika1–0
Baltika1–0–HSpartak Moscow01/11
Spartak Moscow01/11–HRubin06/11
Rubin06/11–ARodina Moskva22/11
Rodina Moskva22/11Top Scorers
Rodina MoskvaA. Maksimenko6 ⚽
Ivan Timoshenko3 ⚽
A. Gharibyan3 ⚽
I. Pozo2 ⚽
German Onugkha2 ⚽
A. Egorychev2 ⚽
LokomotivS. Pinyaev6 ⚽
N. Komlichenko4 ⚽
N. Saltykov4 ⚽
Nikolay Komlichenko3 ⚽
A. Batrakov3 ⚽
Aleksandr Rudenko2 ⚽
Cards Given
Rodina Moskva8 🟨
Iker Pozo3 🟨
Artem Meshchaninov3 🟨
I. Pozo2 🟨
I. Dyatlov2 🟨
A. Egorychev2 🟨
LokomotivG. Nyamsi5 🟨
A. Batrakov3 🟨
Aleksandr Rudenko2 🟨
Andrey Mostovoy2 🟨
César Montes2 🟨
A. Rudenko2 🟨