Fakel vs Dynamo — Premier League
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Fakel and Dynamo meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 7 November 2026. Fakel have recorded 7 wins from 30 matches this season (23% win rate), averaging 1.07 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 23% of games. Dynamo have won 61% of their 31 matches, with 1.87 goals scored and 1.03 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 61%, and clean sheets at 35%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.05 for Fakel and 1.35 for Dynamo. The models give Fakel a 25% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Dynamo win at 47%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 48%.
Season Statistics
Fakel—
Dynamo16º
Position
2º
0.46
PPG
2.15
8%
Win %
69%
0.62
Goals / game
1.62
1.62
Conceded / game
0.92
50%
BTTS %
55%
23%
Clean sheet %
35%
40%
Over 2.5 %
61%
4.5
Avg corners
4.9
9.9
Avg shots
14.1
2.8
Avg shots on target
5.5
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.6
14.9
Avg fouls
12.5
46.8%
Avg possession
59.1%
Home vs Away
Fakel
Home (7)
—
Dynamo
Away (6)
0.43
PPG
1.50
0%
Win %
50%
0.43
Goals / game
1.17
1.57
Conceded / game
1.33
47%
BTTS %
54%
27%
Clean sheet %
38%
40%
Over 2.5 %
62%
4.5
Avg corners
4.9
9.9
Avg shots
14.1
2.8
Avg shots on target
5.5
1.8
Avg yellow cards
1.6
46.8%
Avg possession
59.1%
Goals Scored
| Fakel | Home | Away | Dynamo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 53% | 73% | 87% | 83% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 27% | 27% | 27% | 45% | 67% | 15% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 20% | 0% | 26% | 39% | 8% |
| Failed To Score | 37% | 47% | 27% | 13% | 17% | 8% |
Goals Conceded
| Fakel | Home | Away | Dynamo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 77% | 73% | 80% | 65% | 67% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 30% | 27% | 33% | 32% | 22% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 13% | 13% | 6% | 0% | 15% |
| Clean Sheets | 23% | 27% | 20% | 35% | 33% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Fakel | Dynamo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 57% | 74% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 61% |
| Over 3.5 | 27% | 26% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 10% |
| BTTS | 50% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 29% |
| BTTS & Draw | 23% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 37% | 48% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 3% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Fakel | Dynamo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 13% | 34% |
| Draw 1st Half | 57% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 24% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 48% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 47% | 41% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 45% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 17% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 69% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 57% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Fakel (H)D
Akhmat0–0
Akhmat0–0L
Rodina Moskva0–1
Rodina Moskva0–1L
Lokomotiv0–5
Lokomotiv0–5W
FC Vitebsk1–0
FC Vitebsk1–0D
Baltika2–2
Baltika2–2D
FC Krasnodar1–1
FC Krasnodar1–1Dynamo (A)LFC Krasnodar1–2
FC Krasnodar1–2L
Akron1–3
Akron1–3WAkhmat2–1
Akhmat2–1W
Rubin1–0
Rubin1–0W
FC Rostov3–0
FC Rostov3–0WLokomotiv1–0
Lokomotiv1–0Number of Corners
9.4
Corners / Match
16 games
League Avg
8.7
104 games
7.9
Corners / Match
16 games
| Match Corners | Fakel | Dynamo | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 69% | 78% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 56% | 63% |
| Over 8 | 63% | 25% | 48% |
| Over 9 | 56% | 25% | 38% |
| Over 10 | 25% | 19% | 23% |
| Over 11 | 19% | 6% | 15% |
| Over 12 | 19% | 6% | 12% |
| Over 13 | 13% | 6% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Fakel | Dynamo |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.5 | 4.9 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.9 | 3.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 81% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 56% | 69% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 31% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 81% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 75% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 50% | 19% |
Head to Head · 9 matches
3
Fakel
33%
4
Draws
44%
2
Dynamo
22%
67%
Over 1.5
6/9
33%
Over 2.5
3/9
22%
Over 3.5
2/9
56%
BTTS
5/9
05/08/26Dynamo
Fakel
0–1Dynamo24/11/24Dynamo
Fakel
1–1Dynamo20/07/24Fakel
Dynamo
3–1Fakel10/12/23Dynamo
Fakel
1–1Dynamo08/10/23Fakel
Dynamo
0–0Fakel28/04/23Fakel
Dynamo
0–2Fakel30/07/22Dynamo
Fakel
3–3Dynamo06/05/17Fakel
Dynamo
0–1Fakel15/10/16Dynamo
Fakel
2–1Dynamo| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Zenit | 13 | 10 | 0 | 3 | +17 | 30 |
| 2 | Dynamo | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | +9 | 28 |
| 3 |  CSKA Moscow | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | +9 | 26 |
| 4 |  Spartak Moscow | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | +15 | 26 |
| 5 | FC Krasnodar | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | +5 | 23 |
| 6 | FC Rostov | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | -1 | 18 |
| 7 | Baltika | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | +3 | 17 |
| 8 |  FC Orenburg | 13 | 3 | 8 | 2 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 |  Krylia Sovetov | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -3 | 15 |
| 10 | Rubin | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | -5 | 15 |
| 11 |  Dinamo Makhachkala | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -10 | 13 |
| 12 | Rodina Moskva | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 12 |
| 13 | Akron | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -7 | 12 |
| 14 | Lokomotiv | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -4 | 11 |
| 15 | Akhmat | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -4 | 11 |
| 16 | Fakel | 13 | 1 | 3 | 9 | -13 | 6 |
Team Insights
Fakel- ●Fakel failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Fakel have failed to win in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Fakel failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Fakel failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Fakel have lost 4 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Fakel failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Fakel have lost 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●62% of Fakel's goals have been scored away.
Dynamo- ●Dynamo have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Dynamo have won their last 6 home matches.
- ●Dynamo have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Dynamo have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Dynamo have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Dynamo have scored in 6 of their 7 home matches.
- ●Dynamo have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Dynamo have won 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Dynamo have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●67% of Dynamo's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Dynamo's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
FakelLARubin0–1
Rubin0–1LHRodina Moskva0–1
Rodina Moskva0–1WAKrylia Sovetov2–1
Krylia Sovetov2–1LHLokomotiv0–5
Lokomotiv0–5LASpartak Moscow0–1
Spartak Moscow0–1DHBaltika2–2
Baltika2–2–HDynamo07/11
Dynamo07/11–AAkron21/11
Akron21/11–HSpartak Moscow30/11
Spartak Moscow30/11DynamoWHAkhmat2–0
Akhmat2–0LAAkron1–3
Akron1–3WHCSKA Moscow3–1
CSKA Moscow3–1WARubin1–0
Rubin1–0WAFC Rostov3–0
FC Rostov3–0WHFC Orenburg1–0
FC Orenburg1–0–AFakel07/11
Fakel07/11–HFC Krasnodar22/11
FC Krasnodar22/11–AKrylia Sovetov29/11
Krylia Sovetov29/11Top Scorers
FakelM. Turishchev3 ⚽
Maksim Turishchev2 ⚽
Abdula Bagamaev2 ⚽
A. Gnapi Dable2 ⚽
B. Pusi2 ⚽
Ravil Netfullin2 ⚽
DynamoKonstantin Tyukavin6 ⚽
Bitello4 ⚽
Yaroslav Gladyshev4 ⚽
Viktor Okishor4 ⚽
K. Tyukavin3 ⚽
A. Miranchuk2 ⚽
Cards Given
FakelAlbert Gabaraev6 🟨
Matvey Bardachev3 🟨
B. Magomedov2 🟨
Abdula Bagamaev2 🟨
Aleksandr Koksharov2 🟨
Aleksey Sutormin2 🟨
DynamoJuan Caceres3 🟨
David Ricardo3 🟨
Roberto Fernandez2 🟨
J. Caceres2 🟨
Nicolas Marichal2 🟨
Rubens2 🟨