Baltika vs Dinamo Makhachkala — Premier League
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Rostec Arena·Kaliningrad·Russia·35,212
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Baltika and Dinamo Makhachkala meet in the Premier League 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Baltika have recorded 12 wins from 28 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.57 goals scored and 0.79 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Dinamo Makhachkala have won 47% of their 30 matches, with 1.60 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.63 for Baltika and 1.49 for Dinamo Makhachkala. The models give Baltika a 45% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Dinamo Makhachkala win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Baltika—
Dinamo Makhachkala8º
Position
9º
1.17
PPG
1.18
25%
Win %
36%
1.25
Goals / game
1.45
1.08
Conceded / game
1.91
43%
BTTS %
53%
50%
Clean sheet %
30%
43%
Over 2.5 %
67%
4.9
Avg corners
3.7
11.8
Avg shots
11.2
3.9
Avg shots on target
3.9
2.3
Avg yellow cards
1.8
16.4
Avg fouls
11.7
42.4%
Avg possession
45.1%
Home vs Away
Baltika
Home (6)
—
Dinamo Makhachkala
Away (6)
0.83
PPG
1.00
17%
Win %
33%
1.00
Goals / game
1.67
1.33
Conceded / game
2.50
57%
BTTS %
47%
36%
Clean sheet %
27%
50%
Over 2.5 %
60%
4.9
Avg corners
3.7
11.8
Avg shots
11.2
3.9
Avg shots on target
3.9
2.3
Avg yellow cards
1.8
42.4%
Avg possession
45.1%
Goals Scored
| Baltika | Home | Away | Dinamo Makhachkala | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 71% | 86% | 80% | 93% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 46% | 43% | 50% | 47% | 53% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 7% | 21% | 27% | 33% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 29% | 14% | 20% | 7% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Baltika | Home | Away | Dinamo Makhachkala | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 50% | 64% | 36% | 70% | 67% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 21% | 29% | 14% | 37% | 33% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 14% | 0% | 23% | 13% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 36% | 64% | 30% | 33% | 27% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Baltika | Dinamo Makhachkala | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 68% | 87% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 21% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 10% |
| BTTS | 43% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 7% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 23% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Baltika | Dinamo Makhachkala | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 48% | 52% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 17% |
| Scored 1st Half | 37% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 41% | 34% |
| Win 2nd Half | 56% | 41% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 10% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 15% | 48% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 62% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 30% | 62% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 59% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 22% | 31% |
Recent Venue Form
Baltika (H)D
FC Rostov0–0
FC Rostov0–0L
Zenit2–3
Zenit2–3L
Lokomotiv0–1
Lokomotiv0–1D
Krylia Sovetov0–0
Krylia Sovetov0–0D
Rubin1–1
Rubin1–1DDinamo Makhachkala1–1
Dinamo Makhachkala1–1Dinamo Makhachkala (A)L
FC Orenburg0–4
FC Orenburg0–4L
Akhmat2–3
Akhmat2–3LZenit0–3
Zenit0–3LRubin1–3
Rubin1–3DBaltika1–1
Baltika1–1WKrylia Sovetov4–1
Krylia Sovetov4–1Number of Corners
9.7
Corners / Match
14 games
League Avg
8.8
93 games
9.7
Corners / Match
13 games
| Match Corners | Baltika | Dinamo Makhachkala | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 93% | 92% | 78% |
| Over 7 | 71% | 69% | 63% |
| Over 8 | 64% | 69% | 46% |
| Over 9 | 43% | 54% | 37% |
| Over 10 | 29% | 23% | 24% |
| Over 11 | 21% | 23% | 16% |
| Over 12 | 21% | 15% | 12% |
| Over 13 | 7% | 15% | 9% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Baltika | Dinamo Makhachkala |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.9 | 3.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.8 | 6.0 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 86% | 62% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 79% | 62% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 64% | 31% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 86% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 50% | 69% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 43% | 62% |
Head to Head · 7 matches
2
Baltika
29%
5
Draws
71%
0
Dinamo Makhachkala
0%
86%
Over 1.5
6/7
43%
Over 2.5
3/7
29%
Over 3.5
2/7
71%
BTTS
5/7
20/08/26Dinamo Makhachkala
Baltika
1–1Dinamo Makhachkala05/04/26Baltika
Dinamo Makhachkala
2–2Baltika05/10/25Dinamo Makhachkala
Baltika
2–0Dinamo Makhachkala15/02/24Dinamo Makhachkala
Baltika
2–1Dinamo Makhachkala02/04/23Baltika
Dinamo Makhachkala
0–0Baltika20/02/23Baltika
Dinamo Makhachkala
2–2Baltika12/09/22Dinamo Makhachkala
Baltika
1–1Dinamo Makhachkala| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Dynamo | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +7 | 25 |
| 2 | Zenit | 11 | 8 | 0 | 3 | +12 | 24 |
| 3 |  FC Krasnodar | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | +6 | 23 |
| 4 |  Spartak Moscow | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +13 | 23 |
| 5 |  CSKA Moscow | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | +7 | 22 |
| 6 | FC Orenburg | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | +2 | 16 |
| 7 | Krylia Sovetov | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 8 | Baltika | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 | Dinamo Makhachkala | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | -5 | 13 |
| 10 | FC Rostov | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 12 |
| 11 | Rubin | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -6 | 12 |
| 12 |  Akron | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -6 | 12 |
| 13 | Lokomotiv | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | +2 | 11 |
| 14 | Akhmat | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 11 |
| 15 |  Rodina Moskva | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -14 | 9 |
| 16 |  Fakel | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | -12 | 6 |
Team Insights
Baltika- ●Baltika have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Baltika have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Baltika have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Baltika failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 6 home matches.
- ●Baltika have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Baltika have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●64% of Baltika's points have been earned away.
- ●Baltika have conceded 62% of their goals in the first half.
Dinamo Makhachkala- ●Dinamo Makhachkala have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Dinamo Makhachkala have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Dinamo Makhachkala failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Dinamo Makhachkala have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Dinamo Makhachkala failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Dinamo Makhachkala failed to keep a clean sheet in 6 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Dinamo Makhachkala have lost 4 of their 6 away matches.
- ●Dinamo Makhachkala have scored in 5 of their 6 away matches.
- ●62% of Dinamo Makhachkala's goals have been scored away.
- ●71% of Dinamo Makhachkala's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
BaltikaDAFC Krasnodar1–1
FC Krasnodar1–1DHFC Rostov0–0
FC Rostov0–0DAAkhmat0–0
Akhmat0–0LHZenit2–3
Zenit2–3DAFakel2–2
Fakel2–2LHLokomotiv0–1
Lokomotiv0–1–HAkron01/11
Akron01/11–HDinamo Makhachkala08/11
Dinamo Makhachkala08/11–AFC Orenburg21/11
FC Orenburg21/11Dinamo MakhachkalaDHAkron1–1
Akron1–1LAFC Orenburg0–4
FC Orenburg0–4LHCSKA Moscow1–3
CSKA Moscow1–3LAAkhmat2–3
Akhmat2–3WHRodina Moskva2–0
Rodina Moskva2–0LARubin1–3
Rubin1–3–HFC Rostov01/11
FC Rostov01/11–ABaltika08/11
Baltika08/11–HSpartak Moscow22/11
Spartak Moscow22/11Top Scorers
BaltikaB. Gil5 ⚽
C. Offor3 ⚽
K. Stepanov2 ⚽
Brayan Gil2 ⚽
Egor Golenkov2 ⚽
S. Kovac2 ⚽
Dinamo MakhachkalaG. Agalarov5 ⚽
Gamid Agalarov4 ⚽
Miro3 ⚽
N. Glushkov2 ⚽
A. Alarcon2 ⚽
R. Magomedov2 ⚽
Cards Given
BaltikaEldar Ćivić3 🟨
Ivan Belikov3 🟨
A. Mourid3 🟨
Eduardo Anderson3 🟨
Andrey Mendel3 🟨
3 🟨
Dinamo Makhachkala3 🟨
Mutalip Alibekov3 🟨
Kirill Zinovich3 🟨
Marat Apshatsev2 🟨
M. Apshatsev2 🟨
Gamid Agalarov2 🟨